Burnley vs Brighton Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Burnley
4/11/26 10:00
Brighton

Prediction:

 

Jaidon Anthony to Score

+340
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 by Mikaella McIntosh | in Premier League Picks

Having a smidgen of luck with a couple of other teams doing equally as bad, Burnley could still completely turn their season around. Their battle for Premier League safety continues in the next round of fixtures, welcoming Brighton to Turf Moor this Saturday. With this in mind, Jaidon Anthony to find the net is a good bet at the available odds.

Despite keeping two clean sheets in their last two games on the road, The Seagulls weren’t exactly structured at the back, still providing many chances which could easily have converted into goals. Also, they failed to hold onto a spotless record in all of their previous eight away games. 

Besides, Burnley have been displaying a more offensive approach in recent games, creating an xG of 1.56 at Craven Cottage last time out, as well as much higher xGs in their last three home games on the bounce. 

There are two main men for Burnley in terms of goal production, one being Jaidon Anthony, who is more confident when shooting on home soil, resulting in being the best goal scorer at Turf Moor.

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Burnley vs Brighton Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 Brighton
53 38 14 11 13 +6
19 Burnley
22 38 4 10 24 -37

Burnley and Brighton Latest Matches

Burnley
Burnley Latest matches
L W D L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 23, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Ipswich Town
0 :  0
Burnley

Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
3 :  1
Burnley

Mar 16, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
0 :  2
Brighton & Hove Albion Reserve

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  0
Bournemouth

Mar 9, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Stoke City Reserve
1 :  3
Burnley

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Burnley
L L D L D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
0 :  2
Brighton & Hove Albion Reserve

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  0
Bournemouth

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
3 :  4
Brentford

Feb 23, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
1 :  1
Derby County Reserve

Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup

Burnley
1 :  2
Mansfield Town

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
West Ham
D L L W L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 23, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Ipswich Town
0 :  0
Burnley

Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
3 :  1
Burnley

Mar 9, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Stoke City Reserve
1 :  3
Burnley

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Burnley

Feb 27, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Fulham
3 :  1
Burnley

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Burnley
Brighton
Brighton Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Liverpool

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  1
Brighton

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  2
Brighton

Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup

Liverpool
3 :  0
Brighton
D D L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Liverpool

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Feb 8, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  1
Crystal Palace

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Everton

Jan 19, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Bournemouth
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  1
Brighton

Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  2
Brighton

Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup

Liverpool
3 :  0
Brighton

Feb 11, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Brighton

Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  1
Brighton

Jan 11, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester United
1 :  2
Brighton

Burnley against Brighton : Head to Head (H2H)

Burnley

17 %

Draw

50 %

Brighton

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

Jan 3, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  0
Burnley

Apr 13, 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Brighton

Dec 9, 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Burnley

Feb 19, 2022 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Burnley

Aug 14, 2021 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  2
Brighton

Feb 6, 2021 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Brighton

Burnley against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11

Burnley

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
M. Dubravka
12
B. Humphreys
18
H. Ekdal
5
M. Esteve
3
Q. Hartman
20
J. Ward Prowse
16
F. Luis
10
M. Edwards
8
L. Ugochukwu
11
J. Anthony
19
Z. Flemming
18
D. Welbeck
11
Y. Minteh
13
J. Hinshelwood
25
D. Gomez
30
P. Gross
26
Y. Ayari
24
F. Kadioglu
21
O. Boscagli
6
J. van Hecke
27
M. Wieffer
1
B. Verbruggen

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Brighton

Substitutes

Burnley
Burnley
Goalkeeper

M. Weiss

Defender

J. Worrall

L. Pires

Q. Hartman 82'

K. Walker

B. Humphreys 82'

Forward

A. Broja

F. Luis 82'

L. Foster

L. Tchaouna

M. Tresor

M. Edwards 75'

J. Bruun Larsen

L. Ugochukwu 67'

Brighton
Brighton
Goalkeeper

J. Steele

Defender

Igor

M. De Cuyper

J. Veltman

D. Gomez 87'

Midfielder

K. Mitoma

Y. Minteh 80'

C. Baleba

J. Hinshelwood 75'

S. March

Forward

G. Rutter

D. Welbeck 74'

C. Kostoulas

Missing players

Burnley
Burnley
Defender

C. Roberts

A. Tuanzebe

J. Beyer

Midfielder

J. Cullen

H. Mejbri

Forward

Z. Amdouni

Brighton
Brighton
Defender

L. Dunk

A. Webster

Forward

S. Tzimas

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Burnley
CD Huachipato Brighton
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands Z. Flemming (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England D. Welbeck (13 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands Q. Hartman (5 Assists)
Best assists
Gambia Y. Minteh (4 Assists)

Burnley - Brighton Key Points

  1. Jaidon Anthony is averaging 2.39 shots per home game in the league.
  2. Anthony is Burnley's top goalscorer on home turf this season.
  3. Anthony has produced multiple goal attempts in six out of his last seven matches.
  4. Anthony has created 16 goal attempts in his last five home matches.
  5. Brighton give away a lot more on the road, averaging 1.63 xG shipped per EPL away game.
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Our Burnley vs Brighton Prediction

Whilst he doesn’t average the best goals per 90 minutes for Burnley, Anthony is the best in terms of goals on home soil, claiming four in 12 starts, averaging him at a goal in every three home matches. The Brit is shooting lots recently, with 15 goal attempts in his last four appearances. 

Anthony hasn’t found the net in his last three games, but it’s positive that he’s shooting regularly. What’s more, overall this season, he is averaging almost a goal every three games. Based on this logic, paired with his zealousness in front of goal, his next goal isn’t far away, and we can see his enhanced involvement in front of goal at Turf Moor.

Our Burnley vs Brighton Pick: Jaidon Anthony to Score.

Prediction:

 

Jaidon Anthony to Score

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Burnley vs Brighton - Other Interesting Picks

Jaidon Anthony 1+ Shots on Target

Odds +105
Looking at Anthony's stats, it's hard to turn down the early odds for him to register a shot on target. The forward is averaging 2.39 shots per home EPL game, with an average of 1.05 shots on target per game.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Burnley vs Brighton Picks