Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Atlanta Braves
5/21/25 17:45
Washington Nationals

Prediction:

 

Over 8.5

-115
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 by Erik Gibbs in MLB Picks

The Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals face off again tonight in the second game of their current three-game series, a matchup that has become increasingly competitive over the past week. These two National League East rivals are meeting for the second time in just under seven days. In their previous four-game set in Atlanta, the Braves emerged victorious in three of the four contests, asserting their usual dominance. However, Washington took game one of this series on Tuesday, flipping the early momentum and extending their current winning streak to four games.

Despite that loss, Atlanta has been trending upward. The Braves have won five of their last seven games, climbing out of an early-season slump and positioning themselves more favorably in the divisional standings. Although they remain in third place and are still five games behind the division leader, they’ve been chipping away at the deficit with improved play on both sides of the ball. A big part of their resurgence has been the steady improvement in their lineup and the return of key contributors from injury.

Meanwhile, the Nationals have been one of the more surprising teams in the National League recently. Their four-game win streak includes a dominant series against the Baltimore Orioles, where they outscored their regional rivals 24-13. Their offensive surge has been timely, as the Nats aim to make up ground within the division. Currently sitting in fourth place in the NL East, they are 3.5 games behind Atlanta, making this series critical if they hope to continue climbing.

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Form

Table

Teams % P W L
17
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
0.5 48 24 24
24
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
0.449 49 22 27

Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals Latest Matches

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves Latest matches
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 20, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  5
Washington Nationals

May 18, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
10 :  4
Boston Red Sox

May 17, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  7
Boston Red Sox

May 16, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  2
Boston Red Sox

May 15, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

May 14, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  4
Atlanta Braves
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 15, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

May 14, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  4
Atlanta Braves

May 13, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

May 12, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  4
Atlanta Braves

May 8, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  5
Atlanta Braves

May 7, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  3
Atlanta Braves
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 20, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  5
Washington Nationals

May 18, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
10 :  4
Boston Red Sox

May 17, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
6 :  7
Boston Red Sox

May 16, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
4 :  2
Boston Red Sox

May 11, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  4
Pittsburgh Pirates

May 10, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  2
Pittsburgh Pirates
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 20, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  5
Washington Nationals

May 18, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
10 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

May 17, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
10 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

May 16, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
4 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

May 15, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

May 14, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  4
Atlanta Braves
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

May 20, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  5
Washington Nationals

May 11, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
6 :  1
Washington Nationals

May 10, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
4 :  2
Washington Nationals

May 9, 2025 - MLB

St. Louis Cardinals
10 :  0
Washington Nationals

May 7, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
8 :  6
Washington Nationals

May 6, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
9 :  1
Washington Nationals
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 18, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
10 :  4
Baltimore Orioles

May 17, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
10 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

May 16, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
4 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

May 15, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

May 14, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  4
Atlanta Braves

May 13, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves against Washington Nationals : Head to Head (H2H)

Atlanta Braves

50 %

Washington Nationals

50 %

May 20, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  5
Washington Nationals

May 15, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

May 14, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
5 :  4
Atlanta Braves

May 13, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
2 :  5
Atlanta Braves

May 12, 2025 - MLB

Washington Nationals
3 :  4
Atlanta Braves

Mar 14, 2025 - MLB Spring Training

Washington Nationals
5 :  3
Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves - Washington Nationals Key Points

  1. The Braves are 10-6 when favored by -162 or more this season
  2. The Braves are 10-0 in their last 10 night games at Nationals Park after a loss
  3. The Nats are 0-6 in their last 6 night games vs. the Braves at Nationals Park after a home win
  4. The Nats are 0-4 covering the run line in their last 4 games after a home win

Our Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction

On the mound tonight, Washington turns to veteran right-hander Trevor Williams. Though experienced, Williams has struggled this season with a higher ERA and less favorable peripheral stats, including a subpar strikeout-to-walk ratio. He faced the Braves just last week and allowed three earned runs over four innings, a performance that Atlanta will look to replicate or exceed given their recent offensive momentum.

For the Braves, AJ Smith-Shawver gets the nod. The young righty has been impressive so far in 2025 and is coming off a strong outing against these same Nationals, where he tossed six scoreless innings. Atlanta has won each of the last four games he's started, and with their offense clicking, they’ll be confident in his ability to keep that streak alive.

Although the Nationals have found recent success, the Braves are in a better position to bounce back tonight thanks to more consistent starting pitching and a deeper offensive core. If Smith-Shawver can deliver another solid start, Atlanta has a good chance to even the series. Our prediction for Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: Braves to win.

Prediction:

 

Over 8.5

-115
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Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Picks