Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction & Picks - Spanish Super Cup
Spain - Spanish Super Cup
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by Tyler Doty | in Soccer Picks
The Spanish Super Cup semi-finals bring us a highly anticipated Madrid derby. This Thursday, Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid will face off at King Abdullah Sports City in Jeddah. Currently sitting in fourth place in La Liga, the Colchoneros have gained confidence in recent weeks. They have managed to pick up seven points in their last three league games. They also beat Los Merengues heavily in their first La Liga clash of the season on September 27 (5-2). Why not continue their good form this week and reach the final of this tournament?
Real Madrid have other ideas. Even without Kylian Mbappé, they have high ambitions for the Spanish Super Cup. They are in second place in La Liga and made a strong impression with a 5-1 win over Betis Sevilla last weekend. Gonzalo Garcia stood out in that match with a hat trick. Xabi Alonso's men are keen to continue their momentum on Thursday in Saudi Arabia. They will do everything they can to pull out all the stops and reach the final of this tournament.
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Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Form
Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga
Dec 21, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Dec 13, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League
Dec 6, 2025 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 13, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 29, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 8, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga
Dec 21, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League
Dec 6, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 2, 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga
Dec 20, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Dec 14, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League
Dec 7, 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jan 4, 2026 - LaLiga
Dec 20, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League
Dec 7, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 1, 2025 - LaLiga
Oct 26, 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 17, 2025 - Copa del Rey
Dec 14, 2025 - LaLiga
Dec 3, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 30, 2025 - LaLiga
Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League
Nov 23, 2025 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Real Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Sep 27, 2025 - LaLiga
Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League
Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League
Feb 8, 2025 - LaLiga
Sep 29, 2024 - LaLiga
Feb 4, 2024 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid: Form Analysis
At the start of 2026, Atlético Madrid is in contention on all fronts. The Colchoneros are in fourth place in La Liga. They have managed to pick up seven points in their last three games. Although they are 11 points behind leaders FC Barcelona, they have a comfortable lead over their closest rivals.
Diego Simeone's team had no trouble qualifying for the round of 16 in the Copa del Rey and is well on its way to finishing in the top eight in the Champions League group stage. They will also be aiming to shine in the Spanish Super Cup.
Real Madrid has just crushed Betis Sevilla in La Liga (5-1).
Xabi Alonso's first season at the helm of Real Madrid has not been easy. Even though it has won its last three La Liga games, it is in second place in the standings, already four points behind Barça (1st).
The Merengue have lived up to their status by reaching the round of 16 in the Copa del Rey and are in the top eight in the Champions League group stage, despite two defeats in six games. They are hoping to make a big splash at the start of 2026 by winning the Spanish Super Cup. Last weekend, Real Madrid boosted their confidence with a resounding 5-1 victory over Betis Sevilla.
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Atletico Madrid against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Atletico Madrid & Real Madrid Squad Analysis
Atlético Madrid will be without Clément Lenglet and Nico Gonzalez for this Spanish Super Cup semi-final clash. Otherwise, Diego Simeone will have a full squad to choose from. As always, he can count on a very solid defense, notably with Jan Oblak in goal. Pablo Barrios is indispensable in the Colchoneros' midfield.
Atlético Madrid will also be fielding several talented attackers for this match. In addition to Antoine Griezmann and Alexander Sorloth, it's hard not to mention Julian Alvarez. With seven goals in La Liga, he scored twice against Los Merengues in his team's resounding 5-2 victory last September.
Gonzalo Garcia has just scored a hat trick with Real Madrid.
As for Real Madrid, Brahim Diaz is still in contention with Morocco for the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations. Eder Militao and Kylian Mbappé have also been ruled out due to injury. On the bright side, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Dean Huijsen are back in the squad.
Several players gained confidence in the last big win against Betis Sevilla (5-1). Federico Valverde and Rodrygo managed to deliver two assists. And what can we say about Gonzalo Garcia's performance? In the absence of Kylian Mbappé, the young striker scored a hat trick. He will want to shine again on Thursday!
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
A. Sorloth
(1 Goals)
G. Garcia
(1 Goals)
, 
V. Junior
(1 Goals)
,
Rodrygo
(1 Goals)
, 
F. Valverde
(1 Goals)
G. Simeone
(1 Assists)
G. Garcia
(1 Assists)
,
F. Valverde
(1 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid Key Points
- Atlético Madrid has scored in each of its last five matches in all competitions.
- Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of Atlético Madrid's last 5.
- The first Madrid derby of the season on September 27 was a high-scoring affair. Atlético Madrid won 5-2.
- Real Madrid has scored in each of its last five games in all competitions.
- Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of Real Madrid's last 5.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction
We can expect an exciting derby between Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid! The two rivals have been very strong in recent weeks in La Liga and are aiming for nothing less than victory in the Spanish Super Cup. Their first meeting of the season was very prolific, with nearly seven goals scored! It wouldn't be surprising if that were to happen again on Thursday...
Our prediction for Atlético Madrid vs. Real Madrid: over 2.5 goals in the match!
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid - Other Interesting Picks
Gonzalo Garcia Torres anytime goalscorer.
Both Teams to Score: Yes
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