Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Washington Commanders
12/29/24 20:20
Atlanta Falcons

Prediction:

 

Washington -3.5

-110
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 by Bill Christy | in NFL Picks

=14.0ptThe Washington Commanders can clinch the final playoff spot in the NFC today with a win over the Atlanta Falcons. At 10-5, they hold a 2-game lead over the Seattle Seahawks for that spot. The Falcons are also playing for a playoff spot and divisional title. Holding the current tie-breaker over the Bucs, both teams are 8-7 on the season. The Commanders are riding a 3-game winning streak with their latest win coming over the 12-3 Philadelphia Eagles. They knocked Jalen Hurts out of that game and overcame 5 turnovers to get the win. For the Falcons, they are coming off back-to-back wins and rookie QB, Michael Penix Jr., had a so-so start in the last game. He completed 66% of his passes for just over 200 yards but did throw an interception. Luckily for him, the Falcons defense scored twice, forced 3 turnovers, and held the Giants to just 7 points in the 34-7 win. It will be interesting to see if the defense plays as well in this matchup against a Commanders offense that ranks 4th in the league in scoring (28.8ppg). If the Falcons defense is to be successful, it will need to bottle up the run game of Washington that is currently averaging 152.7 yards per game, which is 3rd in the NFL.

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
7 Washington Commanders
0.706 17 12 5
18 Atlanta Falcons
0.471 17 8 9

Washington Commanders and Atlanta Falcons Latest Matches

Washington Commanders
Washington Commanders Latest matches
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Washington Commanders
36 :  33
Philadelphia Eagles

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  20
Washington Commanders

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Washington Commanders
42 :  19
Tennessee Titans

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Washington Commanders
26 :  34
Dallas Cowboys

Nov 14, 2024 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
26 :  18
Washington Commanders

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Washington Commanders
27 :  28
Pittsburgh Steelers
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Washington Commanders
36 :  33
Philadelphia Eagles

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Washington Commanders
42 :  19
Tennessee Titans

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Washington Commanders
26 :  34
Dallas Cowboys

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Washington Commanders
27 :  28
Pittsburgh Steelers

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

Washington Commanders
18 :  15
Chicago Bears

Oct 20, 2024 - NFL

Washington Commanders
40 :  7
Carolina Panthers
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  20
Washington Commanders

Nov 14, 2024 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
26 :  18
Washington Commanders

Nov 3, 2024 - NFL

New York Giants
22 :  27
Washington Commanders

Oct 13, 2024 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
30 :  23
Washington Commanders

Sep 29, 2024 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
14 :  42
Washington Commanders

Sep 23, 2024 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
33 :  38
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons Latest matches
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
34 :  7
New York Giants

Dec 16, 2024 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
9 :  15
Atlanta Falcons

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
42 :  21
Atlanta Falcons

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
13 :  17
Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

Denver Broncos
38 :  6
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
20 :  17
Atlanta Falcons
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
34 :  7
New York Giants

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
13 :  17
Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 3, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
27 :  21
Dallas Cowboys

Oct 20, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
14 :  34
Seattle Seahawks

Oct 3, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
36 :  30
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sep 29, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
26 :  24
New Orleans Saints
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 16, 2024 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
9 :  15
Atlanta Falcons

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
42 :  21
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

Denver Broncos
38 :  6
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
20 :  17
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
26 :  31
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 13, 2024 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
20 :  38
Atlanta Falcons

Washington Commanders - Atlanta Falcons Key Points

  1. Washington is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Atlanta.
  2. Washington is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the NFC South division.
  3. Atlanta is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games when playing as the underdog.
  4. Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Washington.

Our Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction

=14.0ptThe Commanders have a bit of a cushion in that last playoff spot but these Falcons have no room for error. We believe that the Falcons are going to be the more motivated team in this one. The emotion that the Commanders showed after the win of Philly last week leads us to believe that this will be a bit of a letdown spot but the line being just over 3 is telling us that the road team is the play in this one. The Commanders should play a bit more carefree and get this road cover.  

=14.0ptOur prediction for Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons:=14.0pt Washington -3.5

Prediction:

 

Washington -3.5

-110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons Picks