Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
3/11/26 13:45
Arsenal

Prediction:

 

Bukayo Saka to Score

+300
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Champions League Picks

The UEFA Champions League starts to get serious again this week, and on Wednesday, one of those with serious sights set on the top prize will be in action. EPL leaders Arsenal travel to take on Bayer Leverkusen, hoping to secure a positive result ahead of the second leg in North London. 

Having dominated the League Phase, the Gunners didn’t need to bother with the play-offs, instead entering the Round-of-16 directly. The same cannot be said for Wednesday’s hosts, who didn’t make the top eight. Therefore, they were tasked with a play-off tie to reach this stage, beating Olympiakos of Greece by two goals to zero on aggregate. With that solid effort in the bank, can they now step on the gas and challenge one of the best teams on the continent? Having lost none of their last four home games, the men from Germany may just fancy themselves to do just that.

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Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal Form

Bayer Leverkusen and Arsenal Latest Matches

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen Latest matches
W L D D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Mar 7, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

Mar 4, 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 28, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Feb 24, 2026 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  0
Olympiacos

Feb 21, 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 18, 2026 - Champions League

Olympiacos
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen
W W W W D D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 28, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

Feb 24, 2026 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
0 :  0
Olympiacos

Feb 14, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
4 :  0
St. Pauli

Feb 3, 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  0
St. Pauli

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  0
Villarreal

Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  0
Werder Bremen
W D W L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 7, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

Mar 4, 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 21, 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 18, 2026 - Champions League

Olympiacos
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Feb 7, 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Jan 31, 2026 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Arsenal Latest matches
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup

Mansfield Town
1 :  2
Arsenal

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Chelsea

Feb 22, 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  4
Arsenal

Feb 18, 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  2
Arsenal

Feb 15, 2026 - FA Cup

Arsenal
4 :  0
Wigan
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Chelsea

Feb 15, 2026 - FA Cup

Arsenal
4 :  0
Wigan

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Sunderland

Feb 3, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
1 :  0
Chelsea

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  2
Kairat Almaty

Jan 25, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  3
Manchester United
W D D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup

Mansfield Town
1 :  2
Arsenal

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  1
Arsenal

Feb 22, 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  4
Arsenal

Feb 18, 2026 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  2
Arsenal

Feb 12, 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Arsenal

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  4
Arsenal

Bayer Leverkusen against Arsenal : Head to Head (H2H)

Bayer Leverkusen

0 %

Draw

0 %

Arsenal

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
4
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Aug 7, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
4 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen - Arsenal: Form Analysis

As far as recent form goes, the hosts turn up in relatively decent shape. They’ve lost just one of their last 12 in all competitions, and that defeat came on the road. In front of their own fans, Kasper Hjulmand’s men are undefeated in six, four of which they’ve won. What is slightly concerning is the fact that they received a serious hammering at home in this competition earlier in the season, losing by seven goals to two against PSG. For the sake of the home fans, hopefully they can do better against another of Europe’s big hitters. 

For the sake of the home fans, hopefully they can do better against another of Europe’s big hitters. 

The Gunners will go to BayArena in very sturdy form indeed. Last time out, they extended their current winning streak to four games, beating lowly Mansfield in the FA Cup. Prior to that, they secured a third straight league win, while Mikel Arteta’s men have now gone 11 games without tasting defeat. They’ve won nine of those games. When they last ventured away from home in the UCL, they beat Inter by three goals to one, proving that they definitely mean business in this competition.

Up to $250 to bet on Bayer Leverkusen - Arsenal! 

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Bayer Leverkusen against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11

Bayer Leverkusen

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

28
J. Blaswich
4
J. Quansah
8
R. Andrich
12
E. Tapsoba
19
E. Poku
25
E. Palacios
24
A. Garcia
20
A. Grimaldo
11
M. Terrier
30
I. Maza
35
C. Kofane
14
V. Gyokeres
11
G. Martinelli
10
E. Eze
7
B. Saka
36
M. Zubimendi
41
D. Rice
5
P. Hincapie
6
G. Magalhaes
2
W. Saliba
12
J. Timber
1
D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Arsenal

Substitutes

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Goalkeeper

J. Omlin

N. Lomb

Defender

T. Oermann

Midfielder

E. Fernandez

E. Palacios 81'

M. Tillman

I. Maza 74'

J. Hofmann

M. Terrier 81'

A. Tape

Forward

M. Culbreath

P. Schick

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

K. Ranson

K. Arrizabalaga

Defender

C. Mosquera

M. Salmon

B. White

R. Calafiori

Midfielder

M. Lewis-Skelly

C. Norgaard

M. Dowman

Forward

K. Havertz

V. Gyokeres 74'

N. Madueke

B. Saka 60'

G. Jesus

E. Eze 82'

Missing players

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Goalkeeper

M. Flekken

Defender

L. Vazquez

L. Bade

Arthur

Forward

N. Tella

E. Ben Seghir

Arsenal
Arsenal
Midfielder

M. Odegaard

M. Merino

Forward

L. Trossard

Bayer Leverkusen & Arsenal Squad Analysis

The hosts have a few personnel issues ahead of this game. For starters, defender Arthur is expected to remain out having missed the last few games, while Loic Bade and Eliesse Ben Seghir are also both sidelined currently. The second of those two absentees is something of a serious blow for Kasper Hjulmand, who will also be without the services of the vastly experienced Lucas Vazquez, who would surely be a valuable addition in a big game of this nature. 

Having hit form of late, Eberechi Eze is expected to continue in one of the forward areas.

For the Gunners, the injury crisis is less severe. Martin Odegaard is out, as is Mikel Merino, but Mikel Arteta has a deep squad, one that is full of quality. Influential defender William Saliba is a doubt, as are Ben White and Leandro Trossard. Having hit form of late, Eberechi Eze is expected to continue in one of the forward areas.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bayer Leverkusen
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
Spain A. Grimaldo (4 Goals)
Czech Republic P. Schick (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil G. Martinelli (6 Goals)
Best assists
Spain A. Grimaldo (3 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium L. Trossard (5 Assists)

Bayer Leverkusen - Arsenal Key Points

  1. In the UCL this season, Bukayo Saka averages a chunky 2.40 shots on target per 90 minutes.
  2. Bukayo Saka averages a healthy 0.48 goals per 90 minutes in the Champions League this season.
  3. When he last started for Arsenal, Bukayo Saka found the net.
  4. Bukayo Saka has taken the second-most shots for Arsenal in the Champions League this season.
Up to $250 to bet on Bayer Leverkusen - Arsenal! 

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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal Prediction

Having been rested at the weekend, Bukayo Saka should be raring to go at BayArena, where he will likely cause the hosts lots of issues on the break. One of the most dangerous players in the entire competition, Saka is averaging nearly a goal every other UCL game this term, while he should be feeling confident following his recent EPL goal against Brighton. 

This looks like a really nice opportunity for the Gunners to get at a Bayer Leverkusen team that is often all too open in big games, and Saka should be in the thick of the offensive action. Given his numbers and how in-form he looked in his last start, the forward simply looks leniently priced to notch at odds of +300. 

Our Leverkusen vs Arsenal Pick: Bukayo Saka to Score. 

Prediction:

 

Bukayo Saka to Score

+300
$250 offered for betting!

Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Picks

Arsenal to Win

Odds -150
Even at odds of -150, Moneyline bettors may want to consider taking the visitors to come out on top. The hosts have looked very weak at the back in big games this season, especially in the UCL, and a team of Arsenal's counter-offensive quality should have little trouble getting the job done in rather solid fashion.
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Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions

This UEFA Champions League Round-of-16 first leg will take place at BayArena.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal Picks