Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Picks - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
10/18/25 12:30
Borussia Dortmund

Prediction:

 

Bayern to win and under 3.5 goals

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 by Simon Day in Bundesliga Picks

The first Der Klassiker of the season takes place on Saturday evening, as league leaders Bayern Munich host Borussia Dortmund at the Allianz Arena. 

Saturday's fixture will be the 138th encounter between the two German giants, with Bayern holding a healthy 67-33 lead in the head to head. 

Last season's matches between Bayern and Dortmund both ended all square. An 87th minute strike from midfielder Jamal Musiala snatched a draw for Bayern at Signal Iduna Park last November, before Waldemar Anton returned the favor with a late goal of his own to secure a 2-2 draw for Dortmund in the return game. 

Both sides are unbeaten so far this season, but Bayern hold a healthy four point lead over their rivals, thanks to a 100% start to the campaign that has seen them rack up an astonishing 25 goals in their opening six fixtures. 

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
18 6 6 0 0 22
2
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
14 6 4 2 0 8

Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund Latest Matches

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
4 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
0 :  3
Bayern Munich

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Pafos FC
1 :  5
Bayern Munich

Sep 26, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  0
Werder Bremen

Sep 20, 2025 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
1 :  4
Bayern Munich

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Chelsea

Sep 13, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  0
Hamburg
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
4.33 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Sep 26, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  0
Werder Bremen

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Chelsea

Sep 13, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  0
Hamburg

Aug 22, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
6 :  0
Leipzig

Aug 7, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Bayern Munich
4 :  0
Tottenham

Aug 7, 2025 - Telekom Cup

Bayern Munich
4 :  0
Tottenham
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
0 :  3
Bayern Munich

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Pafos FC
1 :  5
Bayern Munich

Sep 20, 2025 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
1 :  4
Bayern Munich

Aug 30, 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
2 :  3
Bayern Munich

Aug 27, 2025 - DFB Pokal

Wehen Wiesbaden
2 :  3
Bayern Munich

Aug 16, 2025 - German Super Cup

Stuttgart
1 :  2
Bayern Munich
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Latest matches
W D W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Leipzig

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Sep 27, 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Sep 21, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  0
Wolfsburg

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Juventus
4 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

Sep 13, 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund
W L W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Leipzig

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Sep 21, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  0
Wolfsburg

Aug 31, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  0
Union Berlin

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  2
Juventus

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
Lille
W W D W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Juventus
4 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

Sep 13, 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Aug 23, 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
3 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

Aug 18, 2025 - DFB Pokal

Rot-Weiss Essen
0 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Jul 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sportfreunde Siegen 1899
1 :  8
Borussia Dortmund

Bayern Munich against Borussia Dortmund : Head to Head (H2H)

Bayern Munich

33 %

Draw

50 %

Borussia Dortmund

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
67%
BTTS
2.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Apr 12, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Nov 30, 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Bayern Munich

Mar 30, 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Nov 4, 2023 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  4
Bayern Munich

Apr 1, 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Oct 8, 2022 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis

Bayern have been in scintillating form over the last two months. Their 3-0 win at Frankfurt last time out was their tenth in a row in all competitions and means they have already scored a remarkable 38 goals this season. England striker Harry Kane has been leading the way, with his strike at Frankfurt taking his tally to a remarkable 11 goals in six Bundesliga matches. With the likes of Michael Olise, Serge Gnabry and Luis Diaz also in superb form, Bayern look well-equipped to retain their domestic title and mount a serious bid for Champions League glory. 

Solid start for Dortmund 

Whilst Dortmund have not quite hit the same heights as Bayern, Niko Kovač's side have amade a very impressive start to the campaign. The hard fought 1-1 draw with Leipzig in their last game maintained Dortmund's unbeaten record, but unless they can record a famous win in Munich on Saturday, it is hard to see them being able to keep pace with Bayern in the title race. 

Borussia Dortmund v Bayern Munich last Lineups

Bayern Munich

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
M. Neuer
23
S. Boey
2
D. Upamecano
4
J. Tah
27
K. Laimer
6
J. Kimmich
8
L. Goretzka
17
M. Olise
7
S. Gnabry
14
L. Diaz
9
H. Kane
9
S. Guirassy
14
M. Beier
27
K. Adeyemi
24
D. Svensson
8
F. Nmecha
20
M. Sabitzer
2
Y. Couto
5
R. Bensebaini
4
N. Schlotterbeck
3
W. Anton
1
G. Kobel

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Borussia Dortmund

Missing players

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Defender

H. Ito

R. Guerreiro

Midfielder

A. Davies

J. Musiala

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Defender

J. Ryerson

Midfielder

E. Can

P. Gross

C. Campbell

Forward

J. Duranville

Bayern Munich & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis

Young attacking midfielder Jamal Musiala remains a long term absentee for Bayern with a broken fibula, whilst full backs Josip Stanisic and Alphonso Davies also remain on the sidelines. In their absence, Sacha Boey and Konrad Laimer are expected to continue in defence, with Serge Gnabry, Michael Olise and Luis Diaz providing the main support to Harry Kane up front. 

Injury boost for Dortmund

The big news coming out of the Dortmund camp this week is that star striker Serhou Guirassy has been passed fit following concerns over a minor thigh problem. The Guinean forward is expected to lead the line for Dortmund on Saturday, with Maximilian Beier and Karim Adeyemi providing the chief support. Midfielder Emre Can is the only long term injury absence for Dortmund. The German international has been out since July with persistent abdominal pain, and there is no set timeline for his return to first-team action. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bayern Munich
CD Huachipato Borussia Dortmund
Top Goalscorer
England H. Kane (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
S. Guirassy (6 Goals)
Best assists
France M. Olise (4 Assists)
Colombia L. Diaz (4 Assists)
Best assists
S. Guirassy (3 Assists)
Germany K. Adeyemi (3 Assists)
Austria M. Sabitzer (3 Assists)

Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund Stats in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
100%
Victories
67%
0%
Draw
33%
0%
Defeats
0%
4.67
Total goals per match
2.67
4.17
Goals scored per match
2
0.5
Goals conceded per match
0.67
100%
Over 2.5
33%
0%
Under 2.5
67%
33%
BTTS
33%
67%
No goals conceded
67%

Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund Key Points

  1. Bayern are on a 10 match winning streak
  2. Dortmund have conceded just 4 goals in their opening 6 Bundesliga matches
  3. Bayern have lost just 1 of their last 11 games against Dortmund
  4. Bayern have conceded just 3 goals in their opening 6 Bundesliga matches

Our Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Bayern have been scoring for fun this season, but we think they will find it harder going against a resolute Dortmund defence this weekend. Similarly, Dortmund's talented frontline will not have an easy time of it against a Bayern defence that has conceded just three goals in six Bundesliga games this season. 

While we expect this to be a highly entertaining game, we are not predicting it to be an out-and-out goal fest. Instead, we are tipping Bayern to maintain their 100% record in a fairly low scoring contest. 

Our prediction for Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund is: Bayern to win and under 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Bayern to win and under 3.5 goals

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Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund - Other Interesting Picks

Harry Kane to score at least 2 goals

Odds +215
Harry Kane is in the form of his life and has an astonishing 18 goals already this season. Dortmund won't make life easy for England's record goalscorer, but given Kane's breathtaking displays in recent weeks, we are tipping the striker to bag another brace on Saturday night.
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Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund match : Frequently asked questions

The Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund game kicks off at 18:30 CET on Saturday October 18th.
The Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund is taking place at the Allianz Arena in Munich.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Picks