Bournemouth vs Everton Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Bournemouth
12/2/25 14:30
Everton

Prediction:

 

More than 2.5 goals

-105
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 by Erik Gibbs in Premier League Picks

AFC Bournemouth and Everton FC clash at the Vitality Stadium this Tuesday in a critical midweek fixture for both clubs looking to stabilize their challenging starts to the 2025/2026 season. Bournemouth, currently sitting ninth, has hit a worrying speed bump, entering this match on a four-game Premier League winless run (D1, L3). Their latest outing was a gut-wrenching 3-2 defeat to Sunderland, where they surrendered a two-goal lead in a spectacular second-half collapse—a vulnerability that has plagued them despite a general upward trend under manager Andoni Iraola.

However, the Cherries' key strength remains their exceptional home record, as they are one of the league's most formidable sides on the South Coast, remaining unbeaten at the Vitality Stadium this season (W5, D2). This fortress mentality is the main reason bookmakers install them as slight favorites.

Everton arrives reeling from a comprehensive 4-1 home dismantling by Newcastle United, a loss that quickly ended a brief three-game unbeaten run. David Moyes' men sit 14th, but the dense bottom half of the table means three points could launch them into the top half.

While their new stadium form is inconsistent, Everton's away performances have been surprisingly resilient; since Moyes' return, only Arsenal has accrued more Premier League away points. Despite this road strength, Everton faces a major psychological hurdle: Bournemouth has won the last five competitive meetings between the clubs.

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Bournemouth vs Everton Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
19 13 5 4 4 -2
14
Everton
Everton
18 13 5 3 5 -3

Bournemouth and Everton Latest Matches

Bournemouth
Bournemouth Latest matches
D W L L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  2
Bournemouth

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
West Ham

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Bournemouth

Nov 2, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Bournemouth

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  0
Nottingham Forest

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
3 :  3
Bournemouth
L W D W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
West Ham

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  0
Nottingham Forest

Oct 3, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  1
Fulham

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Newcastle

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  1
Brighton

Aug 26, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Bournemouth
0 :  2
Brentford
W D D L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  2
Bournemouth

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Bournemouth

Nov 2, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Bournemouth

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
3 :  3
Bournemouth

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  1
Bournemouth
Everton
Everton Latest matches
L L D W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  4
Newcastle

Nov 24, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Everton

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Fulham

Nov 3, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  1
Everton

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  3
Tottenham

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Everton
D D W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  4
Newcastle

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Fulham

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  3
Tottenham

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  1
Crystal Palace

Sep 29, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
West Ham

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  0
Aston Villa
W L L L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 24, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Everton

Nov 3, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  1
Everton

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Everton

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
2 :  0
Everton

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Everton

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  3
Everton

Bournemouth against Everton : Head to Head (H2H)

Bournemouth

83 %

Draw

0 %

Everton

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Everton
0 :  3
Bournemouth

Feb 8, 2025 - FA Cup

Everton
0 :  2
Bournemouth

Jan 4, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  0
Everton

Aug 31, 2024 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  3
Bournemouth

Mar 30, 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  1
Everton

Oct 7, 2023 - Premier League

Everton
3 :  0
Bournemouth
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Everton v Bournemouth last Lineups

Bournemouth

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
D. Petrovic
15
A. Smith
18
B. Diakite
5
M. Senesi
3
A. Truffert
8
A. Scott
12
T. Adams
24
A. Semenyo
16
M. Tavernier
21
A. Adli
9
Evanilson
11
T. Barry
18
J. Grealish
22
K. Dewsbury-Hall
10
I. Ndiaye
42
T. Iroegbunam
37
J. Garner
16
V. Mykolenko
5
M. Keane
6
J. Tarkowski
15
J. O'Brien
1
J. Pickford

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Everton

Missing players

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Defender

M. Akinmboni

Midfielder

B. Doak

Forward

J. Kluivert

A. Semenyo

Everton
Everton
Midfielder

J. Branthwaite

M. Rohl

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bournemouth
CD Huachipato Everton
Top Goalscorer
Ghana A. Semenyo (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Senegal I. Ndiaye (4 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina M. Senesi (3 Assists)
Ghana A. Semenyo (3 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Grealish (4 Assists)

Bournemouth and Everton Stats in Premier League

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Everton
Everton
38%
Victories
38%
31%
Draw
23%
31%
Defeats
38%
3.38
Total goals per match
2.38
1.62
Goals scored per match
1.08
1.77
Goals conceded per match
1.31
69%
Over 2.5
38%
31%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
46%
31%
No goals conceded
31%

Bournemouth - Everton Key Points

  1. The Over is 4-1 in Bournemouth's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 2-3 in Everton's last 5 games
  3. Bournemouth are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. Everton are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Bournemouth vs Everton Prediction

The defining narrative for this contest is the unprecedented level of personnel disruption for the hosts. Bournemouth's lineup is severely weakened by three critical suspensions. Influential midfielder Lewis Cook begins a three-match ban for a straight red card, while central defender Marcos Senesi and attacker David Brooks are both sidelined for one game due to accumulated yellow cards. Losing three established starters in defense, midfield, and attack is a monumental blow, forcing Iraola to rely on fringe players like 18-year-old Veljko Milosavljevic.

Everton's issues are less extensive but still impactful. They are missing veteran Idrissa Gana Gueye, who continues to serve a ban, leaving Tim Iroegbunam and Carlos Alcaraz to fill the void. The focus for the visitors will be on in-form midfielder Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, who has secured a goal contribution in three consecutive games and must exploit the makeshift Bournemouth midfield and defense.

Despite Bournemouth's dominant home form and head-to-head record, the triple suspension levels the playing field significantly. While the momentum from the home crowd will be a factor, the absence of key defensive and creative personnel provides Everton with their best opportunity to end their losing streak against the Cherries. We anticipate a tight, high-scoring affair that just edges in favor of the hosts due to their overwhelming psychological and crowd advantage. Our prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs. Everton FC: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

More than 2.5 goals

-105
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Bournemouth vs Everton Picks