Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Burnley
11/22/25 07:30
Chelsea

Prediction:

 

Chelsea -1.

-129
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 by Carlos Zabala in Premier League Picks

The Premier League resumes after the international break, and newly promoted Burnley returns to Turf Moor to prepare for their match against Chelsea. The Club World Cup champions are considered favorites, with odds around 1.50 to win, after their 3-1 victory over weaker Wolverhampton. Burnley, however, lost to West Ham in the previous matchday, drawing level on points with the Hammers and hovering just above the relegation zone.

Maresca's Chelsea side has a strong away record; they kept clean sheets in their last two away games, beating Nottingham Forest 3-0 and the London derby 1-0 thanks to a goal from Joao Pedro.

The Blues' starting eleven is expected to include players like Garnacho, Delap, Joao Pedro, and the young Brazilian sensation Estevao. The Italian manager will have to field his strongest possible squad while dealing with injuries to players such as Enzo Fernandez, Pedro Neto, and Cole Palmer, among others.

Regarding matches between the Clarets and Blues, Burnley has yet to defeat Chelsea since 2000.

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Burnley vs Chelsea Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Chelsea
Chelsea
20 11 6 2 3 10
17
Burnley
Burnley
10 11 3 1 7 -8

Burnley and Chelsea Latest Matches

Burnley
Burnley Latest matches
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
3 :  2
Burnley

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Arsenal

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  3
Burnley

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Burnley
W L D L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Arsenal

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
1 :  2
Cardiff

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Liverpool

Aug 26, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
2 :  1
Derby County
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
3 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
3 :  2
Burnley

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  3
Burnley

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Burnley

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Burnley

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
3 :  0
Burnley
Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
W L W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Wolves

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
2 :  2
Chelsea

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  1
Chelsea

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
3 :  4
Chelsea

Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Sunderland

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
5 :  1
Ajax
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Wolves

Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Sunderland

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
5 :  1
Ajax

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Liverpool

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Brighton
L W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
2 :  2
Chelsea

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  1
Chelsea

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
3 :  4
Chelsea

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  3
Chelsea

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Lincoln City
1 :  2
Chelsea

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  1
Chelsea

Burnley against Chelsea : Head to Head (H2H)

Burnley

0 %

Draw

33 %

Chelsea

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Mar 30, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Burnley

Oct 7, 2023 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  4
Chelsea

Mar 5, 2022 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  4
Chelsea

Nov 6, 2021 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Burnley

Jan 31, 2021 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Burnley

Oct 31, 2020 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  3
Chelsea
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Chelsea v Burnley last Lineups

Burnley

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
M. Dubravka
2
K. Walker
6
A. Tuanzebe
5
M. Esteve
3
Q. Hartman
24
J. Cullen
16
F. Luis
17
L. Tchaouna
8
L. Ugochukwu
11
J. Anthony
19
Z. Flemming
9
L. Delap
49
A. Garnacho
20
Joao Pedro
7
P. Neto
25
M. Caicedo
8
E. Fernandez
3
M. Cucurella
23
T. Chalobah
29
W. Fofana
27
M. Gusto
1
R. Sanchez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Chelsea

Missing players

Burnley
Burnley
Defender

C. Roberts

J. Beyer

Forward

Z. Amdouni

A. Broja

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

L. Colwill

B. Badiashile

Midfielder

D. Essugo

C. Palmer

E. Fernandez

R. Lavia

Forward

D. Fofana

P. Neto

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Burnley
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands Z. Flemming (4 Goals)
England J. Anthony (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Estevao (4 Goals) Ecuador M. Caicedo (4 Goals) Brazil Joao Pedro (4 Goals) Argentina E. Fernandez (4 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands Q. Hartman (4 Assists)
Best assists
England R. James (4 Assists)

Burnley and Chelsea Stats in Premier League

Burnley
Burnley
Chelsea
Chelsea
27%
Victories
55%
9%
Draw
18%
64%
Defeats
27%
3.27
Total goals per match
2.91
1.27
Goals scored per match
1.91
2
Goals conceded per match
1
55%
Over 2.5
73%
45%
Under 2.5
27%
55%
BTTS
55%
18%
No goals conceded
45%

Burnley - Chelsea Key Points

  1. Chelsea is the third-best away team in the Premier League, having earned 10 out of a possible 15 points
  2. Joao Pedro leads Chelsea in goals this season with 4, in addition to providing 3 assists
  3. In Burnley's last 5 matches, one of the two teams has scored exactly two goals
  4. West Ham generated an xG of 3.02 in their last victory against Burnley
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Our Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction

After achieving a historic defensive record in the English Championship, Burnley has now conceded 22 goals in 11 Premier League matches. Furthermore, in three matches against Chelsea between 2022 and 2024, the Blues scored a total of 10 goals against Burnley.

Chelsea's attack combines speed and directness with the frenetic pace typical of the Premier League. The Blues achieved a great offensive surge in their last two games, generating an xG of 3.31 against Wolves and 3.69 in the narrow victory against Spurs.

Our prediction for Chelsea vs Burnley is: Chelsea -1.

Prediction:

 

Chelsea -1.

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