Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
8/23/26 11:00
Villarreal

Prediction:

 

Atletico Madrid to Win and Under 3.5 Goals

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 by Mikaella McIntosh | in LaLiga Picks

Taking place at Metropolitano in the Spanish capital this Sunday, Atletico Madrid and Villarreal come together for their second round of the new season. First-game efforts, especially defensively, point us towards a dominating performance by Atletico Madrid, whilst they also don’t imply that this will be a very high-scoring game. 

The two have got off to a decent start, both commencing their new campaign by welcoming two fresh faces in the league, in which neither team faced defeat. The hosts return to home soil after a fairly comfortable 2-0 win over Malaga, thanks to two goals later in the game, though they primarily did very well to give away minimal chances; the visiting team scraped a draw on the road, concluding with an expected goals of only 0.67 and scoring their two goals in very quick succession. This will be a much more demanding game, and isn’t looking extremely hopeful based on this first performance.

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Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Atletico Madrid
19 8 6 1 1 +10
10 Villarreal
8 8 2 2 4 0

Atletico Madrid and Villarreal Latest Matches

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Latest matches
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 19, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Málaga

Aug 14, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 9, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
3 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Jul 29, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atletico Madrid
4 :  1
Getafe

May 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
5 :  1
Atletico Madrid
W D L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 19, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Málaga

Jul 29, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atletico Madrid
4 :  1
Getafe

May 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Girona

May 9, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Celta Vigo

Apr 29, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Arsenal

Apr 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 14, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 9, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
3 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

May 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
5 :  1
Atletico Madrid

May 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

May 5, 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Villarreal Latest matches
L W L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 16, 2026 - LaLiga

Racing Santander
2 :  2
Villarreal

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Galatasaray
1 :  2
Villarreal

Aug 5, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Villarreal
1 :  0
Levante

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lens
3 :  1
Villarreal

Jul 25, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  3
Villarreal

Jul 17, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  0
Villarreal
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 5, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Villarreal
1 :  0
Levante

May 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
5 :  1
Atletico Madrid

May 13, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  3
Sevilla

May 2, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
5 :  1
Levante

Apr 26, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  1
Celta Vigo

Mar 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
3 :  1
Real Sociedad
L L W L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 16, 2026 - LaLiga

Racing Santander
2 :  2
Villarreal

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Galatasaray
1 :  2
Villarreal

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lens
3 :  1
Villarreal

Jul 25, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  3
Villarreal

Jul 17, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  0
Villarreal

May 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  0
Villarreal

Atletico Madrid against Villarreal : Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico Madrid

50 %

Draw

33 %

Villarreal

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

May 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
5 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Villarreal

Jan 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Villarreal

Aug 19, 2024 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Apr 1, 2024 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Nov 12, 2023 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Picks

Atletico Madrid against Villarreal Lineups: Starting 11

Atletico Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

13
J. Oblak
18
M. Pubill
24
R. Le Normand
17
D. Hancko
22
A. Grimaldo
20
G. Simeone
6
Koke
4
R. Mendoza
23
M. Hjulmand
11
A. Lookman
7
L. Kang-in
9
G. Mikautadze
22
A. Perez
10
A. Moleiro
18
P. Gueye
14
S. Comesana
19
N. Pepe
20
C. Romero
12
R. Veiga
8
J. Foyth
15
S. Mourino
1
L. Junior

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Villarreal

Substitutes

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Goalkeeper

J. Musso

Defender

D. Martinez Moreno

J. Dominguez

J. Gimenez

M. Llorente

Midfielder

J. Cardoso

P. Barrios

J. Castillo

A. Baena

Forward

J. Alvarez

A. Ortiz

C. Martin

Villarreal
Villarreal
Goalkeeper

P. Gulacsi

Defender

S. Cardona

A. Freeman

P. Navarro

L. Costa

Midfielder

C. Macia

Forward

C. Thiam

T. Buchanan

I. Akhomach

T. Oluwaseyi

N. El Jmili

G. Moreno

Missing players

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Defender

C. Romero

Midfielder

T. Lemar

O. Vargas

Forward

A. Sorloth

Villarreal
Villarreal
Midfielder

A. Diatta

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
CD Huachipato Villarreal
Top Goalscorer
Spain A. Baena (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Senegal P. Gueye (3 Goals)
Best assists
Slovakia D. Hancko (2 Assists) , 
Spain A. Baena (2 Assists) , 
Argentina G. Simeone (2 Assists) , 
Canada J. David (2 Assists)
Best assists
Spain A. Moleiro (3 Assists)

Atletico Madrid - Villarreal Key Points

  1. Atletico Madrid won by two goals to zero in this fixture last season.
  2. Villarreal failed to score here last season, with both not creating a huge amount.
  3. The hosts won on home soil last time out.
  4. The visitors allowed a lot more chances than they created in their first outings.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction

Villarreal did score twice in their first game, but in reality they didn’t create very much at all, especially considering they were up against newly-promoted Racing Santander. Giving away many more chances in the final third than they produced, this visiting team will need to do a lot more up against a tougher opponent. 

Despite playing an easier team, another new team in this division, the hosts didn’t exactly display too much intensity in the offensive third, creating an xG of 0.87 whilst also allowing Malaga to create a measly 0.35. Ultimately, all of the above highlights the appealing odds for Atletico Madrid to Win and Under 3.5 Goals.

Our Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Pick: Atletico Madrid to Win and Under 3.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Atletico Madrid to Win and Under 3.5 Goals

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$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.