Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Boston Red Sox
9/30/25 18:08
New York Yankees

Prediction:

 

Boston Red Sox wins the match

+114
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 by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks

The MLB regular season has concluded, setting record audiences and views across numerous platforms, but the anticipation will be even greater, as amidst the exciting playoff series, the baseball world will be focused on one in particular: the Red Sox vs. Yankees, a three-game wild-card series between the classic rivals in the Bronx.

Both the Red Sox and the Yankees had their ups and downs in the regular season, but their most consistent performer in both cases was a starting pitcher, and they will be on each side opening the series in a spectacular pitching duel between Garret Crochet for Boston and Max Fried for the Yankees.

Crochet told the media that he always "wanted to be the guy who opens a playoff series"; on Tuesday, he will, in fact, have that chance. Crochet has a strong case for the Cy Young Award and has fared splendidly well when facing the Yankees this season: a 3-0 record with a 3.29 ERA. Although the Yankees are listed as betting favorites to win the series, the Red Sox won the series 9-5 in the regular season.

However, the same positives could be said for Max Fried, who also has postseason experience and posted an ERA under 2.00 against Boston this season.

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Form

Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees Latest Matches

Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
3 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
2 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
3 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
3 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
2 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Detroit Tigers
3 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
5 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
4 :  5
Boston Red Sox

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

Athletics
2 :  1
Boston Red Sox
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  3
Tampa Bay Rays

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
11 :  7
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
New York Yankees Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  3
New York Yankees

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  6
New York Yankees

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  8
New York Yankees

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  5
New York Yankees

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
1 :  8
New York Yankees

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
2 :  3
New York Yankees
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 28, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
2 :  3
New York Yankees

Sep 27, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
1 :  6
New York Yankees

Sep 26, 2025 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
4 :  8
New York Yankees

Sep 25, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
3 :  5
New York Yankees

Sep 24, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
1 :  8
New York Yankees

Sep 23, 2025 - MLB

Chicago White Sox
2 :  3
New York Yankees
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 21, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  1
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 20, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  1
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 19, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
2 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 18, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  0
Baltimore Orioles

Sep 17, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
10 :  5
Minnesota Twins

Sep 16, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
10 :  9
Minnesota Twins

Boston Red Sox against New York Yankees : Head to Head (H2H)

Boston Red Sox

50 %

New York Yankees

50 %

Sep 14, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  6
Boston Red Sox

Sep 13, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  3
Boston Red Sox

Sep 12, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  1
Boston Red Sox

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
2 :  7
New York Yankees

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
12 :  1
New York Yankees

Aug 22, 2025 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
1 :  0
New York Yankees

Boston Red Sox - New York Yankees Key Points

  1. The Red Sox won the Wild Card game in 2021
  2. The Yankees won the ALCS in 2024
  3. Max Fried struck out 20 batters in his final 14 innings
  4. The Yankees' 46-27 regular-season record, playing as betting favorites at Yankee Stadium

Our Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees couldn't have had a better season finish, with eight straight wins, which, however, was not enough to secure the division title from the Blue Jays.

Austin Wells is expected to be the catcher who will receive Fried's pitches. It's also a date with destiny for Aaron Judge, who hit two more home runs in two of his last three regular-season games, likely bringing him closer to the MVP. Judge wants to put to rest those who say he's not a playoff performer.

It will be an epic series with a packed Bronx, but it's precisely in this situation that the young and electric Red Sox team has been able to spoil the Yankees' party; exemplified by Boston's 12-1 thrashing of New York on August 13. Duran, Story, Yoshida, Rafaela, and Lowe are all expected to start in Cora's lineup.

Our prediction for Yankees vs Red Sox is: Red Sox ML.

Prediction:

 

Boston Red Sox wins the match

+114
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Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Picks