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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Boston Red Sox will kick off a fresh series with AL East rivals, the Baltimore Orioles, on Thursday at Fenway Park.
The Red Sox are currently third in the AL East standings with a 25-26 record, 5.5 games below the division leaders New York Yankees (29-19). They have won 3 of their last 5 games, including two confidence-boosting wins over the No.1 team in the NL East, the New York Mets, early this week.
The Orioles are dead last in the division with a disappointing 16-32 record. They have just snapped an 8-game losing streak behind a 3-run homer by Adley Rutschman in the 11th inning of an 8-4 win over the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday. The Orioles enter a new series sporting the third worst ERA in baseball at 5.42 and 6th lowest run tally at 183.
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Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
19
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0.49 | 51 | 25 | 26 |
28
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0.333 | 48 | 16 | 32 |
Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches

1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 21, 2025 - MLB
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0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
May 18, 2025 - MLB
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May 14, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 21, 2025 - MLB
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May 9, 2025 - MLB

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 21, 2025 - MLB
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May 16, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 21, 2025 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 14, 2025 - MLB
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May 9, 2025 - MLB
Baltimore Orioles against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Apr 3, 2025 - MLB
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Mar 17, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
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Baltimore Orioles - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- Boston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
- Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the American League.
- Baltimore is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games.
- Baltimore is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games against Boston.
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Our Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Red Sox blast Orioles in Game 1
Why we should bet on Red Sox to win -1.5 Runs: The Orioles will start lefty Cade Povich (6.15 ERA), while the Red Sox counter with right-handed pitcher Lucas Giolito (7.46 ERA). Both pitchers are sporting an ERA above 6.00, but I feel Povich faces a worse matchup against the Red Sox, who are averaging 7.7 runs per game in their last 5 games against a lefty hurler. Boston has also won 3 of their last 4 meetings with the Orioles, winning by at least 2 runs in those games.
Our betting prediction for the Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: Red Sox -1.5 Runs
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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