Atletico Madrid vs Málaga Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
8/19/26 15:00
Málaga

Prediction:

 

Chupete 1+ Shots on Target

-120
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 by Mikaella McIntosh | in LaLiga Picks

New-kids-on-the-block Malaga have been dealt a tough hand in their first fixture back in the Spanish top flight since 2017, traveling to the capital to take on Atletico Madrid at Metropolitano Stadium this Wednesday. 

Los Boquerones’ number nine is arriving into the sparkling-new campaign in ideal form, scoring twice in their warm-up matches, while he was also a pivotal player in their push for promotion last season. Chupe is looking like a good bet to register a shot on target in their first game back at the top level. 

On the whole, regardless of the results, Malaga have started their new season in the best offensive form possible, scoring in all five pre-season friendlies with four consisting of multiple goals, totalling 12.

And while this game is a big step-up, this attacking play is the best start they could’ve asked for to boost confidence and morale ahead of facing one of the Spanish giants. Besides, they should get a couple of chances on the break here, like Getafe did in their warm-up game at this venue,  while Atleti conceded multiple chances when hosting the lesser teams last season.

Atletico Madrid vs Málaga Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6 Málaga
0 0 0 0 0 0
6 Atletico Madrid
0 0 0 0 0 0

Atletico Madrid and Málaga Latest Matches

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 14, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 9, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
3 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Jul 29, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atletico Madrid
4 :  1
Getafe

May 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
5 :  1
Atletico Madrid

May 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Girona
D W D L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jul 29, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atletico Madrid
4 :  1
Getafe

May 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Girona

May 9, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Celta Vigo

Apr 29, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Arsenal

Apr 25, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Apr 18, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
2 :  2
Real Sociedad
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 14, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 9, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
3 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

May 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
5 :  1
Atletico Madrid

May 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

May 5, 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid
Málaga
Málaga Latest matches
W D D W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Málaga
2 :  2
Fulham

Aug 7, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AD Ceuta
2 :  1
Málaga

Aug 6, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Málaga
4 :  2
Al-Arabi

Jul 30, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Málaga
2 :  2
Al-Ittihad Jeddah

Jul 25, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Málaga
3 :  3
Leicester

Jun 20, 2026 - LaLiga 2

Almería
1 :  2
Málaga
D D D D W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Málaga
2 :  2
Fulham

Aug 6, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Málaga
4 :  2
Al-Arabi

Jul 30, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Málaga
2 :  2
Al-Ittihad Jeddah

Jul 25, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Málaga
3 :  3
Leicester

Jun 14, 2026 - LaLiga 2

Málaga
0 :  0
Almería

Jun 10, 2026 - LaLiga 2

Málaga
1 :  1
Las Palmas
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 7, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AD Ceuta
2 :  1
Málaga

Jun 20, 2026 - LaLiga 2

Almería
1 :  2
Málaga

Jun 7, 2026 - LaLiga 2

Las Palmas
0 :  1
Málaga

May 31, 2026 - LaLiga 2

Zaragoza
0 :  2
Málaga

May 16, 2026 - LaLiga 2

AD Ceuta
1 :  4
Málaga

May 2, 2026 - LaLiga 2

Eibar
2 :  4
Málaga

Atletico Madrid against Málaga : Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico Madrid

100 %

Draw

0 %

Málaga

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
25%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5

Feb 10, 2018 - LaLiga

Málaga
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Sep 16, 2017 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Málaga

Apr 1, 2017 - LaLiga

Málaga
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Oct 29, 2016 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  2
Málaga
Atletico Madrid vs Málaga Picks

Missing players

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Forward

A. Sorloth

Málaga
Málaga
Defender

F. Calero

M. Diarra

D. Murillo

Midfielder

Juanpe

C. Dotor

A. Ochoa

Forward

A. Nino

Atletico Madrid - Málaga Key Points

  1. Chupete averaged 3.47 shots per 90 minutes last season.
  2. Atletico Madrid have conceded in each of their last four games.
  3. Chupe was the second-highest goalscorer in LaLiga2 last season.
  4. Chupe found the net last time out.

Our Atletico Madrid vs Málaga Prediction

The Spaniard scored last time out, against a good EPL team, which would’ve done wonders for his confidence, an element which is vital now they’re playing back in the first tier. If Chupe keeps his cool like he did consistently last season, and shows the same confidence, he has a very good chance of making an impact on the break. 

After all, this is a player who averaged 1.73 shots on target per 90 minutes last season.

Our Atletico Madrid vs Malaga Pick: Chupete 1+ Shots on Target.

Prediction:

 

Chupete 1+ Shots on Target

-120
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.