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by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks
The Red Sox will kick off a ten-game homestand today with Game 1 of a three-game weekend series vs. the Atlanta Braves. Fans can follow the action once the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. EST at Fenway Park in Boston, MA.
After going 2-4 on their recent road trip, including getting swept by the Tigers in Detroit, some time at home may be just what the Red Sox need to get back on track. While they did have a couple of games where they scored two runs or less (which they lost both), overall, the lineup has been hitting well over the last week (.262 BA). The issue has been pitching; opposing teams are hitting .269 off of them with a staff ERA of 4.50 (over the last week). Atlanta, on the other hand, is coming off a four-game home stand vs. the Washington Nationals, where they won three of four games; they scored at least four runs in every game and allowed more than four just once.
Boston will give the ball to Garrett Crochet to start the day. Crochet is 4-2 on the season with a 1.93 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Atlanta is scheduled to start Chris Sale, who is 1-3 with a 3.97 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.
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Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
0.5 | 44 | 22 | 22 |
|
19
|
0.489 | 45 | 22 | 23 |
Atlanta Braves and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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Atlanta Braves against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Mar 17, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
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Atlanta Braves - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- The Red Sox lead the all-time series vs. the Braves 50-44.
- Atlanta is 7-15 away from home; Boston is 11-9 at home.
- Red Sox players have hit .255 against Sale in 47 at-bats (12 hits, one home run); Braves players have hit .290 vs Crochet in 31 at-bats (nine hits).
- Betting splits: 70% of moneyline tickets and 77% of the handle are on Boston.
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Our Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Four starts into the season, Sale had a 6.63 ERA; he now has a 3.97 ERA, which means he has been pitching well in recent weeks (he has not allowed more than two runs in each of his last four starts, three of which were on the road). Crochet has given up one run or less in six of his last eight starts, including his last two. Boston’s been hitting well over the last week (.287; Atlanta-- .243), but not playing defense. I’d lean towards the Boston ML if I’m betting on a winner, but I like the total as a much better bet.
Our Braves vs. Red Sox Pick: UNDER 8
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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