Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez Prediction & Picks - ASB Classic
ATP - ASB Classic
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Ben Shelton of the United States will duke it out with another Argentine, Sebastian Baez, in the quarterfinal round of the 2026 ASB Classic on Wednesday.
Best Pick: Sebastian Baez +3.5 Games (-102).
Payout: $202 on a $102 Bet.
Current Form:
Shelton captured his first win of 2026 after downing Francisco Comesana of Argentina 7-5, 6-4. The American’s service game remains elite, winning 80 percent of his first serves to hold all his service games while seizing two breakpoint conversions. One of the best servers on the tour over these last few years, Shelton averaged 9.8 aces per game and won 74 percent of his first serves in 2025.
Baez has sustained her hot form from the United Cup, taking down American Emilio Nava 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 and Jenson Brooksby 7-5, 6-0 to reach the quarterfinals of the 2026 ASB Classic. Those two wins in Auckland extended Baez’s winning streak to five matches after the Argentine posted a 3-0 record in men’s singles play at the United Cup, beating Jaume Munar, Taylor Fritz and Stanislas Wawrinka.
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Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez Form
Ben Shelton and Sebastian Baez Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jan 13, 2026 - ASB Classic
Nov 14, 2025 - ATP Finals
Nov 12, 2025 - ATP Finals
Nov 9, 2025 - ATP Finals
Oct 31, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 30, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 13, 2026 - ASB Classic
Jan 12, 2026 - ASB Classic
Jan 7, 2026 - United Cup
Jan 3, 2026 - United Cup
Jan 1, 2026 - United Cup
Oct 27, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Ben Shelton - Sebastian Baez Key Points
- Sebastian Baez is 5-0 in 2026.
- Sebastian Baez has converted on 19 of 33 breakpoint chances.
- Ben Shelton is 1-0 vs. Sebastian Baez.
- Ben Shelton averaged at least 9 aces per game in 2025.
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Our Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Ben Shelton survives Sebastian Baez 6-4, 7-6, 6-4
Reasoning: Shelton is the popular pick in this matchup because of his top-10 reputation and star power. Shelton garnered 84 percent of the vote at Sofascore to win the match against Baez. But if you are paying close attention to everything that is happening on the tour through the first two weeks of the season, you would know that Baez is a dangerous opponent for Shelton in the quarterfinals. Argentina is undefeated after five matches in 2026, taking down Taylor Fritz, Jaume Munar and three-time Grand Slam winner Stan Wawrinka. Shelton also made a strong impression in his win over Comesana, but Baez is on another level right now. Baez has posted a 78.4 percent break point save percentage and a 57.6 percent breakpoint conversion rate. Shelton should prepare for an acid test against Baez, who can certainly pull off a stunner if he continues to raise his play.
Our betting prediction for Sebastian Baez vs. Ben Shelton: Sebastian Baez +3.5 GamesGrab an extra $300 for your Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez wager!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
