Benfica Lisbon vs Real Madrid Prediction & Picks - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Simon Day | in Champions League Picks
Real Madrid visit Benfica on Matchday Eight of the Champions League, knowing that they just need to avoid defeat to virtually guarantee an automatic place in the last 16 of the competition.
Last week's 6-1 thumping of Monaco moved Real up to third in the standings. However, due to the tight nature of the league, there are a whopping 12 teams within three points of them. As such, Madrid head coach Álvaro Arbeloa is likely to field a full strength starting eleven in Lisbon as he looks to ensure his side avoid dropping into the playoff positions.
Benfica's path to the next round is a lot trickier. To move into the top 24 of the league and secure a playoff place, they need to beat Madrid, plus hope that results elsewhere go in their favour. Given their mediocre recent form, that looks a tall order against one of the strongest teams in the competition.
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Benfica Lisbon vs Real Madrid Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +9 |
|
24
|
9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 |
Benfica Lisbon and Real Madrid Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 25, 2026 - Liga Portugal
Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - Liga Portugal
Jan 14, 2026 - Taca de Portugal
Jan 7, 2026 - Portugal League Cup
Jan 3, 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 25, 2026 - Liga Portugal
Jan 7, 2026 - Portugal League Cup
Jan 3, 2026 - Liga Portugal
Dec 22, 2025 - Liga Portugal
Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League
Dec 5, 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - Liga Portugal
Jan 14, 2026 - Taca de Portugal
Dec 28, 2025 - Liga Portugal
Dec 17, 2025 - Taca de Portugal
Dec 14, 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 14, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Jan 11, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
Jan 8, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League
Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga
Dec 20, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League
Dec 7, 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga
Jan 14, 2026 - Copa del Rey
Jan 11, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
Jan 8, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Dec 14, 2025 - LaLiga
Benfica Lisbon against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
D. Ferreira
DefenderD. Banjaqui
A. Silva
J. Neto
G. Oliveira
MidfielderF. Ivanovic
E. Barrenechea
M. Silva
D. Prioste
ForwardJ. Rego
A. Cabral
Bruma
F. Gonzalez
A. Lunin
DefenderD. Aguado
D. Alaba
D. Carvajal
F. Garcia
MidfielderE. Camavinga
J. Cestero
D. Ceballos
ForwardG. Garcia
Rodrygo
B. Diaz
Missing players
A. Ruediger
T. Alexander-Arnold
F. Mendy
E. Militao
Most goals and assists
Benfica Lisbon
Real Madrid
V. Pavlidis
(2 Goals)
, 
L. Barreiro
(2 Goals)
, 
A. Schjelderup
(2 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(15 Goals)
G. Sudakov
(2 Assists)
,
V. Pavlidis
(2 Assists)
Vinicius Junior
(6 Assists)
Benfica Lisbon - Real Madrid Key Points
- Benfica have lost 5 of their 7 Champions League games this season
- Real have scored 19 goals in 7 Champions League games this season
- Benfica have lost 3 of their last 5 games
- Madrid have scored in each of their last 9 away fixtures
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Real Madrid Prediction
This is a must win game for Benfica, but we don't think they have the quality to cause too many problems for a Madrid side that are enjoying another excellent Champions League campaign.
Central to Madrid's success in the competition has been the form of striker Kylian Mbappe, who has scored a remarkable 11 goals in just six matches so far this season.
If Mbappe can continue his sensational scoring run (and there's no reason why he won't), this should be a routine away win for Real.
Our prediction for Benfica vs Real Madrid is: Real Madrid (-1) to win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
