Belinda Bencic vs Varvara Gracheva Prediction & Picks - Japan Women's Open

WTA - Japan Women's Open

WTA 13 Switzerland
Belinda Bencic
10/21/25 21:30
WTA 82 France
Varvara Gracheva

Prediction:

 

Belinda Bencic to Win 2-0

-120
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Tennis Picks

Early in the hours of Thursday morning, at least for viewers currently in the US, Belinda Bencic will be in action for the first time at the WTA event in Tokyo. The world number 13, who is the fifth seed at this tournament, was given a bye in the first round and is now up against Varvara Gracheva. Ranked signifcantly below her Swiss opponent, the French player is expected by the early betting market to feel the heat in this match, and let's be honest, it's super hard to disagree with that. 

Bencic has shown some strong form in this part of the world recently, losing out only to Iga Swiatek in Wuhan, before beating both Magda Linette and Yulia Starodubtseva in Ningbo. Sure, she lost to Jasmine Paolini last time out, but she did push the world number six to a third set, which tells me that she ought to thrive now going up against a lesser opponent. 

Belinda Bencic vs Varvara Gracheva Form

Belinda Bencic and Varvara Gracheva Latest Matches

Belinda Bencic Latest matches
W W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 17, 2025 - Ningbo Open

Belinda Bencic
1 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

Oct 15, 2025 - Ningbo Open

Belinda Bencic
2 :  1
Yuliia Starodubtseva

Oct 13, 2025 - Ningbo Open

Belinda Bencic
2 :  0
Magda Linette

Oct 9, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Belinda Bencic
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

Oct 8, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Belinda Bencic
withdraw
Elise Mertens

Oct 7, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Belinda Bencic
2 :  0
Donna Vekić
Varvara Gracheva Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 19, 2025 - Japan Women's Open

Xinyu Wang
1 :  2
Varvara Gracheva

Oct 18, 2025 - Japan Women's Open

Varvara Gracheva
2 :  0
Maddison Inglis

Oct 17, 2025 - Japan Women's Open

Emiliana Arango
1 :  2
Varvara Gracheva

Oct 13, 2025 - Japan Women's Open

Ann Li
2 :  0
Varvara Gracheva

Oct 12, 2025 - Japan Women's Open

Varvara Gracheva
2 :  0
Elena-Gabriela Ruse

Oct 12, 2025 - Japan Women's Open

Varvara Gracheva
2 :  0
Himeno Sakatsume
Compare Belinda Bencic and Varvara Gracheva with our comparison tool.

Belinda Bencic - Varvara Gracheva Key Points

  1. This will be the first time that the pair have met on the WTA.
  2. Varvara Gracheva doesn't have a good record against higher-ranked players.
  3. Varvara Gracheva lost her last match against a top-45 player in straight sets.
  4. Belinda Bencic has recently beaten the likes of Linette, Vekic and Volynets in straight sets.

Our Belinda Bencic vs Varvara Gracheva Prediction

The early market has definitely got this right, making Bencic a strong favorite to get the job done, though I'd say that she could easily be priced even shorter to win in straight sets. There's a clear gap in quality here, so much so that odds of -120 on the Swiss player winning 2-0 appeal. As we've recently seen against the likes of Magda Linette and Donna Vekic, both of whom are arguably a good bit stronger than Gracheva, Bencic typically makes light work of assignments of this nature. Our Belinda Bencic vs Varvara Gracheva Pick: Belinda Bencic to Win 2-0. 

Prediction:

 

Belinda Bencic to Win 2-0

-120
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Belinda Bencic vs Varvara Gracheva Picks