Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Burnley
5/4/24 10:00
Newcastle

Prediction:

 

Over 26.5 Match Shots

 

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 by Bradley Gibbs in Premier League Picks

On Saturday, there's something of a very important Premier League fixture set to take place in the North West. At Turf Moor, Burnley will host Newcastle United in a game that will undoubtedly have consequences for both teams. The hosts are looking to escape relegation, which thanks to their recent results is no longer impossible. In fact, as they sit just two points behind Nottingham Forest, survival is very possible for Vincent Kompany's men. For the visitors, it's all about getting into Europe next season, and a win here could see them jump into the top six, which would see them playing Europa League soccer next time around. Game on.

Burnley vs Newcastle Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Newcastle
60 38 18 6 14 +23
19 Burnley
24 38 5 9 24 -37

Burnley and Newcastle Latest Matches

Burnley
Burnley Latest matches
L W W L D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 3, 2024 - Professional Development League

Watford
2 :  2
Burnley

Apr 27, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Burnley

Apr 27, 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
2 :  3
Bristol City

Apr 23, 2024 - Professional Development League

Swansea City Reserves
1 :  2
Burnley

Apr 20, 2024 - Premier League

Sheffield United
1 :  4
Burnley

Apr 19, 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
0 :  4
Barnsley FC
L D D W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 27, 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
2 :  3
Bristol City

Apr 19, 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
0 :  4
Barnsley FC

Apr 14, 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
2 :  0
Charlton Athletic

Apr 13, 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Brighton

Apr 2, 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Wolves

Mar 29, 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
1 :  3
Crewe Alexandra Reserve
L L W W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 3, 2024 - Professional Development League

Watford
2 :  2
Burnley

Apr 27, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Burnley

Apr 23, 2024 - Professional Development League

Swansea City Reserves
1 :  2
Burnley

Apr 20, 2024 - Premier League

Sheffield United
1 :  4
Burnley

Apr 9, 2024 - Professional Development League

Ipswich Town
4 :  1
Burnley

Apr 6, 2024 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  0
Burnley
Newcastle
Newcastle Latest matches
W D W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 27, 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
5 :  1
Sheffield United

Apr 24, 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  0
Newcastle

Apr 13, 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  0
Tottenham

Apr 6, 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  1
Newcastle

Apr 2, 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  1
Everton

Mar 30, 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  3
West Ham
D W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 27, 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
5 :  1
Sheffield United

Apr 13, 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  0
Tottenham

Apr 2, 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  1
Everton

Mar 30, 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  3
West Ham

Mar 2, 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Wolves

Feb 17, 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Bournemouth
L D L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Apr 24, 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  0
Newcastle

Apr 6, 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  1
Newcastle

Mar 16, 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
2 :  0
Newcastle

Mar 11, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  2
Newcastle

Feb 27, 2024 - FA Cup

Blackburn
1 :  1
Newcastle

Feb 24, 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Newcastle

Burnley against Newcastle : Head to Head (H2H)

Burnley

0 %

Draw

17 %

Newcastle

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Sep 30, 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Burnley

May 22, 2022 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  2
Newcastle

Dec 4, 2021 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Burnley

Aug 25, 2021 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
0 :  0
Burnley

Apr 11, 2021 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  2
Newcastle

Oct 3, 2020 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  1
Burnley

Burnley against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11

Burnley

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

49
A. Muric
20
L. Assignon
2
D. O'Shea
33
M. Esteve
22
Vitinho
16
S. Berge
24
J. Cullen
47
W. Odobert
8
J. Brownhill
34
J. Bruun Larsen
17
L. Foster
10
A. Gordon
14
A. Isak
9
C. Wilson
36
S. Longstaff
39
B. Guimaraes
23
J. Murphy
20
L. Hall
33
D. Burn
17
E. Krafth
21
T. Livramento
1
M. Dubravka

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Newcastle

Substitutes

Burnley
Burnley
Goalkeeper

J. Trafford

Defender

H. Ekdal

M. Esteve 45'

C. Taylor

Midfielder

J. Gudmundsson

J. Bruun Larsen 62'

Forward

J. Rodriguez

M. Tresor

Z. Amdouni

J. Brownhill 85'

D. Fofana

L. Foster 85'

B. Manuel

Newcastle
Newcastle
Goalkeeper

N. Pope

Defender

A. Murphy

P. Dummett

Midfielder

E. Anderson

J. Murphy 69'

J. White

M. Almiron

A. Isak 77'

M. Ritchie

A. Gordon 85'

Forward

Joelinton

S. Longstaff 77'

H. Barnes

C. Wilson 69'

Missing players

Burnley
Burnley
Defender

J. Beyer

Midfielder

A. Ramsey

Forward

L. Koleosho

Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

M. Targett

S. Botman

Midfielder

J. Willock

S. Tonali

L. Miley

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Burnley
CD Huachipato Newcastle
Top Goalscorer
Denmark J. Bruun Larsen (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Sweden A. Isak (21 Goals)
Best assists
Rep. of Ireland D. O'Shea (4 Assists)
Best assists
England A. Gordon (10 Assists) , 
England K. Trippier (10 Assists)

Burnley - Newcastle Key Points

  1. When the pair played earlier in the season, they shared 28 shots.
  2. As both teams look to push for the win here, we could see no shortage of shots taken at Turf Moor.
  3. At least 27 shots were taken in each of Burnley's last three games.
  4. At least 27 shots were taken in each of Newcastle's last three games.

Our Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction

This is a big game for both and if both want to achieve their goals, they really do need to win this fixture. Therefore, as has been the case for both of late, we could see an open, attacking game. The Clarets know that if they sit back and give Newcastle time, then they'll likely be bettered, so we can expect the hosts to try and take the game to the Magpies, getting forward whenever possible, especially on the break, an approach that has yielded plenty of offensive success in recent weeks. What's more, such an approach has seen games filled with shots. Last weekend at Old Trafford, the Clarets registered a very promising 16 shots, while in the previous game, they fired off 16 too. In those games, they conceded shot totals of 18 and 27, so we shouldn't be surprised if the visitors take plenty of shots in this game. Following recent match shot totals of 43, 32 and 31 for Burnley, as well as 29, 27 and 35 for Newcastle, betting on plenty of shots to take place at Turf Moor on Saturday looks the way to go. Our Prediction: Over 26.5 Match Shots. 

Prediction:

 

Over 26.5 Match Shots

 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Burnley vs Newcastle Picks