New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

New York Jets
9/14/25 13:00
Buffalo Bills

Prediction:

 

UNDER 47.5

-110
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 by Travis Pulver | in NFL Picks

After an incredible come-from-behind victory over the Ravens in Week One, the Buffalo Bills are on the road this week. They’ll face their longtime division rivals, the New York Jets, at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. EST; the game will be broadcast on CBS. 

History has favored Josh Allen in this matchup, with the Bills going 9-4 vs. the Jets with Allen at quarterback. However, while he has had some big games, the New York defense has made him work for it the last few years. Allen threw for just 215 and 182 yards in last year’s matchups. Since his last 300+ yard game in 2021, Allen has averaged 215 yards. While Allen’s heroics in the fourth have received the lion's share of the coverage of Buffalo’s Week 1 game, the Jets will likely be focused on what the Ravens did in the first three quarters when they held Allen and the Bills in check. Aaron Rodgers had four touchdown passes, but just 244 yards passing. The Jets defense also shut down the Steeler run game, giving up 53 total yards on 20 carries. If they can establish the run against the Bills like they did against Pittsburgh, they may be able to open some passing lanes for Justin Fields.


 

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
8 Buffalo Bills
0.706 17 12 5
31 New York Jets
0.176 17 3 14

New York Jets and Buffalo Bills Latest Matches

New York Jets
New York Jets Latest matches
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
32 :  34
Pittsburgh Steelers

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
32 :  20
Miami Dolphins

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
40 :  14
New York Jets

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

New York Jets
9 :  19
Los Angeles Rams

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
25 :  32
New York Jets

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
32 :  26
New York Jets
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
32 :  34
Pittsburgh Steelers

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
32 :  20
Miami Dolphins

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

New York Jets
9 :  19
Los Angeles Rams

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

New York Jets
21 :  26
Seattle Seahawks

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

New York Jets
27 :  28
Indianapolis Colts

Oct 31, 2024 - NFL

New York Jets
21 :  13
Houston Texans
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
40 :  14
New York Jets

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
25 :  32
New York Jets

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
32 :  26
New York Jets

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
31 :  6
New York Jets

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

New England Patriots
25 :  22
New York Jets

Oct 20, 2024 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
37 :  15
New York Jets
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
41 :  40
Baltimore Ravens

Jan 26, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
32 :  29
Buffalo Bills

Jan 19, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
27 :  25
Baltimore Ravens

Jan 12, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
31 :  7
Denver Broncos

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
23 :  16
Buffalo Bills

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
40 :  14
New York Jets
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
41 :  40
Baltimore Ravens

Jan 19, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
27 :  25
Baltimore Ravens

Jan 12, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
31 :  7
Denver Broncos

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
40 :  14
New York Jets

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
24 :  21
New England Patriots

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
35 :  10
San Francisco 49ers
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jan 26, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
32 :  29
Buffalo Bills

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
23 :  16
Buffalo Bills

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Detroit Lions
42 :  48
Buffalo Bills

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
44 :  42
Buffalo Bills

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
20 :  30
Buffalo Bills

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
10 :  31
Buffalo Bills

New York Jets against Buffalo Bills : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Jets

25 %

Buffalo Bills

75 %

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
40 :  14
New York Jets

Oct 14, 2024 - NFL

New York Jets
20 :  23
Buffalo Bills

Nov 19, 2023 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
32 :  6
New York Jets

Sep 11, 2023 - NFL

New York Jets
22 :  16
Buffalo Bills

New York Jets - Buffalo Bills Key Points

  1. The Buffalo Bills lead the all-time series vs. the Jets 71-58.
  2. Buffalo has won the last three vs. the Jets, but lost two of the last three played in New Jersey.
  3. Five of the six times Allen faced the Jets on the road, the outcome of the game was decided by one score.
  4. Betting Public: 88% of TOTAL tickets and 90% of the handle are on the UNDER (47.5)

Our New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Prediction

The early-season meetings between the Jets and Bills have often been close, hard-fought contests; a field goal decided last season’s, and the year before the game went to overtime. I’m not ready to buy the Jets offense as functional, and it does concern me that the Bills offense floundered for three quarters vs. the Ravens. If the Jets can get the run game going like they did last week, this game could look a lot like last week for the Bills. For that reason, I’m leaning towards taking the Jets and the points, but that’s not the best bet for this game

Our Bills vs. Jets Pick: UNDER 47.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 47.5

-110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Picks