Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction & Picks - NFL

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Minnesota Vikings
12/8/24 13:00
Atlanta Falcons

Prediction:

 

Falcons -5.5

 

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 by Travis Pulver in NFL Picks

The Minnesota Vikings will put their five-game winning streak on the line Sunday when their former quarterback, Kirk Cousins, brings his new team, the Atlanta Falcons, to town. Kickoff at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. When the betting line opened prior to the start of the season, the Falcons were listed as the betting favorite at -1. But since then, the line has shifted so much that the two teams have switched roles: Atlanta is now the underdog and can be found at +6 (via DraftKings), while Minnesota is a 5.5-point favorite.

The season hasn’t exactly played out as expected for either team. Expectations were not high for the Vikings when Sam Darnold was named the starting quarterback. As for the Falcons, now that they would have a veteran quarterback and an accomplished passer running the offense, the sky was the limit. But, as it turns out, the Vikings have thrived with Darnold at quarterback and will take a 10-2 record (tied with the Eagles for second-best in the NFC) into the game. Atlanta has not become the pass-happy team anyone thought it would be, with Cousins throwing bombs to Drake London and Kyle Pitts while Bijan Robinson punished defenses with a bruising run game.

While the Falcons have had some highs, they’ve had just as many lows. Hence, taking a 6-6 record and a three-game losing streak into this game. A win over a former team is what Cousins needs to light a fire under him for the rest of the regular season.

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
4 Minnesota Vikings
0.824 17 14 3
18 Atlanta Falcons
0.471 17 8 9

Minnesota Vikings and Atlanta Falcons Latest Matches

Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
23 :  22
Arizona Cardinals

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Chicago Bears
27 :  30
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
13 :  23
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
7 :  12
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 3, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
21 :  13
Indianapolis Colts

Oct 24, 2024 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
30 :  20
Minnesota Vikings
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
23 :  22
Arizona Cardinals

Nov 3, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
21 :  13
Indianapolis Colts

Oct 20, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
29 :  31
Detroit Lions

Oct 6, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
23 :  17
New York Jets

Sep 22, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
34 :  7
Houston Texans

Sep 15, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
23 :  17
San Francisco 49ers
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Chicago Bears
27 :  30
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
13 :  23
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
7 :  12
Minnesota Vikings

Oct 24, 2024 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
30 :  20
Minnesota Vikings

Sep 29, 2024 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
29 :  31
Minnesota Vikings

Sep 8, 2024 - NFL

New York Giants
6 :  28
Minnesota Vikings
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons Latest matches
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
13 :  17
Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

Denver Broncos
38 :  6
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
20 :  17
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 3, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
27 :  21
Dallas Cowboys

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
26 :  31
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 20, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
14 :  34
Seattle Seahawks
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
13 :  17
Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 3, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
27 :  21
Dallas Cowboys

Oct 20, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
14 :  34
Seattle Seahawks

Oct 3, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
36 :  30
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sep 29, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
26 :  24
New Orleans Saints

Sep 22, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
17 :  22
Kansas City Chiefs
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

Denver Broncos
38 :  6
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
20 :  17
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
26 :  31
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 13, 2024 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
20 :  38
Atlanta Falcons

Sep 16, 2024 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
21 :  22
Atlanta Falcons

Jan 7, 2024 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
48 :  17
Atlanta Falcons

Minnesota Vikings - Atlanta Falcons Key Points

  1. Minnesota leads the all-time series vs. the Falcons, 21-12.
  2. Atlanta has gone 8-20 when an underdog on the road since the 2020 season.
  3. 88% of moneyline bets and 89% of the handle is on the Vikings.
  4. 55% of point spread tickets and 55% of the handle is on the Falcons.

Our Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction

It would certainly make for a great story if Kirk Cousins were to have a stellar day against his former team in Minneapolis. But I see no reason to think it will happen. Yes, the Falcons are a good team when Cousins is on target, but the Vikings are a good team even if Sam Darnold struggles. That being said, I expect Cousins will bounce back from last week’s four-interception debacle, but the Vikings are simply the better team.

Our Falcons vs. Vikings Pick: Falcons -5.5

Prediction:

 

Falcons -5.5

 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons Picks