ATP - ATP Almaty Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Corentin Moutet of France tangles with Bernard Tomic of Australia in the first round of the 2025 Almaty Open on Monday.
Ranked No.38 and seeded No.8 in this ATP 250 event, Moutet is a -390 favorite and listed at +104 on -4.5 games spreadline in his first-ever encounter with Tomic.
Current Form:
Moutet competed at the 2025 Shanghai Masters, where he was bounced out of the tournament as early as the first round after losing to American rising star Learner Tien in three sets, 6-4, 4-6, 4-6. The Frenchman had also reached the semifinal of the ATP 250 Hangzhou Open, where he picked up wins over Arthur Cazaux and Tomas Martin Etcheverry before losing to upstart Valentin Royer 3-6, 2-6 in the final four.
Ranked 168th in the world, Tomic reached the main draw of the 2025 Almaty Open after beating Denis Yevseyev 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 and Marc-Andrea Huesler 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 in the qualification stages. Tomic had also played at the Jinan Challenger, where he made a run to the quarterfinals before losing to Shintaro Mochizuki in a gut-wrenching three-set battle 3-6 7-6(3) 7-6(6).
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Bernard Tomic vs Corentin Moutet Form
Bernard Tomic and Corentin Moutet Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 12, 2025 - ATP Almaty Open
Oct 11, 2025 - ATP Almaty Open
Oct 10, 2025 - Jinan, China
Oct 8, 2025 - Jinan, China
Oct 7, 2025 - Jinan, China
Sep 29, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 4, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 28, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 26, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 22, 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open
Sep 21, 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open
Sep 20, 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open
Bernard Tomic - Corentin Moutet Key Points
- Bernard Tomic defeated Marc-Andrea Huesler in the final qualifier for the main draw of the 2025 Almaty Open.
- Bernard Tomic is 37-47 in career indoor matches.Bernard Tomic is 37-47 in career indoor matches.
- Corentin Moutet reached the semifinal of the 2025 Hangzhou Open.
- Corentin Moutet carried a 54 percent win rate in indoor hard-court matches.
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Our Bernard Tomic vs Corentin Moutet Prediction
Moutet will be playing his first indoor match this year, but he’s a career 64-54 in this type of match. The Frenchman is 11-6 against players outside the top 100 on the ATP world rankings, while Tomic is 3-4 against the ATP top 100 in 2025.
Fearless Forecast: Moutet will grind out a straight set win over Tomic, covering -4.5 games. Moutet has spent most of the season playing on the main ATP Tour circuit, while Tomic has played almost half the number of his matches this year on the Challenger level. Moutet gets the win 6-3, 6-4.
Our betting prediction for Corentin Moutet vs. Bernard Tomic: Corentin Moutet -4.5 Games
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