Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Picks - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP - ATP Wimbledon Championships

ATP 61 Great Britain
Cameron Norrie
7/8/25 12:05
ATP 2 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 Sets

+112
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 by Bradley Gibbs in ATP Wimbledon Championships Picks

There are two men's quarter-final matches taking place at Wimbledon on Tuesday, when on centre court, it's a huge game for British representatitive Cameron Norrie, who goes up against defending champion Carlos Alcaraz, who not only won Wimbledon last year, but won the tournament in 2023 too. This really is massive for Norrie, who has lost his way a little in recent seasons, but the former top-10 player has been in resurgent form over the last week or so, reaching the quarter finals of his home slam for the first time 2022, when he made the semi-finals, eventually losing out to Novak Djokovic. 

Can Norrie continue to raise his game and ride the wave that he's currently on? Well, with the crowd behind him, it's easy to see the current world number 61 competing, but winning? Surely not. Carlos Alcaraz seemingly has a near-to-unmatched ability to pull out more when it matters most, while he continues to look like a player that never tires, making him a supremely tough opponent to face in five-set matches. An interesting match lies ahead. 

Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Form

Cameron Norrie and Carlos Alcaraz Latest Matches

Cameron Norrie Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 6, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Nicolás Jarry
2 :  3
Cameron Norrie

Jul 4, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Mattia Bellucci
0 :  3
Cameron Norrie

Jul 2, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Cameron Norrie
3 :  1
Frances Tiafoe

Jun 30, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Cameron Norrie
3 :  1
Roberto Bautista-Agut

Jun 24, 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International

Billy Harris
2 :  0
Cameron Norrie

Jun 16, 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Cameron Norrie
1 :  2
Jakub Mensik
Carlos Alcaraz Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jul 6, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Andrey Rublev
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

Jul 4, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jan-Lennard Struff
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

Jul 2, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Oliver Tarvet
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

Jun 30, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Fabio Fognini
2 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

Jun 22, 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  1
Jiri Lehecka

Jun 21, 2025 - ATP London - Queen's

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Roberto Bautista-Agut

Cameron Norrie against Carlos Alcaraz : Head to Head (H2H)

Cameron Norrie

40 %

Carlos Alcaraz

60 %

Feb 26, 2023 - ATP Rio Open

Carlos Alcaraz
1 :  2
Cameron Norrie

Feb 19, 2023 - ATP Buenos Aires

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Cameron Norrie

Aug 19, 2022 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Cameron Norrie
2 :  1
Carlos Alcaraz

May 5, 2022 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Cameron Norrie
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Mar 17, 2022 - ATP Indian Wells

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Cameron Norrie
Compare Cameron Norrie and Carlos Alcaraz with our comparison tool.

Cameron Norrie - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points

  1. Only one of Carlos Alcaraz's four Wimbledon matches this season has contained less than four sets.
  2. Carlos Alcaraz has only won one of his last four matches against Cameron Norrie in straight sets.
  3. Three of Cameron Norrie's four matches at Wimbledon this season have contained four or more sets.
  4. Cameron Norrie has only lost one out of six grass-court matches (this season) in straight sets.

Our Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

I know, I know, Carlos Alcaraz is a huge favorite here, and it would indeed be a huge surprise if the defending champion failed to reach the final. However, it's far from out of the question that Alcaraz wobbles a little bit, which is something he tends to do on his way to winning matches at the All England Club. He's also up against an in-form player, who will have the crowd behind him, so we really shouldn't be surprised if these two players continued to go beyond the three-set minimum. Given the evidence, odds of +112 look a little too lenient. Our Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Pick: Over 3.5 Sets. 

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 Sets

+112
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Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Picks