ATP - ATP Italian Open
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by Lou Aguila in ATP Italian Open Picks
Alexander Zverev of Germany takes on the upset-minded Camilo Uga Carabelli of Argentina in the second round of the 2025 Rome Masters on Friday.
Zverev’s seven-match winning streak came to an end last week at the hands of Francisco Cerundolo of Argentina 6-7, 3-6 in the fourth round of the 2025 Madrid Masters. Zverev, who had won the BMW Munich Open title a week earlier, struggled to break Cerundolo’s serves as he only scored 20 return points in the match.
Carabelli finally got out of the first round after outlasting Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-2 1-6 6-3 on Wednesday. Carabelli, who lost in the first round of both the Monte Carlo and Madrid Masters, earned 33 points on his first serves and seized 4 breakpoint conversions that proved to be the deciding factor of the match.
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Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverev Form
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Alexander Zverev Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 7, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 23, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 7, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 6, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 5, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 2, 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 27, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 25, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 20, 2025 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 19, 2025 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 18, 2025 - ATP Munich Open
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Zverev Key Points
- Alexander Zverev reached the fourth round of the 2025 Madrid Open
- Alexander Zverev is 21-8 in 2025.
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-2 1-6 6-3 in the first round of the 2025 Italian Open.
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 21-11 in 2025.
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Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverev Prediction
This is a no-brainer. Alexander Zverev will dominate this match, covering the spread (-5.5 games). Zverev might not be as sharp as he used to be in previous years, but he carries a 74.5 percent win rate in second-round matches. He has only lost 50 times in his career in the second round, while Carabelli is still searching for his first win over a player inside the top 20 of the ATP Tour. Our betting prediction for Alexander Zverev vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Alexander Zverev -5.5 Games.
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