Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Burnley
4/22/26 15:00
Manchester City

Prediction:

 

Zian Flemming 1+ Shots on Target

-105
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 by Mikaella McIntosh | in Premier League Picks

There’s a decisive game this Wednesday in the next round of Premier League fixtures as basement-boys Burnley’s second-tier status for next season could be announced early should they be defeated, hosting a determined Manchester City at Turf Moor. The Clarets’ key striker, Zian Flemming, to record a shot on target isn’t to be overlooked ahead of kickoff.

Flemming started the scoring last time out against Nottingham Forest, although they couldn't hold onto the lead for too long, finishing with a woeful 4-1 loss, in a game that could’ve been much more valuable. This result is a tell-tale sign of a team that is low on confidence and has accepted their fate.

Despite their results in recent games, Flemming hasn’t resigned from his duties, creating at least one shot in all of his last nine EPL appearances, more than one in five. As well as his goal last time out, he’s also found the net in four out of his last six matches in the league, two of which being against Chelsea and Brentford, so he can compete in the big games.

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Burnley vs Manchester City Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Manchester City
78 38 23 9 6 +42
19 Burnley
22 38 4 10 24 -37

Burnley and Manchester City Latest Matches

Burnley
Burnley Latest matches
L L D L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
4 :  1
Burnley

Apr 12, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
0 :  2
Blackburn Rovers Reserve

Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Brighton

Mar 23, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Ipswich Town
0 :  0
Burnley

Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
3 :  1
Burnley

Mar 16, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
0 :  2
Brighton & Hove Albion Reserve
D L D L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Apr 12, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
0 :  2
Blackburn Rovers Reserve

Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Brighton

Mar 16, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
0 :  2
Brighton & Hove Albion Reserve

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  0
Bournemouth

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
3 :  4
Brentford

Feb 23, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
1 :  1
Derby County Reserve
L L W L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
4 :  1
Burnley

Mar 23, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Ipswich Town
0 :  0
Burnley

Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
3 :  1
Burnley

Mar 9, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Stoke City Reserve
1 :  3
Burnley

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Burnley

Feb 27, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Fulham
3 :  1
Burnley
Manchester City
Manchester City Latest matches
D L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Arsenal

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  3
Manchester City

Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester City
4 :  0
Liverpool

Mar 22, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
0 :  2
Manchester City

Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League

Manchester City
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Manchester City
W W D L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Arsenal

Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester City
4 :  0
Liverpool

Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League

Manchester City
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Newcastle

Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester City
2 :  0
Salford City
W W L D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  3
Manchester City

Mar 22, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
0 :  2
Manchester City

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Manchester City

Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  0
Manchester City

Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup

Newcastle
1 :  3
Manchester City

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  1
Manchester City

Burnley against Manchester City : Head to Head (H2H)

Burnley

0 %

Draw

0 %

Manchester City

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.83
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.33
Goals scored
3.5
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Burnley

Jan 31, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Burnley

Aug 11, 2023 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  3
Manchester City

Mar 18, 2023 - FA Cup

Manchester City
6 :  0
Burnley

Apr 2, 2022 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Manchester City

Oct 16, 2021 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Burnley

Burnley against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11

Burnley

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

1
M. Dubravka
2
K. Walker
18
H. Ekdal
12
B. Humphreys
5
M. Esteve
3
Q. Hartman
17
L. Tchaouna
20
J. Ward Prowse
29
J. Laurent
11
J. Anthony
19
Z. Flemming
9
E. Haaland
11
J. Doku
10
R. Cherki
42
A. Semenyo
33
N. OReilly
20
B. Silva
21
R. Ait-Nouri
15
M. Guehi
45
A. Khusanov
27
M. Nunes
25
G. Donnarumma

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Manchester City

Substitutes

Burnley
Burnley
Goalkeeper

M. Weiss

Defender

J. Worrall

L. Pires

Midfielder

L. Ugochukwu

F. Luis

B. Humphreys 82'

Forward

M. Tresor

J. Anthony 87'

A. Broja

Z. Flemming 82'

M. Edwards

J. Laurent 87'

L. Foster

L. Tchaouna 72'

Manchester City
Manchester City
Goalkeeper

J. Trafford

Defender

J. Stones

N. Ake

Midfielder

Savinho

A. Semenyo 65'

T. Reijnders

M. Kovacic

N. Gonzalez

R. Ait-Nouri 65'

P. Foden

Forward

O. Marmoush

Missing players

Burnley
Burnley
Defender

C. Roberts

A. Tuanzebe

J. Beyer

Midfielder

J. Cullen

H. Mejbri

Forward

Z. Amdouni

Manchester City
Manchester City
Defender

R. Dias

J. Gvardiol

Midfielder

Rodri

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Burnley
CD Huachipato Manchester City
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands Z. Flemming (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (27 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands Q. Hartman (5 Assists)
Best assists
France R. Cherki (12 Assists)

Burnley - Manchester City Key Points

  1. Flemming has produced goal attempts in all of his last nine league meetings.
  2. Zian Flemming has recorded at least one shot on target in seven out of his last nine EPL appearances.
  3. Flemming is averaging 3.42 shots per Premier League home game.
  4. Flemming has taken at least three shots in each of his last four home league games, hitting the target in each.
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Our Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction

The Dutchman hasn’t always been available in Burnley’s fixtures against the EPL top-dogs, though in the five most recent games he has started, home and away, he’s produced nine goal attempts and found the target in each of his last three, netting in each too.

In comparison to the lack of confidence in other Burnley men, Flemming doesn't seem to be too affected, producing a total of 25 shots in his last nine EPL games, not failing to find the target in all of his last six. In their last home game against Brighton, Flemming was extremely unfortunate not to grab a goal, taking five shots with two on target.

Naturally, Burnley will find this game very difficult and will struggle. But since Man City are eager to win, to get level with Arsenal, Burnley should have a couple of chances on the break, and Flemming has been very useful in these situations.

Our Burnley vs Man City Pick: Zian Flemming 1+ Shots on Target.

Prediction:

 

Zian Flemming 1+ Shots on Target

-105
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Burnley vs Manchester City Picks