Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Picks - Spanish Super Cup

Spain - Spanish Super Cup

Barcelona
1/7/26 14:00
Athletic Bilbao

Prediction:

 

Barcelona Victory & Over 1.5 Goals

-137
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 by Tyler Doty in Soccer Picks

It's kickoff time for the Spanish Super Cup semifinals. This Wednesday, FC Barcelona and Athletic Bilbao will face off at King Abdullah Sports City in Jeddah for a spot in the final. Winners of two of the last three editions of this tournament, Barça are once again entering the tournament with high ambitions. Well established at the top of La Liga, the Blaugrana have been shining for several weeks. Hansi Flick's team has been successful on all fronts. They intend to continue their momentum, as they have the opportunity to win their first trophy of 2026.

For its part, Athletic Bilbao is not at its best this season. The Basque club was expected to be fighting for a Champions League spot in this edition of La Liga. However, it is only in 8th place in the standings and already 14 points behind the top four. Ernesto Valverde's men have also struggled to win in recent weeks. They are therefore not approaching the Spanish Super Cup with much confidence. It is difficult to imagine them defying the odds in this first semifinal of the tournament.

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Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao Form

Barcelona and Athletic Bilbao Latest Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 3, 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
0 :  2
Barcelona

Dec 21, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
0 :  2
Barcelona

Dec 16, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Guadalajara
0 :  2
Barcelona

Dec 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  0
Osasuna

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
2 :  1
Eintracht Frankfurt

Dec 6, 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
3 :  5
Barcelona
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  0
Osasuna

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
2 :  1
Eintracht Frankfurt

Dec 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Nov 29, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  1
Alavés

Nov 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Nov 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  1
Elche
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 3, 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
0 :  2
Barcelona

Dec 21, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
0 :  2
Barcelona

Dec 16, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Guadalajara
0 :  2
Barcelona

Dec 6, 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
3 :  5
Barcelona

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Barcelona

Nov 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
2 :  4
Barcelona
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao Latest matches
W D L W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jan 3, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Dec 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  2
Espanyol

Dec 18, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Ourense CF
0 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Dec 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
2 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
PSG

Dec 6, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid
L W L W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  2
Espanyol

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
PSG

Dec 6, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Dec 3, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Nov 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Real Oviedo

Oct 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Getafe
L D W L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jan 3, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Dec 18, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Ourense CF
0 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Dec 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
2 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Nov 29, 2025 - LaLiga

Levante
0 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Slavia Prague
0 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Nov 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Barcelona against Athletic Bilbao : Head to Head (H2H)

Barcelona

67 %

Draw

17 %

Athletic Bilbao

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
2.17
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Nov 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

May 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Barcelona

Jan 8, 2025 - Spanish Super Cup

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  2
Barcelona

Aug 24, 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Mar 3, 2024 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
Barcelona

Jan 24, 2024 - Copa del Rey

Athletic Bilbao
4 :  2
Barcelona

Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao: Form Analysis

In recent weeks, FC Barcelona has been unstoppable. The team has won eight consecutive games in all competitions. Having won its last nine La Liga matches, Barça sits comfortably at the top of the table, four points ahead of Real Madrid (2nd).

It has qualified for the round of 16 of the Copa del Rey and has not yet had its final say in the race to finish in the top eight of the Champions League group stage. Fresh from winning the derby against Espanyol Barcelona (0-2), Hansi Flick's team is brimming with confidence as it enters the Spanish Super Cup.

FC Barcelona has just racked up eight consecutive wins in all competitions.

The same cannot be said for Athletic Bilbao. The Basque club is far from playing a leading role in this season's La Liga. It is only in 8th place in the standings, 14 points behind the top 4. It has taken only one point from its previous three league games.

Although Ernesto Valverde's men scraped through to the round of 16 of the Copa del Rey, they are struggling in the Champions League group stage. They have won only once in six Champions League games and are currently not in the top 24. It will be difficult to regain confidence on Wednesday evening.

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Barcelona against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11

Barcelona

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

13
J. Garcia
23
J. Kounde
5
P. Cubarsi
24
E. Garcia
3
A. Balde
8
Pedri
21
F. De Jong
28
R. Bardghji
11
Raphinha
16
F. Lopez
7
F. Torres
9
I. Williams
23
R. Navarro
8
O. Sancet
7
A. Berenguer
30
A. Rego Mora
18
M. Jauregizar
19
A. Boiro
4
A. Paredes
3
D. Vivian
12
J. Areso
1
U. Simon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

Substitutes

Barcelona
Barcelona
Goalkeeper

D. Kochen

W. Szczesny

Defender

G. Martin

A. Balde 64'

Midfielder

M. Bernal

F. De Jong 64'

M. Casado

P. Fernandez

T. Marques

D. Olmo

Pedri 72'

Forward

L. Yamal

R. Bardghji 72'

R. Lewandowski

M. Rashford

Raphinha 65'

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Goalkeeper

A. Padilla

Defender

I. Monreal

I. Lekue

A. Boiro 57'

A. Gorosabel

Midfielder

U. Gomez

R. Navarro 55'

S. Sanchez Camilo

A. Rego Mora 61'

I. Ruiz De Galarreta

O. Sancet 55'

Forward

N. Williams

N. Serrano

U. Iruretagoiena Lertxundi

G. Guruzeta

I. Williams 54'

Missing players

Barcelona
Barcelona
Defender

A. Christensen

R. Araujo

Midfielder

Gavi

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Defender

A. Laporte

Y. Alvarez

U. Egiluz

Midfielder

B. Prados

Forward

M. Sannadi

Barcelona & Athletic Bilbao Squad Analysis

For this first leg of the Spanish Super Cup semi-finals, FC Barcelona will still be without Ronald Araujo, Andreas Christensen, and Gavi. On the bright side, Hansi Flick saw the return of Pedri and Dani Olmo in last weekend's derby against Espanyol Barcelona.

Joan Garcia shone in goal during the derby. Barça's last line of defense put in a stellar performance on the pitch of his former club. He wasn't the only one to contribute to the Blaugrana's success. Coming on as a substitute, Fermin Lopez provided two assists. With Lamine Yamal, Raphinha, Marcus Rashford, Ferran Torres and Robert Lewandowski, the Catalan club has plenty of other weapons at its disposal.

Pedri and Dani Olmo made their return to FC Barcelona last weekend.

As for Athletic Bilbao, Yeray Alvarez, Unai Egiluz, Aymeric Laporte, and Benat Prados Diaz are still unavailable. One thing is certain: the Basque club will need a robust performance from Unai Simon to defy the odds on Wednesday. However, the Spanish goalkeeper has failed to keep a clean sheet in his last three games. 

Dani Vivian and Aitor Paredes are also expected to start in central defense. Up front, Nico Williams will be one to watch closely. The player, who was long rumored to be close to signing with Barça last summer, has not scored since November 29. He is keen to kick off his 2026 season with a bang. 

Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao Key Points

  1. FC Barcelona has won eight consecutive games in all competitions.
  2. On November 22, FC Barcelona defeated Athletic Bilbao 4-0 in La Liga.
  3. Over 1.5 goals were scored in each of Barcelona's first 25 games this season.
  4. Athletic Bilbao has taken only one point from its last three La Liga games and is currently in eighth place in the standings.
  5. Over 1.5 goals were scored in Athletic Bilbao's last 3 La Liga matches.
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Our Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

At the start of 2026, FC Barcelona is hoping to win its first trophy of the year with the Spanish Super Cup. In great form in recent weeks, the Catalan club expects to comfortably reach the final of this tournament after this match against Athletic Bilbao. The Basque club is currently struggling. It is unlikely to be a match for the Blaugrana in what promises to be a high-scoring game.

Our prediction for FC Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao is: Barcelona to win and over 1.5 goals in the game!

Prediction:

 

Barcelona Victory & Over 1.5 Goals

-137
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Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao - Other Interesting Picks

Raphinha Anytime Goalscorer

Odds +115
With three goals in the last three La Liga games, Raphinha will be one of the players to watch in the FC Barcelona lineup. Always there when it counts, he could well make waves on Wednesday.
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Barcelona -1.5

Odds +130
In its last four wins in all competitions, FC Barcelona has always won by at least two goals. It will have what it takes to secure another prolific victory against a team that is not in great form.
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Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao Picks