Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills Prediction & Picks - NFL

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Houston Texans
10/6/24 13:00
Buffalo Bills

Prediction:

 

Texans ML

 

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 by Travis Pulver in NFL Picks

The Houston Texans are off to a solid start at home, having won both games. But they have a real challenge this week if they remain undefeated at NRG Stadium as they welcome the Buffalo Bills to town for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff.

Nico Collins leads the Texans with 30 receptions and leads the team and the NFL with 489 yards receiving through four games. Diggs is not far behind him with 25 receptions but with less than half the yardage (233). Houston has leaned on the passing game with Joe Mixon out with an injury, which may be tough against the Bills No. 6 pass defense. However, are they as good as they look on paper, or does it just look that way because teams are too busy running on the Bills to pass?

As for the Bills, while they are 3-1, it is hard to see what the identity of the team is like after four weeks. They’ve been a passing team in recent years, but they aren’t even averaging 200 yards per game. It’s not like they are making up for it with a dominant run game; they’re around the middle of the pack with 110 ypg.

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
5 Buffalo Bills
0.765 17 13 4
15 Houston Texans
0.588 17 10 7

Houston Texans and Buffalo Bills Latest Matches

Houston Texans
Houston Texans Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 29, 2024 - NFL

Houston Texans
24 :  20
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 22, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
34 :  7
Houston Texans

Sep 15, 2024 - NFL

Houston Texans
19 :  13
Chicago Bears

Sep 8, 2024 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
27 :  29
Houston Texans

Jan 20, 2024 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
34 :  10
Houston Texans

Jan 13, 2024 - NFL

Houston Texans
45 :  14
Cleveland Browns
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 29, 2024 - NFL

Houston Texans
24 :  20
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 15, 2024 - NFL

Houston Texans
19 :  13
Chicago Bears

Jan 13, 2024 - NFL

Houston Texans
45 :  14
Cleveland Browns

Dec 31, 2023 - NFL

Houston Texans
26 :  3
Tennessee Titans

Dec 24, 2023 - NFL

Houston Texans
22 :  36
Cleveland Browns

Dec 3, 2023 - NFL

Houston Texans
22 :  17
Denver Broncos
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 22, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
34 :  7
Houston Texans

Sep 8, 2024 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
27 :  29
Houston Texans

Jan 20, 2024 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
34 :  10
Houston Texans

Jan 6, 2024 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
19 :  23
Houston Texans

Dec 17, 2023 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
16 :  19
Houston Texans

Nov 12, 2023 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
27 :  30
Houston Texans
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 29, 2024 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
35 :  10
Buffalo Bills

Sep 23, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
47 :  10
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 12, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
10 :  31
Buffalo Bills

Sep 8, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
34 :  28
Arizona Cardinals

Jan 21, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
24 :  27
Kansas City Chiefs

Jan 15, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
31 :  17
Pittsburgh Steelers
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 23, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
47 :  10
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 8, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
34 :  28
Arizona Cardinals

Jan 21, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
24 :  27
Kansas City Chiefs

Jan 15, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
31 :  17
Pittsburgh Steelers

Dec 31, 2023 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
27 :  21
New England Patriots

Dec 17, 2023 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
31 :  10
Dallas Cowboys
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 29, 2024 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
35 :  10
Buffalo Bills

Sep 12, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
10 :  31
Buffalo Bills

Jan 7, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
14 :  21
Buffalo Bills

Dec 10, 2023 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
17 :  20
Buffalo Bills

Nov 26, 2023 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
37 :  34
Buffalo Bills

Nov 5, 2023 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
24 :  18
Buffalo Bills

Houston Texans - Buffalo Bills Key Points

  1. Houston leads the all-time series vs. Buffalo 6-5. The Bills won the last meeting during the 2021 season 40-0.
  2. Josh Allen is 1-2 in three starts vs. the Texans, with both losses coming in Houston.
  3. Buffalo is 3-7 ATS in their last ten vs. AFC South teams
  4. Texans have lost their last six games vs. AFC East opponents.

Our Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills Prediction

I don’t think the Bills have figured out the offense nearly as well as some may think. It is averaging about 70 fewer yards a game (roughly 50 passing and 20 rushing). Yet somehow, they are averaging more points per game, which tells me the offense has been opportunistic when gifted with a shorter field. But they will not get those gifts from a Houston offense that doesn’t turn the ball over. This will be a challenging game won by whoever has the ball last.

Our Pick for Bills vs. Texans Pick: Texans +100

Prediction:

 

Texans ML

 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills Picks