Brighton vs Burnley Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Brighton
1/3/26 10:00
Burnley

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

-120
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Premier League Picks

Back at the start of the season, a few people may have fancied the Seagulls to fly quite high this season, but that's not what's happened. Often seen playing easy-on-the-eye soccer, Fabian Hurzeler's men have struggled to keep things tight at the back, which is why they find themselves down in 14th position. Having tied 2-2 with West Ham on the road during the week, they'll be looking to pick up a much-needed three points at home to a struggling Burnley team on Saturday. 

The Clarets were unsuccessful during the week, losing at home to Newcastle by three goals to one. As they often do, Scott Parker's men played some decent stuff, and they scored a well-worked goal. However, they were once again all too easy to breach, which is why they currently sit in the relegation zone. Can they do any better on the south coast? I doubt it. 

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Brighton vs Burnley Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10
Brighton
Brighton
28 20 7 7 6 3
19
Burnley
Burnley
12 20 3 3 14 -19

Brighton and Burnley Latest Matches

Brighton
Brighton Latest matches
L D L D L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  2
Brighton

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Brighton

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  0
Sunderland

Dec 13, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Brighton

Dec 7, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
West Ham

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  4
Aston Villa
W W W L D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  0
Sunderland

Dec 7, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
West Ham

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  4
Aston Villa

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Brentford

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Leeds

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Newcastle
L D W L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  2
Brighton

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Brighton

Dec 13, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Brighton

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Brighton

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  0
Brighton

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brighton
Burnley
Burnley Latest matches
L L L D D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  3
Newcastle

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  0
Everton

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Burnley

Dec 13, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  3
Fulham

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Burnley

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Crystal Palace
L L L L D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  3
Newcastle

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  0
Everton

Dec 13, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  3
Fulham

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Crystal Palace

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Chelsea

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Arsenal
L W L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Burnley

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Burnley

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Burnley

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
3 :  2
Burnley

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  3
Burnley

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley

Brighton against Burnley : Head to Head (H2H)

Brighton

17 %

Draw

67 %

Burnley

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
67%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

Apr 13, 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Brighton

Dec 9, 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Burnley

Feb 19, 2022 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Burnley

Aug 14, 2021 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  2
Brighton

Feb 6, 2021 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Brighton

Nov 6, 2020 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  0
Burnley

Brighton against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11

Brighton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
B. Verbruggen
34
J. Veltman
6
J. Van Hecke
5
L. Dunk
24
F. Kadioglu
26
Y. Ayari
8
B. Gruda
25
D. Gomez
10
G. Rutter
22
K. Mitoma
19
C. Kostoulas
27
A. Broja
11
J. Anthony
16
F. Luis
8
L. Ugochukwu
7
J. Bruun Larsen
23
L. Pires
12
B. Humphreys
18
H. Ekdal
29
J. Laurent
2
K. Walker
1
M. Dubravka

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

Burnley

Missing players

Brighton
Brighton
Midfielder

S. March

C. Baleba

Forward

S. Tzimas

Burnley
Burnley
Defender

C. Roberts

L. Beyer

M. Esteve

A. Tuanzebe

J. Worrall

Midfielder

H. Mejbri

J. Cullen

Forward

Z. Amdouni

L. Foster

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Brighton
CD Huachipato Burnley
Top Goalscorer
England D. Welbeck (8 Goals) , 
Paraguay D. Gomez (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands Z. Flemming (6 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands M. Wieffer (3 Assists) , 
France G. Rutter (3 Assists) , 
Gambia Y. Minteh (3 Assists) , 
England T. Watson (3 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands Q. Hartman (4 Assists)

Brighton - Burnley Key Points

  1. The hosts have kept just one clean sheet in their last six EPL games.
  2. The visitors have kept just one clean sheet in their last six EPL games.
  3. Away from home, the visitors have both scored and conceded in each of their last eight EPL games.
  4. Both teams have scored in six of Brighton's last eight home games in the EPL.
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Our Brighton vs Burnley Prediction

Both teams will go into Saturday's game at Amex Stadium having struggled to keep it tight at the back during the week, which leads me to conclude that the chances of both finding the net are a little great than early odds of -120 would have us believe. 

Frankly, the Clarets have scored and conceded with fantastic consistency on the road, while the Seagulls have also scored and conceded an awful lot more at home than odds of -120 would imply, let's be honest. With neither thriving at the back, this looks like a more than reasonable opportunity for both to notch. 

Our Brighton vs Burnley Pick: Both Teams to Score. 

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

-120
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Brighton vs Burnley Picks