ATP - ATP Chengdu Open


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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Cameron Norrie of Great Britain will face Zhou Yi of China on Wednesday in the first round of the 2025 Chengdu Open.
As expected, Norrie is the overwhelming favorite in this match at -550 moneyline. However, the Brit carries far more value if you pick him to cover -4.5 games (-112), which yields a profit of $100 for every $112 bet.
But can Norrie win by at least five games against Zhou, who is fresh off a quarterfinal run at the Shanghai Challenger?
Current Form:
Norrie took care of his business early this week, picking up straight-set wins over Tomasz Barkieta 7-6(9) 6-4 and Olaf Pieckowski 6-4 6-4 to power Great Britain to a win over Poland in their Davis Cup tie. Norrie had also reached the third round of the 2025 US Open after topping Sebastian Korda 7-5 6-4 ret. and Francisco Comesana 7-6(5) 6-3 6-7(0) 7-6(4) in the first two rounds. Once again, Norrie succumbed to Novak Djokovic 6-4 6-7(4) 6-2 6-3 in the round of 32 of the Grand Slam event.
Zhou is coming off a quarterfinal appearance at the Shanghai Challenger, beating ATP Main Tour campaigner Yoshihito Nishioka 2-6 7-6(5) 2-0 ret. and Renta Tokuda 6-1 6-2 before falling to Yi Zhou of Taiwan 6-4, 1-6, 6(5)-7 in the quarterfinals. Zhou is 16-20 on the hard court this year.
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Cameron Norrie vs Yi Zhou Form
Cameron Norrie and Yi Zhou Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Aug 29, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 27, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 25, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 10, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Jul 30, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 24, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 5, 2025 - Shanghai, China
Sep 4, 2025 - Shanghai, China
Sep 1, 2025 - Shanghai, China
Aug 7, 2025 - Chicago, USA, Qualifying
Aug 5, 2025 - Chicago, USA, Qualifying
Jul 29, 2025 - Lexington, USA
Cameron Norrie - Yi Zhou Key Points
- Zhou Yi reached the quarterfinals of the 2025 Shanghai Challenger.
- Zhou Yi is 16-20 on the hard court in 2025.
- Cameron Norrie won two singles matches at the 2025 Davis Cup tie between Great Britain and Poland.
- Cameron Norrie is 10-12 on the hard court in 2025.
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Our Cameron Norrie vs Yi Zhou Prediction
Cameron Norrie has no reason to lose this match. Apart from his reputation as a former top-10 player, Norrie carries a 63 percent win rate in first-round matches throughout his career. He might be only 10-12 this season, but the Brit has won 67 percent of 348 hard-court matches.
Meanwhile, the 20-year-old Zhou is 55-56 in hard-court matches and a career 1-4 against the ATP top-100. His lone top-100 win came against Yoshihito Nishioka at the Shanghai Challenger. Zhou will likely need a perfect game to compete with a gritty veteran like Norrie. And yet, it will not be enough to save him from an inevitable blowout loss at the hands of the Brit.
Our betting prediction for Cameron Norrie vs. Zhou Yi: Cameron Norrie -4.5 Games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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