Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Burnley
5/10/26 09:00
Aston Villa

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

-125
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

Sunday's Premier League action includes an interesting game between two teams that don't really have much to fight for. The Clarets have already been relegated, while the Villans are highly likely to secure a top-five place, even if they lose this game, plus they've just qualfied for the final of the UEFA Europa League, which means that this fixture is unlikely to be a priority. 

The hosts are down and out, and let's face it, they've not been good enough, not at either end of the field, though they did show some signs of offensive life last week against Leeds, scoring and creating a few decent chances. Against a Villa side that won't really care too much about this game, a side that worked hard to qualify for Europe on Thursday evening, the hosts could give their fans something to shut about offensively. Unfortunately, even against a visiting side that has one eye elsewhere, they lack the defensive strength to keep things tight, leaving 'Both Teams to Score' on the table as a decent play. 

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Burnley vs Aston Villa Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Aston Villa
65 38 19 8 11 +7
19 Burnley
22 38 4 10 24 -37

Burnley and Aston Villa Latest Matches

Burnley
Burnley Latest matches
D L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

May 1, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Burnley

Apr 22, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Manchester City

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
4 :  1
Burnley

Apr 12, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
0 :  2
Blackburn Rovers Reserve

Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Brighton

Mar 23, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Ipswich Town
0 :  0
Burnley
L D L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Apr 22, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Manchester City

Apr 12, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
0 :  2
Blackburn Rovers Reserve

Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Brighton

Mar 16, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
0 :  2
Brighton & Hove Albion Reserve

Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  0
Bournemouth

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
3 :  4
Brentford
L W L D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 1, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Burnley

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
4 :  1
Burnley

Mar 23, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Ipswich Town
0 :  0
Burnley

Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
3 :  1
Burnley

Mar 9, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup

Stoke City Reserve
1 :  3
Burnley

Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Burnley
Aston Villa
Aston Villa Latest matches
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 7, 2026 - Europa League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Nottingham Forest

May 3, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Tottenham

Apr 30, 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 25, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  3
Sunderland

Apr 16, 2026 - Europa League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Bologna
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 7, 2026 - Europa League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Nottingham Forest

May 3, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Tottenham

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  3
Sunderland

Apr 16, 2026 - Europa League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Bologna

Mar 22, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  0
West Ham

Mar 19, 2026 - Europa League

Aston Villa
2 :  0
Lille
L L W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 30, 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 25, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Aston Villa

Apr 9, 2026 - Europa League

Bologna
1 :  3
Aston Villa

Mar 27, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Mar 15, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  1
Aston Villa

Burnley against Aston Villa : Head to Head (H2H)

Burnley

17 %

Draw

17 %

Aston Villa

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.83
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley

Dec 30, 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  2
Burnley

Aug 27, 2023 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  3
Aston Villa

May 19, 2022 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
Burnley

May 7, 2022 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  3
Aston Villa

Jan 27, 2021 - Premier League

Burnley
3 :  2
Aston Villa

Burnley against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11

Burnley

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

13
M. Weiss
2
K. Walker
6
A. Tuanzebe
5
M. Esteve
23
L. Pires
16
Florentino
8
L. Ugochukwu
17
L. Tchaouna
28
H. Mejbri
11
J. Anthony
19
Z. Flemming
11
O. Watkins
27
M. Rogers
8
Y. Tielemans
7
J. McGinn
6
R. Barkley
4
E. Konsa
22
I. Maatsen
5
T. Mings
3
V. Lindelof
2
M. Cash
23
E. Martinez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Aston Villa

Substitutes

Burnley
Burnley
Goalkeeper

M. Dubravka

Defender

B. Humphreys

Q. Hartman

Midfielder

J. Ward Prowse

Florentino 87'

J. Laurent

L. Ugochukwu 79'

Forward

J. Bruun Larsen

J. Anthony 87'

A. Broja

L. Foster

H. Mejbri 69'

Z. Amdouni

Z. Flemming 79'

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Goalkeeper

M. Bizot

Defender

P. Torres

L. Digne

I. Maatsen 74'

Midfielder

E. Buendia

V. Lindelof 74'

Douglas Luiz

R. Barkley 80'

L. Bogarde

M. Cash 80'

Forward

L. Bailey

J. McGinn 85'

J. Sancho

T. Abraham

Missing players

Burnley
Burnley
Defender

C. Roberts

J. Beyer

Midfielder

J. Cullen

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Midfielder

B. Kamara

A. Onana

Forward

Alysson

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Burnley
CD Huachipato Aston Villa
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands Z. Flemming (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England O. Watkins (16 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands Q. Hartman (5 Assists)
Best assists
France L. Digne (6 Assists)
England M. Rogers (6 Assists)

Burnley - Aston Villa Key Points

  1. Both teams scored when Burnley last played in the EPL.
  2. When the teams met earlier in the season, both teams found the net.
  3. Both teams have scored in all six renewals of this fixture since 2021.
  4. The hosts have kept just one clean sheet in their last five at home.
  5. The visitors have kept no clean sheets in their last five away games.
Up to $200 to bet on Burnley - Aston Villa! 

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Our Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction

Sure, the hosts have nothing to play for, but that also means that they have nothing holding them back. Michael Jackson's men can play with freedom at Turf Moor, and as they bid to give their fans something to shout about, they could very easily do some damage against a Villa team that hasn't exactly been keeping it tight at the back in recent weeks, especially away from home. 

If we also consider what happened when the teams met earlier in the campaign, then a bet on both to notch on Sunday looks far the worst idea at odds of -125. 

Our Burnley vs Aston Villa Pick: Both Teams to Score.

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

-125
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Burnley vs Aston Villa Picks