USA vs Australia Prediction & Picks - Olympic Matches Women

Olympics - Olympic Matches Women

USA
8/9/24 11:30
Australia

Prediction:

 

Australia to cover +16.5 point spread.

 

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 by Lou Aguila in Basketball Picks

After seeing their counterparts surviving a scare against Serbia in their semifinal match, the United States women’s basketball team is out to make a statement on Friday as they shoot for a place in the gold medal match against archrival Australia. Team USA has sustained their dominance into the knockout stages, outlasting the promising Nigerian women’s basketball team, 88-74. USA has so far swept their assignments, including their exhibition matches, heading into their crucial semifinal showdown with the Australians. Team Australia recovered well after they absorbed a shocking 75-62 defeat at the hands of Nigeria. After defeating Canada 70-65 and France 79-72 in a pair of hard-fought battles in the group stages, the Opal flexed their muscles in the quarterfinals as they destroyed Serbia 85-67. The Aussies shot 45.8 percent from the field and held the Serbians under 40 percent shooting to secure a semis berth.

USA vs Australia Form

USA and Australia Latest Matches

USA
USA Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 7, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

Nigeria
74 :  88
USA

Aug 4, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

Germany
68 :  87
USA

Aug 1, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

Belgium
74 :  87
USA

Jul 29, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

USA
102 :  76
Japan

Jul 9, 2023 - FIBA Americup, Women

Brazil
69 :  58
USA

Jul 8, 2023 - FIBA Americup, Women

Canada
63 :  67
USA
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 29, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

USA
102 :  76
Japan

Jul 7, 2023 - FIBA Americup, Women

USA
68 :  49
Colombia

Jul 4, 2023 - FIBA Americup, Women

USA
54 :  67
Brazil

Jul 1, 2023 - FIBA Americup, Women

USA
80 :  54
Venezuela

Sep 28, 2022 - Women's World Cup

USA
88 :  55
Serbia

Sep 27, 2022 - Women's World Cup

USA
121 :  59
Bosnia & Herzegovina
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 7, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

Nigeria
74 :  88
USA

Aug 4, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

Germany
68 :  87
USA

Aug 1, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

Belgium
74 :  87
USA

Jul 9, 2023 - FIBA Americup, Women

Brazil
69 :  58
USA

Jul 8, 2023 - FIBA Americup, Women

Canada
63 :  67
USA

Jul 5, 2023 - FIBA Americup, Women

Cuba
44 :  106
USA
Australia
Australia Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 7, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

Serbia
67 :  85
Australia

Aug 4, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

Australia
79 :  72
France

Aug 1, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

Australia
70 :  65
Canada

Jul 29, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

Nigeria
75 :  62
Australia

Jul 1, 2023 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

Australia
81 :  59
New Zealand

Jul 1, 2023 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

China
74 :  60
Australia
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 4, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

Australia
79 :  72
France

Aug 1, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

Australia
70 :  65
Canada

Jul 1, 2023 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

Australia
81 :  59
New Zealand

Jun 30, 2023 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

Australia
91 :  64
Republic Of Korea

Jun 28, 2023 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

Australia
66 :  91
Japan

Jun 26, 2023 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

Australia
105 :  34
Philippines
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 7, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

Serbia
67 :  85
Australia

Jul 29, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

Nigeria
75 :  62
Australia

Jul 1, 2023 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

China
74 :  60
Australia

Jun 27, 2023 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women

Taiwan
45 :  91
Australia

Sep 29, 2022 - Women's World Cup

Belgium
69 :  86
Australia

Sep 26, 2022 - Women's World Cup

Canada
72 :  75
Australia

USA against Australia : Head to Head (H2H)

USA

0 %

Australia

100 %

Sep 30, 2018 - Women's World Cup

USA
56 :  73
Australia

USA - Australia: Form Analysis

The Americans have remained undefeated against the Australian in 17 head-to-head encounters. Team USA averages 91 points on 58.5 percent true shooting while sustaining a high-paced offense that produces 81 ball possessions per 40 minutes. The Australians averages 74 points per game on 56.9 percent true shooting. Australia has an assists per turnover of 3.2 assists and 77.2 ball possessions per 40 minutes, indicating that they flourish in half-court offense. In the rebounding department, Americans are head and shoulders above the rest, averaging 41.3 rebounds per game. The Australians are not far away in that department, grabbing 35.8 rebounds per contest.

USA & Australia Squad Analysis

Reigning WNBA MVP A’Ja Wilson has lived up to her billing as the best female basketball player on the planet, averaging 20.3 points and 10.0 rebounds. Breana Stewart is also putting up terrific numbers for Team USA with her 18.5 points and 5.8 rebounds per game. Samatha Witcomb has been spectacular at the point guard spot for Australia. She’s averaging 14.8 points and 6.0 assists while Stephanie Talbot emerges as the leading rebounder at 8.8 rebounds per contest.

USA - Australia Key Points

  1. Breanna Stewart averages 6.5 rebounds per game in the Olympics.
  2. A’Ja Wilson averages 20.5 points per game in the Olympics.
  3. Team USA is 17-0 head-to-head against the Australians.
  4. Team USA is averaging 91 points per game, while Australia is averaging 74.

Our USA vs Australia Prediction

Again, Team USA has kept their unblemished record intact after 17 head-to-head matches with the Australians. The Americans have never been given a real threat in the tournament, but that could change on Friday if the Aussies can bring their A-game in this semifinal match. Australia has the height and international experience to counter the athleticism and length team USA has on their side. The point guard play Samatha Whitcomb will be crucial for Australia in their attempt to finally end their losing streak against the Americans. Team Australia will give the Americans everything that they can handle, though that won’t be enough as I expect Team USA to gut out a close win. Our betting prediction for Team USA vs. Australia: Bet on Australia to cover +16.5 point spread, -110, at BetMGM.

Prediction:

 

Australia to cover +16.5 point spread.

 

USA vs Australia - Other Interesting Picks

A'Ja Wilson Over 20.5 points

Odds -120

A’Ja Wilson scored 20 points or more in this Olympics, except the game against Germany in which she scored 14 markers. With a spot in the finals up for grabs, Wilson is expected to stand tall over the rest of her competition, racking up another impressive double-double performance with 20+ points. Our betting prediction for Team USA vs. Australia: A’Ja Wilson OVER 20.5 points, -120, at DraftKings.

$200 offered for betting!

Breanna Stewart Over 6.5 Rebounds

Odds -115

Breanna Stewart has been a great rebounder throughout her WNBA career, and she has demonstrated in this Olympics how good she is in this department by averaging 6.5 rebounds per contest. Team USA will be leaning on her and A’Ja Wilson to grab those boards as they try to outmuscle a tall and physical Australian squad. I expect Stewart to deliver her best rebounding game of the tournament by collecting at least 7 boards. Our betting prediction for Team USA vs. Australia: Bet on Brenna Stewart to grab OVER 6.5 rebounds, -115, at DraftKings.

$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

USA vs Australia Picks