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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The New York Yankees will enter their final series against the Baltimore Orioles, hoping to secure enough wins to steal the AL East title from the Toronto Blue Jays over the weekend.
The Yankees, 5-1 in their last six games against the Orioles, are -152 home favorites but listed at +136 on a -1.5 run line.
Current Form:
Behind a three-game sweep of the White Sox this week, the Yankees have extended their winning streak to five games and improved their record in September to 15-7. They are now tied with the Toronto Blue Jays with a 91-68 record, though the latter still holds the No.1 spot in the AL East because of a tiebreaker. The Yankees have demonstrated exceptional pitching in their last five games with a 1.57 ERA. They have also averaged a solid 6.1 runs per game in this five-game stretch.
The Orioles won two out of three games against the Tampa Bay Rays, raising their record to 75-84, last in the AL East. Baltimore has logged a 4.11 ERA while averaging 3.3 runs per game in their last five games. The Orioles are 4-6 in their previous 10 meetings with the Yankees.
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Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0.572 | 159 | 91 | 68 |
|
22
|
0.472 | 159 | 75 | 84 |
Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 25, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 17, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 25, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 25, 2025 - MLB
Sep 24, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 11, 2025 - MLB
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
Sep 20, 2025 - MLB
Sep 19, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 16, 2025 - MLB
Baltimore Orioles against New York Yankees : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
Sep 21, 2025 - MLB
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Baltimore Orioles - New York Yankees Key Points
- NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
- NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
- Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against NY Yankees.
- Baltimore is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road.
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Our Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction
ESPN Match Predictor gives the Yankees a 55 percent win probability for Friday’s series opener against the Orioles. The Yankees, who surrendered only four earned runs in their last five wins against the Orioles, will dispatch right-handed pitcher Will Warren. Warren has gone 1-4 with a sturdy 3.76 ERA in his last five starts. He will duel against Trevor Rogers, who is 4-1 with a 1.19 ERA in his last five mound appearances. Rogers, who blanked the Blue Jays and the Yankees in his last two starts, has conceded only two earned runs in his last two starts against New York.
Still, it’s hard to bet against the streaking Yankees, who have won their last five games and gone 4-1 in their last five games at home. New York will treat this game similarly to a playoff game because a win in this game could catapult them back to the top of the AL East.
Our betting prediction for the New York Yankees vs. the Baltimore Orioles: the Yankees -1.5 Runs
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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