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by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks
It’s a classic Sunday night showdown as the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees wrap up their series under the lights at Yankee Stadium. This fierce rivalry continues to deliver drama, and with the series tied at one game apiece, both teams will be looking to seize the rubber match. The Red Sox come into the contest at 31–35, trying to claw their way back to .500, while the Yankees sit atop the AL East at 39–24, continuing to thrive despite roster setbacks.
Boston has been an intriguing case this season. While their record paints a picture of mediocrity, the offense has kept them competitive. They rank 6th in Major League Baseball in both runs per game and team batting average, and their 78 home runs place them among the top 10 in power as well.
The Red Sox clearly have the bats to do damage—but pitching and bullpen consistency have been sore spots, especially in late-game situations. Their road performance hasn’t helped either, with a 14–19 record away from Fenway Park suggesting vulnerability in hostile environments.
New York, by contrast, continues to impress. At 21–11 at home, the Yankees have made Yankee Stadium a fortress. Injuries have tested their depth, but their offensive production hasn’t missed a beat. They rank 3rd in runs per game, 3rd in batting average, and lead the majors with a staggering 102 home runs. The power in their lineup is relentless, with Aaron Judge pacing the attack and contributions from Paul Goldschmidt, Gleyber Torres, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. adding layers of danger.
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Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
3
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0.609 | 64 | 39 | 25 |
21
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0.471 | 68 | 32 | 36 |
Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees Latest Matches

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4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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Boston Red Sox against New York Yankees : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
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Boston Red Sox - New York Yankees Key Points
- The Yankees are 36-18 SU in 54 games
- The Yankees are 29-32 ATS this season
- The Red Sox are 32-3 ATS this season
- The Red Sox are 8-12 record as a -108+ moneyline underdog this season
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Our Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction
On the mound, the Yankees will send out Carlos Rodón, who’s enjoying a strong season with an 8–3 record and a 2.49 ERA. At home, he’s been even better, with a 2.38 ERA over six starts. Rodón also has a solid track record against the Red Sox, winning four of his last five starts versus Boston. His aggressive fastball-slider combo has been tough for opposing lineups to square up, and he’ll look to keep that trend going.
Opposing him is Boston rookie Hunter Dobbins, making perhaps the biggest start of his young career. Dobbins has shown promise with a 2–1 record and a respectable 4.06 ERA, but Yankee Stadium is a brutal proving ground, especially against the league’s most powerful lineup. His ability to induce ground balls may be tested heavily by New York’s fly-ball-oriented sluggers.
The Yankees enter this matchup with a clear edge in both momentum and experience. If Rodón continues to pitch like an ace and the offense maintains its usual punch, New York has a strong chance to secure the series. Boston’s offense gives them a fighting chance, but unless their pitching overperforms, this one tilts toward the home team. Our prediction for NY Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: Yankees to win and cover.
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