Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Barcelona
5/10/26 15:00
Real Madrid

Prediction:

 

Marcus Rashford to Assist

+275
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in LaLiga Picks

Sunday’s LaLiga action concludes with a match that is one of the biggest in world soccer, as Barcelona and Real Madrid renew their rather bitter rivalry at Camp Nou. Given where we are in the season, this El Clasico cannot alter the standings, with the hosts already wrapping up the title, but we shouldn’t make the mistake of thinking that this does not matter. Whether there are important points on the line or not, both teams will want to win what is always a fiercely contested match.

Playing against each other for the third time this season, both will be looking to end the season with the El Clasico bragging rights, after Los Blancos won the reverse LaLiga fixture, before Barcelona triumphed in the Spanish Super Cup duel. Looking at the early lines, it’s worth betting on home-team forward Marcus Rashford to register an assist.

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Barcelona vs Real Madrid Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Barcelona
94 38 31 1 6 +59
2 Real Madrid
86 38 27 5 6 +42

Barcelona and Real Madrid Latest Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 2, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  2
Barcelona

Apr 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  2
Barcelona

Apr 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Celta Vigo

Apr 14, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Barcelona

Apr 11, 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  1
Espanyol

Apr 8, 2026 - Champions League

Barcelona
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Celta Vigo

Apr 11, 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  1
Espanyol

Apr 8, 2026 - Champions League

Barcelona
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Mar 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Mar 18, 2026 - Champions League

Barcelona
7 :  2
Newcastle

Mar 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
5 :  2
Sevilla
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 2, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  2
Barcelona

Apr 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  2
Barcelona

Apr 14, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Barcelona

Apr 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Barcelona

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Newcastle
1 :  1
Barcelona

Mar 7, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
L D L W D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 3, 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
0 :  2
Real Madrid

Apr 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Apr 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Alavés

Apr 15, 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
4 :  3
Real Madrid

Apr 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Girona

Apr 7, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Bayern Munich
W W W L D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 21, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Alavés

Apr 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Girona

Apr 7, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

Mar 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Mar 14, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Elche

Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  0
Manchester City
W W L L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 3, 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
0 :  2
Real Madrid

Apr 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  1
Real Madrid

Apr 15, 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
4 :  3
Real Madrid

Apr 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Mallorca
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League

Manchester City
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Mar 6, 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Barcelona against Real Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)

Barcelona

83 %

Draw

0 %

Real Madrid

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5.17
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
3.33
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Jan 11, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup

Barcelona
3 :  2
Real Madrid

Oct 26, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Barcelona

May 11, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  3
Real Madrid

Apr 26, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
3 :  2
Real Madrid

Jan 12, 2025 - Spanish Super Cup

Real Madrid
2 :  5
Barcelona

Oct 26, 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  4
Barcelona

Barcelona - Real Madrid: Form Analysis

As far as recent form is concerned, the hosts have been perfect. They’ll head into Sunday’s El Clasico off the back of beating Osasuna in a rather efficient style, while they made light work of defeating Getafe prior to that. Hansi Flick’s men have now won each of their five games since disappointingly losing at home to Atletico Madrid in the UCL quarter-finals. They’ve also won nine of their last ten games in all competitions, which is not to be taken lightly. 

They’ve also won nine of their last ten games in all competitions, which is not to be taken lightly. 

In contrast, the visitors approach this game in rather patchy form, having not won back-to-back games since March. It’s clear to see that things aren’t going swimmingly for Los Blancos, who have clearly been hit quite hard by the realisation that it’s going to be a baron season. Reportedly in talks with bringing back Jose Mourinho, the visitors have won only two of their last seven games in all competitions, three of which they’ve lost.

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Barcelona against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11

Barcelona

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

13
J. Garcia
24
E. Garcia
5
P. Cubarsi
18
G. Martin
2
J. Cancelo
6
Gavi
8
Pedri
14
M. Rashford
20
D. Olmo
16
F. Lopez
7
F. Torres
7
Vinicius Junior
16
G. Garcia
5
J. Bellingham
14
A. Tchouameni
6
E. Camavinga
21
B. Diaz
20
F. Garcia
22
A. Ruediger
17
R. Asencio
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
1
T. Courtois

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Real Madrid

Substitutes

Barcelona
Barcelona
Goalkeeper

E. Aller

W. Szczesny

Defender

R. Araujo

A. Balde

F. Lopez 88'

J. Kounde

Midfielder

X. Espart Font

R. Bardghji

M. Casado

M. Bernal

Gavi 77'

F. De Jong

D. Olmo 64'

Forward

Raphinha

M. Rashford 64'

R. Lewandowski

F. Torres 77'

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

S. Mestre

A. Lunin

Defender

D. Jimenez

A. Carreras

D. Alaba

D. Huijsen

Midfielder

T. Pitarch Pinar

E. Camavinga 71'

C. Palacios

G. Garcia 79'

J. Cestero

Forward

F. Mastantuono

B. Diaz 79'

Missing players

Barcelona
Barcelona
Goalkeeper

M. Ter Stegen

Defender

A. Christensen

Forward

L. Yamal

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

D. Carvajal

F. Mendy

E. Militao

Midfielder

D. Ceballos

F. Valverde

Forward

K. Mbappe

Rodrygo

A. Guler

Endrick

Barcelona & Real Madrid Squad Analysis

From a personnel point of view, the hosts are sitting pretty right now. Sure, they do have star player Lamine Yamal out, and we can’t make out that the absence of the winger doesn’t weaken the hosts, because it does, but they do have all other key players fit and ready for action. Having come off the bench to register a timely assist last time out, Marcus Rashford should return to the starting XI. 

Head coach Alvara Arbeloa will not be able to call upon the services of long-time servant Dani Carvajal, whose fight and experience is often invaluable in these big games, while Arder Guler is also sidelined.

It's a different story for the visitors, who have several absentees to deal with at present. Head coach Alvara Arbeloa will not be able to call upon the services of long-time servant Dani Carvajal, whose fight and experience is often invaluable in these big games, while Arder Guler is also sidelined. The same can be said for Ferland Mendy and Federico Valverde, which definitely leaves the visitors weakened. Regular keeper Thibaut Courtois is also a doubt. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Barcelona
CD Huachipato Real Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Spain F. Torres (16 Goals)
Spain L. Yamal (16 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (25 Goals)
Best assists
Spain L. Yamal (11 Assists)
Best assists
Turkey A. Guler (9 Assists)

Barcelona - Real Madrid Key Points

  1. When the teams met earlier in the season, Marcus Rashford registered an assist.
  2. In LaLiga this season, Marcus Rashford averages 0.41 assists per 90 minutes.
  3. Per 90 minutes this term, only the absent Lamine Yamal and Fermin Lopez have registered more assists for Barca than Marcus Rashford.
  4. Marcus Rashford comes into this game having registered an assist last time out.
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Our Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction

Against a wounded Real Madrid team, the hosts should be capable of enjoying themselves, especially on the break, where the visitors have struggled in recent weeks, and where Marcus Rashford thrives. The Barcelona speedster registered an assist last time out, and with his tail up, he could easily turn provider against Los Blancos.

Earlier in the season, we saw Rashford assist against Real Madrid, while his creative numbers in general are very interesting, so much so that he goes down as a value play at odds of +275. 

Our Barcelona vs Real Madrid Pick: Marcus Rashford to Assist. 

Prediction:

 

Marcus Rashford to Assist

+275
$200 offered for betting!

Barcelona vs Real Madrid - Other Interesting Picks

Barcelona to Win

Odds -145
To be honest, given that they are very much the in-form team here, the hosts could easily be a bit shorter than -145. Such odds look a little generous and are worth taking, especially if you're looking for a solid moneyline bet. Not only do the Barca boys come into this game with more momentum behind them, but they have less key players out, while their recent record on home soil is also hard to ignore.
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Barcelona vs Real Madrid match : Frequently asked questions

This El Clasico between Barcelona and Real Madrid will take place at Camp Nou.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid Picks