Benedict Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett Prediction & Picks - UFC #329

UFC - UFC #329

Benedict Saint Denis
7/11/26 20:00
Paddy Pimblett

Prediction:

 

Total rounds to stay under 2.5.

-160
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Stephen Abiola | in UFC Picks

Benoit Saint Denis (17-3-0) and Paddy Pumblett (23-4-0) will clash in the UFC Lightweight class on Saturday night at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Saint Denis will enter this contest as the -143 favorite, looking to keep the winning momentum. “The God of War” has picked up stoppage victories in his last four assignments, with the latest being a KO win over Dan Hooker in January this year. He’ll be keen to add another KO win to his 6-2 record this weekend.

Paddy Pimblett, on the other hand, is the exciting +116 betting underdog. The 31-year-old Englishman is easily one of the most-watched and likeable characters in MMA, making him a good business asset. Since joining the franchise in September 2021, Paddy has won his seven straight fights before earning a title shot against Justin Gaethje at UFC 324. However, he lost the fight via unanimous decision and will be keen to get himself back into the title conversation with a win.

Benedict Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett Picks

Benedict Saint Denis - Paddy Pimblett Key Points

  1. The total rounds went under 2.5 in 11 of the last 12 Saint Denis bouts.
  2. The total rounds went under 2.5 in four of the last eight Paddy Pimblett bouts.
  3. The fight went the distance only three times in the last eight Paddy Pimblette bouts.
  4. The fight went the distance only once in the last 12 Saint Denis bouts.

Our Benedict Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett Prediction

Saint Denis has age and momentum on his side. The 30-year-old has kept on disappointing his doubters with impressive KO and submission wins in his recent assignments. He’s a high-volume striker with dangerous knockout power. He averages 5.62 significant strikes per minute, with a 58% success rate. However, Pimblett matches him perfectly in this comparison, averaging 5.49 significant strikes per minute with a 52% success rate. The Englishman will want to exploit Saint Denis’ unconvincing defensive lines and hit him too often. His jiu-jitsu background also makes him a tricky opponent on his back, even when he’s knocked down. We’re backing the tricky Pimblett to win by stoppage this weekend.

Our prediction for Benoit Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett: Total rounds to stay under 2.5.

Prediction:

 

Total rounds to stay under 2.5.

-160
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.