Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
11/3/26 15:00
Bayern Munich

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 goals

+118
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 by Carlos Zabala | in Champions League Picks

Tuesday's Champions League clash between Atlético Madrid and Bayern Munich at the Metropolitano Stadium promises to be a thrilling affair; it's also shaping up to be a very evenly matched contest, as suggested by the pre-match odds in the propbooks.

Cholo Simeone's Atlético Madrid enters this Champions League match undefeated in their last eight games, including a draw in Germany against Bundesliga side Stuttgart. The Colchoneros are currently second in La Liga and face a crucial week ahead, as they will then take on league leaders Barcelona after Bayern Munich. With goals from Grimaldo and Simeone, Atlético Madrid defeated Levante in their previous match.

Meanwhile, Bayern Munich has performed reasonably well despite the absence of manager Kompany, who is still recovering from illness. However, under the interim management of Danks, they could only manage a 2-2 draw against their rivals, Borussia Dortmund, a game in which Laimer and Upamecano scored. In the Champions League, Bayern drew against Arsenal, but in the first matchday, they thrashed Bodø/Glimt.

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
14 Bayern Munich
5 3 1 2 0 +5
16 Atletico Madrid
4 3 1 1 1 +1

Atletico Madrid and Bayern Munich Latest Matches

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Latest matches
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Oct 31, 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Oct 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
La Coruna

Oct 20, 2026 - Champions League

Stuttgart
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Oct 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Oct 13, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Manchester United

Oct 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
La Coruna

Oct 13, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Manchester United

Sep 20, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Real Madrid

Sep 16, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  0
Osasuna

Aug 23, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  2
Villarreal

Aug 19, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Málaga
L W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 31, 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Oct 20, 2026 - Champions League

Stuttgart
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Oct 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Oct 10, 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Sep 13, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Sep 9, 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Latest matches
D W D W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Oct 31, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Oct 28, 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich
6 :  1
Magdeburg

Oct 25, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  3
Bayern Munich

Oct 21, 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Arsenal

Oct 17, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
6 :  1
Leipzig

Oct 13, 2026 - Champions League

Viking FK
3 :  3
Bayern Munich
W W W D W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
4.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Oct 31, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Oct 28, 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich
6 :  1
Magdeburg

Oct 21, 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Arsenal

Oct 17, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
6 :  1
Leipzig

Sep 18, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
7 :  0
Union Berlin

Sep 10, 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
5 :  0
Bodoe/Glimt
W D W D D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 25, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  3
Bayern Munich

Oct 13, 2026 - Champions League

Viking FK
3 :  3
Bayern Munich

Oct 10, 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

Sep 13, 2026 - Bundesliga

Spvgg Elversberg
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

Sep 5, 2026 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
0 :  0
Bayern Munich

Sep 2, 2026 - DFB Pokal

Osnabruck
1 :  4
Bayern Munich

Atletico Madrid against Bayern Munich : Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico Madrid

25 %

Draw

25 %

Bayern Munich

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
25%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5

Dec 1, 2020 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Bayern Munich

Oct 21, 2020 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
4 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Dec 6, 2016 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Sep 28, 2016 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Bayern Munich
Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich Picks

Bayern Munich v Atletico Madrid last Lineups

Atletico Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

13
J. Oblak
14
M. Llorente
18
M. Pubill
17
D. Hancko
22
A. Grimaldo
20
G. Simeone
8
P. Barrios
23
M. Hjulmand
10
A. Baena
7
L. Kang-in
19
J. Alvarez
9
H. Kane
7
S. Gnabry
34
I. Saibari
17
M. Olise
45
A. Pavlovic
6
J. Kimmich
19
A. Davies
3
K. Min-jae
2
D. Upamecano
27
K. Laimer
40
J. Urbig

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Bayern Munich

Substitutes

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Goalkeeper

S. Esquivel Gamez

J. Musso

Defender

R. Le Normand

D. Martinez Moreno

C. Romero

J. Dominguez

Midfielder

O. Vargas

R. Martinez Moya

Forward

A. Ortiz

J. David

A. Sorloth

A. Lookman

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Goalkeeper

S. Ulreich

Defender

J. Stanisic

H. Ito

J. Tah

S. Boey

N. Brown

Midfielder

L. Karl

T. Bischof

Forward

T. Binder

Missing players

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Goalkeeper

M. Neuer

Defender

J. Kimmich

Midfielder

B. Ndiaye

Forward

L. Diaz

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
CD Huachipato Bayern Munich
Top Goalscorer
Spain M. Llorente (1 Goals) , 
Spain P. Barrios (1 Goals) , 
Nigeria A. Lookman (1 Goals) , 
Argentina J. Alvarez (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England H. Kane (4 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina J. Alvarez (1 Assists) , 
Spain A. Baena (1 Assists) , 
Nigeria A. Lookman (1 Assists)
Best assists
France M. Olise (1 Assists) , 
Germany L. Karl (1 Assists) , 
Germany J. Kimmich (1 Assists) , 
Austria K. Laimer (1 Assists) , 
England H. Kane (1 Assists)

Atletico Madrid and Bayern Munich Stats in Champions League

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
33%
Wins
33%
33%
Losses
0%
33%
Draws
67%
2.33
Average goals per match
5
1.33
Goals scored per match
3.33
1
Goals conceded per match
1.67
67%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
33%
No goals conceded
33%
67%
Both score
67%

Atletico Madrid - Bayern Munich Key Points

  1. Bayern Munich has scored at least one goal in 24 consecutive Champions League matches
  2. Bayern generated an xG of 4.49 in their match against Dortmund
  3. Bayern created six clear chances in their previous match
  4. Atletico Madrid recorded four clean sheets in October

Our Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Bayern Munich is confident that its ferocious attack can break down Atletico Madrid's rock-solid defense. Harry Kane, recently crowned the new Ballon d'Or winner, has incredibly scored in each of his last 10 Champions League appearances for Bayern.

But Atletico has undeniable quality in its squad, starting with Grimaldo, who, during his time at Bayer Leverkusen, caused the Bavarians so many headaches. With Lookman, Álvarez, and Sørloth, Simeone is also not short of attacking options.

Our prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich is: Over 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 goals

+118
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.