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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
Game 4 of the series between the New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves will cap Thursday’s schedule around the MLB.
The Mets owned Game 3 with a 7-2 win over the Mets on Wednesday, and will attempt to finish the series with the tally tied at 2-2. New York are sitting at No.2 in the NL East with a 47-34 record, a half-game behind the Philadelphia Phillies (47-33). In their last five assignments, the Mets have averaged 5.1 runs per game and pitched a 4.70 ERA, which is significantly higher than their regular-season number of 3.27 ERA.
The Braves are 3-2 in their last five games, still third in the NL East with 37-42 slate. Atlanta has pitched a 3.77 ERA and batted 4.6 runs per game on a .240 batting average in their last five games. The Braves have won 8 of their last 10 meetings with the Mets.
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Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
6
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0.58 | 81 | 47 | 34 |
23
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0.468 | 79 | 37 | 42 |
Atlanta Braves and New York Mets Latest Matches

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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Jun 13, 2025 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Jun 22, 2025 - MLB
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Jun 17, 2025 - MLB
Atlanta Braves against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
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Atlanta Braves - New York Mets Key Points
- Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games against NY Mets.
- Atlanta is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games.
- NY Mets is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games.
- NY Mets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta.
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Our Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction
Why should you pick the Braves to cover -1.5 Runs? (Win $150 on a $100 Bet) – Apart from the Braves' 8-2 record vs. the Mets in their last 10 meetings, Atlanta’s win probability increased with Grant Holmes set to start on Thursday. Holmes bounced back from a pitching slump in his last 3 starts, powering the Braves to a 7-0 win by blanking the Marlins for 5.2 innings on June 21. Griffin Canning will start for the Mets on Thursday, but the hurler is posting a 6.08 ERA over his last 5 starts. In his most recent mound appearance on June 21, Canning surrendered 4 earned runs over 5.0 innings, but was bailed out by the Mets’ red-hot offense in an 11-4 win over the Phillies. The Mets cannot allow the Braves to build an early lead because Atlanta knows how to protect their lead. Atlanta’ bullpen is smothering teams with a 1.08 ERA over their last five games.
Our betting prediction for the Atlanta Braves vs. the New York Mets: the Braves -1.5 Runs.
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