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by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks
The Boston Red Sox are scheduled to face the Baltimore Orioles in a four-game series this week. Game One of the series is today at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and it’s scheduled to get underway at 6:35 p.m. EST. Boston comes into the series fresh off winning three of four games against the Yankees in New York to improve to 71-60. However, they are still five games back of Toronto in the AL East and only have a one-game cushion securing their spot as a wild card team. Baltimore is not mathematically eliminated from the postseason, but they are 9.5 games back for the final wild card slot.
The Red Sox appear to be going with a bullpen approach today and have Brennan Bernardino scheduled to start. Bernardino has a 4-2 record in 49 appearances (one start) with a 2.93 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, and a .196 OBA. He has gone 1-1 on the road in 23 appearances with a 3.0 ERA and .200 OBA in 21 innings. As for the Orioles, Tomoyuki Sugano is scheduled to start. Sugano has a 10-5 record in 24 starts with a 3.97 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, and a .262 OBA. In 12 home starts, he has gone 7-2 with a 3.95 ERA and .257 OBA.
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Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
0.549 | 133 | 73 | 60 |
|
24
|
0.455 | 132 | 60 | 72 |
Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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Boston Red Sox against Baltimore Orioles : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Aug 19, 2025 - MLB
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Boston Red Sox - Baltimore Orioles Key Points
- Boston leads the all-time series vs. Baltimore 1271-1050-13.
- Boston’s bullpen has a 3.41 ERA (third best in baseball).
- Boston is 18-15 since the break, while Baltimore is 17-18.
- Betting Public: 45% of TOTAL tickets and 47% of the handle are on the UNDER (9.5).
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Our Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
Both teams have hit the ball well over the last week, with Boston hitting .258 and Baltimore .251, with each team scoring 24 runs across their last five games. Sugano just pitched five solid innings vs. Boston last Tuesday, holding them to five hits and one run. Bernardino pitched a scoreless inning in the same game. Sugano can hold the Boston offense in check, but the bullpen may give the game away. Boston’s bullpen has been solid all year long. The Orioles won both games last week, but I feel like either team could win what will be a low-scoring game today.
Our Red Sox vs. Orioles Pick: UNDER 9.5
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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