Atlante vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Atlante
8/15/26 19:00
Deportivo Toluca FC

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 goals

+154
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 by Carlos Zabala | in Liga MX Picks

The first phase of the League Cup served as a confidence boost for Toluca, who defeated Seattle Sounders and FC Dallas. They will advance to the next round, but in the meantime, they will refocus on Liga MX to face Atlante.

Toluca remains the most dominant team in Liga MX; they recently won the Concacaf Champions League, but their aura of invincibility was exposed when they recently lost the Campeón de Campeones trophy to Cruz Azul. In the current Liga MX season, the reigning runner-up, Pumas, managed to defeat them at the Estadio Nemesio Díaz.

Even so, the Red Devils' attack, still managed by Mohamed, remains one of the most effective and prolific in Mexico. Helinho is still without a goal, but he has already created seven scoring opportunities in this league. Vega, Díaz, Gallardo, and López have all scored.

Atlante did not have the same luck in the Leagues Cup; they returned from North America after a surprising victory against the Whitecaps in Canada but then couldn't overcome Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United.

Atlante vs Deportivo Toluca FC Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Deportivo Toluca FC
6 3 2 0 1 +3
10 Atlante
4 3 1 1 1 0

Atlante and Deportivo Toluca FC Latest Matches

Atlante
Atlante Latest matches
L D W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 11, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Minnesota United
3 :  1
Atlante

Aug 8, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Real Salt Lake
4 :  0
Atlante

Aug 4, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Vancouver Whitecaps
0 :  1
Atlante

Aug 1, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
2 :  3
Atlante

Jul 24, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlante
1 :  1
CF America

Jul 16, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
2 :  1
Atlante
W W W D W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jul 24, 2026 - Liga MX

Atlante
1 :  1
CF America

Apr 23, 2026 - Liga De Expansion MX, Clausura

Atlante
2 :  0
Tepatitlan FC

Apr 17, 2026 - Liga De Expansion MX, Clausura

Atlante
1 :  1
Club Atletico La Paz

Apr 4, 2026 - Liga De Expansion MX, Clausura

Atlante
3 :  1
CD Mineros De Zacatecas

Mar 21, 2026 - Liga De Expansion MX, Clausura

Atlante
2 :  0
CSD Dorados Sinaloa

Mar 7, 2026 - Liga De Expansion MX, Clausura

Atlante
2 :  1
Atletico Morelia
D L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 11, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Minnesota United
3 :  1
Atlante

Aug 8, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Real Salt Lake
4 :  0
Atlante

Aug 4, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Vancouver Whitecaps
0 :  1
Atlante

Aug 1, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
2 :  3
Atlante

Jul 16, 2026 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
2 :  1
Atlante

Jul 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

New Mexico United
3 :  3
Atlante
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 12, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
FC Dallas

Aug 8, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  1
Los Angeles FC

Aug 5, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  0
Seattle Sounders

Aug 2, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Club Necaxa

Jul 25, 2026 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  3
CF Cruz Azul

Jul 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  2
Pumas UNAM
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 12, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
FC Dallas

Aug 8, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  1
Los Angeles FC

Aug 5, 2026 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  0
Seattle Sounders

Aug 2, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Club Necaxa

Jul 25, 2026 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  3
CF Cruz Azul

Jul 21, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  2
Pumas UNAM
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jul 18, 2026 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

May 10, 2026 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 29, 2026 - Concachampions

Los Angeles FC
2 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 22, 2026 - Liga MX

Mazatlan FC
4 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 18, 2026 - Liga MX

CF America
2 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Apr 15, 2026 - Concachampions

Los Angeles Galaxy
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC
Atlante vs Deportivo Toluca FC Picks

Missing players

Atlante
Atlante
Midfielder

H. Meza

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Midfielder

M. Ruiz

Atlante and Deportivo Toluca FC Stats in Liga MX

Atlante
Atlante
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
33%
Wins
67%
33%
Losses
33%
33%
Draws
0%
3.33
Average goals per match
3
1.67
Goals scored per match
2
1.67
Goals conceded per match
1
33%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
67%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
0%
No goals conceded
33%
100%
Both score
67%

Atlante - Deportivo Toluca FC Key Points

  1. Atlante and Toluca drew 3-3 in a friendly in July
  2. Toluca generated an xG of 2.19 against FC Dallas
  3. Toluca completed 88% of their attempted passes against FC Dallas
  4. In four of Toluca's last five matches, one of the two teams scored exactly one goal

Our Atlante vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction

Atlante is putting on a respectable performance in their return to the Mexican first division; they brought in, either through purchases or loans, veterans with extensive experience in Liga MX, and the hiring of the legendary "Piojo" Herrera as manager was intended to give the capital club an attacking profile.

Atlante pulled off two surprising results, defeating Cruz Azul in Liga MX and the Whitecaps in the Leagues Cup, forcing sportsbooks to offer odds of over +400 for each victory. Atlante's attacking style, which creates significant danger with minimal pressure, deserves respect and should not be underestimated.

Our prediction for Toluca vs Atlante is: Over 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 goals

+154
$1000 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.