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by Lou Aguila in EuroBasket Picks
Despite playing with a legit NBA center, Bosnia &Herzegovina find themselves as the underdogs at +158 moneyline ahead of their round-of-16 showdown with Poland at the 2025 EuroBasket.
Is an upset a real possibility in this matchup?
Current Form:
Bosnia & Herzegovina finished the preliminary round third with a 3-2 record in a stacked Group C. Powered by 16.5 points and 9.0 rebounds by Utah Jazz center Jusuf Nurkic, this team defeated Georgia 84-76 and Cyprus 91-64 before coming through with an 80-77 upset of Giannis Antetokounmpo-led Greece. Naturalized guard John Roberson is the second leading scorer of Bosnia & Herzegovina with 11.8 points, while Euroleague players Edin Atic and Kenen Kamenjas chipped in an average of 9.8 and 8.8 points per game, respectively.
Poland, one of the host nations of this continental basketball conclave, secured the second slot in Group D despite ending up with a similar 3-2 record as Slovenia and Israel. Spurs forward Jeremy Sochan was supposed to play at the EuroBasket, but his plan was derailed by a calf injury he suffered in training, leaving Poland without an NBA-caliber player for this tournament. Despite the circumstances, Poland toppled a Luka Doncic-powered Slovenia 105-95, edged Israel with Deni Avdija, and crushed Iceland 84-75. They also had gone toe-to-toe with heavy favorites France 78-83 before wrapping up their group stage assignments with an unexpected loss to Belgium 69-70.
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Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland Form
Bosnia & Herzegovina and Poland Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 4, 2025 - EuroBasket
Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 17, 2025 - International Friendly Games
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 4, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 10, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Feb 21, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
Nov 24, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 17, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Feb 24, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
Nov 21, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 4, 2025 - EuroBasket
Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 4, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 17, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Aug 10, 2025 - International Friendly Games
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket
Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games
Feb 24, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
Nov 24, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
Sep 18, 2022 - EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina - Poland Key Points
- Bosnia and Herzegovina center Jusuf Nurkic averages 16.5 points and 9.0 rebounds at the 2025 EuroBasket.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina finished in Group C with a 3-2 record.
- Poland's naturalized guard Jordan Loyd averages 22.0 points per game at the 2025 EuroBasket.
- Poland finished in Group D with a 3-2 record.
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Our Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland Prediction
Even without an NBA player in their lineup, Poland has shown that it can match up against elite European teams that feature NBA stars. Bosnia & Herzegovina is still a difficult opponent because of Jusuf Nurkic, who averages almost a double-double in this tournament. However, Poland possesses the right personnel to neutralize Nurkic’s towering presence. Also, the Poles seem to thrive in open-floor basketball, with fleet-footed guard Jordan Loyd leading the way with 22.0 points while getting ample support from Mateusz Ponitka, who averages 17.8 points per game.
Bosnia & Herzegovina might have an NBA star to depend on, yet Poland is proving that it can win games without even needing one.
Our betting prediction for Poland vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina: Poland -4.5 Points
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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