Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Picks - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Bradley Gibbs | in Bundesliga Picks
Saturday’s fifth and final kick-off in the German Bundesliga is the big one. That’s right, it’s time for Der Klassiker, which is the famous showdown between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich. Having met in Munich earlier in the season, the teams will now clash at the iconic Signal Iduna Park, where the hosts will be hoping to gain revenge for defeat in the reverse fixture.
The Bayern boys got the job done earlier in the campaign, winning by two goals to one, and if they can repeat that trick here, then Vincent Kompany’s men will have one hand on the 2025/26 Bundesliga title. Right now, they are eight points ahead of Dortmund in second, so a win would likely end any sort of title race.
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Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
89 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 |
|
2
|
73 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 |
Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 25, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 21, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 17, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 13, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 7, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 1, 2026 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 17, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 13, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 1, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 13, 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 25, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 21, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 7, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 9, 2026 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 21, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 14, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 11, 2026 - DFB Pokal
Feb 8, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 31, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 21, 2026 - Bundesliga
Feb 11, 2026 - DFB Pokal
Feb 8, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 11, 2026 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Feb 14, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 31, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 14, 2026 - Bundesliga
Jan 6, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Borussia Dortmund against Bayern Munich : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Oct 18, 2025 - Bundesliga
Apr 12, 2025 - Bundesliga
Nov 30, 2024 - Bundesliga
Mar 30, 2024 - Bundesliga
Nov 4, 2023 - Bundesliga
Apr 1, 2023 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich: Form Analysis
Unfortunately, the hosts do not come into this massive game in flying form. Last weekend, they tied with RB Leipzig, while they came unstuck in the UEFA Champions League during the week, losing by four goals to one against Atalanta, exiting the competition. Prior to those two rather disappointing results, the men in yellow had won four on the bounce in all competitions.
Prior to those two rather disappointing results, the men in yellow had won four on the bounce in all competitions.
As for Bayern, well, they’re flying, let’s be honest. Vincent Kompany’s men did have the slightest of wobbles a little while back, losing in hugely unexpected fashion to Augsburg, while they also tied to Hamburg, but since those rather uncharacteristic efforts, they’ve stepped on the gas and won four on the spin in all competitions, winning each of their last three in the league, scoring 11 goals in the process.
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Borussia Dortmund against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Meyer
DefenderA. Kabar
L. Reggiani
R. Bensebaini
S. Ozcan
J. Bellingham
J. Brandt
S. Inacio
S. Guirassy
S. Ulreich
J. Bartl
DefenderK. Min-jae
R. Guerreiro
MidfielderJ. Musiala
T. Bischof
L. Karl
L. Goretzka
N. Jackson
Missing players
N. Sule
F. Mane
A. Davies
Borussia Dortmund & Bayern Munich Squad Analysis
The BVB boys will be without key player Julian Ryerson, who in recent weeks, has been one of their most creative players, providing no less than six assists since the start of February. Nicolas Sule also continues to be doubtful. Having started on the bench during the week, Fabio Silva, who scored the equalizer a week ago, could come into the starting XI to freshen things up.
Having started on the bench during the week, Fabio Silva, who scored the equalizer a week ago, could come into the starting XI to freshen things up.
For Bayern, Alphonso Davies continues to be sidelined with injury, while veteran keeper Manuel Neuer is also out. Aside from those two absentees, though, the visitors have few personnel concerns. Having had a full week to rest and prepare, the Bayern boys should be at full strength here, with key players Harry Kane, Luis Diaz, Michael Olise and Jamal Musiala all expected to start.
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
Bayern Munich
S. Guirassy
(17 Goals)
H. Kane
(36 Goals)
J. Ryerson
(15 Assists)
M. Olise
(20 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Last time out in the Bundesliga, Michael Olise looked very hungry, taking six shots.
- Only Harry Kane has taken more shots than Michael Olise for Bayern this season.
- When the teams met earlier in the season, Michael Olise scored.
- This season, Michael Olise has scored an average of 0.59 goals per 90 minutes against the current top six in the Bundesliga.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction
It's been a little while since the fabulous and incredibly easy-on-the-eye Michael Olise last found the net for Bayern, with the winger/forward acting as more of a provider in recent weeks, but he looked hungry to get back on the scoresheet last time out, shooting six times, so do not be surprised if his next goal comes in this huge fixture. After all, Olise is a man for the big occasion, scoring against Dortmund earlier in the season.
If we factor in that Olise averages 0.59 goals per 90 minutes against the current top six in the Bundesliga, then odds of +190 (34.5% implied probability) look a bit too generous to ignore if you ask me.
Our Dortmund vs Bayern Pick: Michael Olise to Score.
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich - Other Interesting Picks
Bayern to Win
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich match : Frequently asked questions
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