Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverev Prediction & Picks - ATP Cincinnati Open

ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open

ATP 31 USA
Brandon Nakashima
8/12/25 19:00
ATP 3 Germany
Alexander Zverev

Prediction:

 

Alexander Zverev -3.5 Games

+100
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 by Lou Aguila in ATP Cincinnati Open Picks

Brandon Nakashima has gone 0-for-4 in his first four meetings with Alexander Zverev?

A spread market darling, will Nakashima play good enough to cover the spread once more? Or will he defy all odds to earn his first career win over the world’s No.3?

We will find out the answer at the conclusion of their third-round showdown on Tuesday.

For the second straight time, Nakashima duked it out in a three-set slugfest, though this time, he came out as the victor, beating Alexander Blockx. Nakashima exorcised the ghost of a three-set defeat to Ben Shelton in a hard-fought second-round match in Toronto, 6-7(8) 6-2 7-6(5). Powered by 50 points off the first serves, Nakashima escaped from the fangs of defeat to pull off a gallant comeback win on Sunday.

Meanwhile, Zverev cruised through into the third round with a surgical win over Nishesh Basavareddy, 6-3 6-3. Zverev, a semifinalist at the Canadian Open, asserted his superiority on the serve, winning all serves while firing 12 aces. He also converted all three breakpoint chances on only 14 return points.

Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverev Form

Brandon Nakashima and Alexander Zverev Latest Matches

Brandon Nakashima Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 10, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  1
Alexander Blockx

Aug 1, 2025 - ATP Toronto

Brandon Nakashima
1 :  2
Ben Shelton

Jul 30, 2025 - ATP Toronto

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  0
Ethan Quinn

Jul 25, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Brandon Nakashima

Jul 24, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  0
Cameron Norrie

Jul 22, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  0
Ethan Quinn
Alexander Zverev Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 10, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Nishesh Basavareddy
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

Aug 6, 2025 - ATP Toronto

Alexander Zverev
1 :  2
Karen Khachanov

Aug 4, 2025 - ATP Toronto

Alexander Zverev
2 :  1
Alexei Popyrin

Aug 2, 2025 - ATP Toronto

Alexander Zverev
abort
Francisco Cerundolo

Jul 31, 2025 - ATP Toronto

Alexander Zverev
2 :  1
Matteo Arnaldi

Jul 29, 2025 - ATP Toronto

Alexander Zverev
2 :  0
Adam Walton

Brandon Nakashima against Alexander Zverev : Head to Head (H2H)

Brandon Nakashima

0 %

Alexander Zverev

100 %

Jun 13, 2025 - ATP Stuttgart Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  0
Brandon Nakashima

Sep 1, 2024 - ATP US Open

Brandon Nakashima
1 :  3
Alexander Zverev
Compare Brandon Nakashima and Alexander Zverev with our comparison tool.

Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Zverev Key Points

  1. Brandon Nakashima defeated Alexander Blockx 6-7(8) 6-2 7-6(5) in the second round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open.
  2. Brandon Nakashima is 0-4 vs. Alexander Zverev
  3. Brandon Nakashima is 0-4 vs. Alexander Zverev
  4. Alexander Zverev is 16-5 on the hard court this year.

Our Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverev Prediction

Alexander Zverev will post a comfortable win over Brandon Nakashima, covering a -3.5-game spread in the process. Zverev held all 9 of his serves in his last match over Nishesh Basavareddy, carrying over his terrific service game in Toronto to Cincinnati. Moreover, Zverev is 4-0 against Nakashima in their head-to-head series, including a most recent win in the quarterfinal of the Boss Stuttgart Open, 7-5 6-4.

No doubt, Nakashima possesses the skills to compete at a high level, but he is a career 1-4 against the ATP top-5 players and 0-5 this year against the top-10 players. Zverev, meanwhile, is 16-5 on the hard court this year and 16-3 against opponents who rank out of the top 20 but still in the top 50.

Nakashima may have to wait for another opportunity to beat Alexander Zverev because I just don't see him winning on Tuesday. Playing great tennis on the hard court again since his run to the finals of the Australian Open, Zverev looks poised to continue his mastery over the American.

Our betting prediction for Brandon Nakashima vs. Alexander Zverev: Alexander Zverev -3.5 Games.

Prediction:

 

Alexander Zverev -3.5 Games

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverev Picks