Atlas FC vs Queretaro Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Atlas FC
3/21/26 19:00
Queretaro

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-105
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 by Erik Gibbs | in Liga MX Picks

Atlas FC and Queretaro meet this Saturday at the Estadio Jalisco in a Matchday 12 fixture that feels like a must-win for a home side looking to solidify their postseason aspirations. Currently sitting in 8th place, the Zorros have been the epitome of a middle-of-the-pack side this Clausura 2026 season—capable of brilliance but often undermined by a lack of clinical finishing. Their recent form highlights this volatility; a spirited 1-1 draw against Toluca last weekend showed their defensive resilience, yet a stinging 2-1 defeat in the Clásico Tapatío against Chivas revealed a vulnerability in high-pressure moments. Despite these hiccups, Atlas remains a formidable force at the Jalisco, where their structured approach and aggressive wing play tend to dictate the tempo. For head coach Beñat San José, the goal is clear: maximize the points from this home stand to avoid the precarious Play-In tournament and secure a direct path to the Liguilla.

Queretaro, conversely, enters this clash anchored near the bottom of the table in 17th place, struggling to find any consistent offensive rhythm. The "Gallos Blancos" have endured a dismal run, punctuated by a bruising 4-0 loss to Monterrey that exposed significant gaps in their defensive organization. While they did manage to grind out a scoreless draw against Tigres UANL earlier this month, such defensive masterclasses have been the exception rather than the rule. Their inability to possess the ball for sustained periods has forced them into a reactive style of play, relying almost exclusively on counter-attacks and set-pieces to find the back of the net. With only one win to their credit this tournament, Queretaro is playing for pride and a chance to play spoiler against an Atlas team that cannot afford to drop points against the league's bottom-dwellers.

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Atlas FC vs Queretaro Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6 Atlas FC
26 17 7 5 5 -2
11 Queretaro
20 17 4 8 5 -4

Atlas FC and Queretaro Latest Matches

Atlas FC
Atlas FC Latest matches
L W L W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Atlas FC

Mar 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
1 :  2
Chivas

Mar 4, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
2 :  1
Tijuana

Feb 27, 2026 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
3 :  1
Atlas FC

Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
3 :  2
Atletico San Luis

Feb 14, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
3 :  1
Atlas FC
W W D W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
1 :  2
Chivas

Mar 4, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
2 :  1
Tijuana

Feb 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
3 :  2
Atletico San Luis

Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
2 :  2
Pumas UNAM

Jan 31, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
1 :  0
Mazatlan FC

Jan 9, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
1 :  0
Puebla
L L W L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Atlas FC

Feb 27, 2026 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
3 :  1
Atlas FC

Feb 14, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
3 :  1
Atlas FC

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
0 :  1
Atlas FC

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
2 :  0
Atlas FC

Nov 7, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
2 :  0
Atlas FC
Queretaro
Queretaro Latest matches
W L D L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 15, 2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
0 :  0
Queretaro

Mar 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  2
CF America

Mar 4, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
4 :  0
Queretaro

Feb 27, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
2 :  2
Club Santos Laguna

Feb 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
3 :  0
Queretaro

Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
2 :  0
Club Leon
W L D W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  2
CF America

Feb 27, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
2 :  2
Club Santos Laguna

Feb 7, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
2 :  0
Club Leon

Feb 1, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
0 :  0
CF Pachuca

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  2
Tijuana

Nov 2, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  0
Mazatlan FC
W D L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 15, 2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
0 :  0
Queretaro

Mar 4, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
4 :  0
Queretaro

Feb 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
3 :  0
Queretaro

Jan 17, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
2 :  1
Queretaro

Jan 11, 2026 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
1 :  1
Queretaro

Nov 7, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
1 :  2
Queretaro

Atlas FC against Queretaro : Head to Head (H2H)

Atlas FC

33 %

Draw

33 %

Queretaro

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

Aug 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
3 :  3
Atlas FC

Apr 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  2
Atlas FC

Sep 20, 2024 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
0 :  1
Queretaro

Mar 31, 2024 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
2 :  3
Queretaro

Aug 30, 2023 - Liga MX

Queretaro
1 :  2
Atlas FC

Jan 22, 2023 - Liga MX

Queretaro
3 :  3
Atlas FC

Atlas FC against Queretaro Lineups: Starting 11

Atlas FC

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

12
C. Vargas
13
G. Aguirre
28
M. Capasso
21
R. Schlegel
11
D. Gonzalez
27
V. Rios
26
Aldo Rocha
15
P. Ramirez
25
J. Rodriguez
58
A. Gonzalez
9
A. Rodriguez
190
J. Cazares
31
A. Avila
37
M. Coronel
8
B. Parra
4
C. Adriano
7
J. Julio
27
D. Parra
2
L. Abascia
9
D. Reyes
22
B. Duarte
1
J. Hernandez

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Queretaro

Substitutes

Atlas FC
Atlas FC
Goalkeeper

A. Sanchez

Defender

A. Mora

R. Pier

Midfielder

J. San Martin

S. Hernandez Flores

D. Gonzalez 84'

J. Guillen

Forward

G. Del Prete

L. Gamboa

P. Ramirez 59'

J. Martin

E. Aguirre

A. Rodriguez 72'

Queretaro
Queretaro
Goalkeeper

L. Villegas Garcia

Defender

J. Gomez

C. Villanueva

Midfielder

L. Rodriguez

W. Madrid

J. Julio 89'

E. Armenta

M. Carcelen

F. Gonzalez

Forward

J. Robles

J. Cazares 62'

E. Perez Reyes

M. Coronel 89'

Missing players

Atlas FC
Atlas FC
Queretaro
Queretaro
Defender

Omar Mendoza

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atlas FC
CD Huachipato Queretaro
Top Goalscorer
Mexico A. Gonzalez (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Mexico A. Avila (5 Goals) Argentina M. Coronel (5 Goals)
Best assists
Paraguay D. Gonzalez (3 Assists)
Best assists
Spain C. Adriano (2 Assists)
Ecuador J. Julio (2 Assists)

Atlas FC - Queretaro Key Points

  1. The Over is 4-1 in Atlas FC's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 4-1 in Queretaro's last 5 games
  3. Atlas FC are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. Queretaro are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Atlas FC vs Queretaro Prediction

The tactical outlook for Atlas receives a massive boost this week as Carlos Cruz has officially returned from the knee injury that kept him out of the squad for several weeks. His return to the midfield adds a layer of ball progression and defensive coverage that Atlas has sorely missed during their recent slide. However, the news isn't all positive for the Rojinegros; creative engine Mateo García is ruled out after undergoing surgery on his left hand, and Mauro Manotas remains a long-term absentee with a cruciate ligament injury.

In García's absence, the creative burden will fall onto Arturo Alfonso González, who has been Atlas's most consistent performer over the last fortnight, creating multiple goal-scoring opportunities in the draw at Toluca. Queretaro continues to struggle with the absence of Francisco Reyes, leaving their backline thin. Given Atlas's home dominance and the timely return of Cruz to stabilize the center of the park, the betting markets heavily favor the Zorros. A low-scoring Atlas victory is the most probable outcome, as Queretaro's primary objective will likely be to sit deep and frustrate the hosts. Our prediction for Atlas FC vs. Queretaro: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-105
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Atlas FC vs Queretaro Picks