Athletic Bilbao vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
1/28/26 15:00
Sporting Lisbon

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Goals

-110
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Champions League Picks

Two teams looking to extend their UEFA Champions League stay will clash on Wednesday, when Athletic Bilbao and Sporting Lisbon meet in Spain. The hosts are the ones in the less favorable position ahead of this game, despite that seemingly unlikely win in Italy a week ago. Thanks to a big three points, the Spaniards are inside the all-important top 24, but only just. They need a positive result here, otherwise they may not feature in the next stage. 

For the visitors, well, qualification to the playoffs is assured, it could get even better for the men plying their trade in the Portuguese capital. The Sporting boys are outside of the top eight on goal difference alone, and if they can return home with all three points on Wednesday, then they’ve got a fantastic chance of going directly into the Round of 16. There’s plenty to play for at San Memes, that’s for sure.

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Athletic Bilbao vs Sporting Lisbon Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Sporting Lisbon
16 8 5 1 2 +6
29 Athletic Bilbao
8 8 2 2 4 -5

Athletic Bilbao and Sporting Lisbon Latest Matches

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao Latest matches
D L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  3
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Mallorca
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 13, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Cultural Leonesa
3 :  4
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 7, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup

Barcelona
5 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 3, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Athletic Bilbao
L W L W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  2
Espanyol

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
PSG

Dec 6, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Dec 3, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Nov 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Real Oviedo

Oct 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Getafe
D L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 24, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  3
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Mallorca
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 13, 2026 - Copa del Rey

Cultural Leonesa
3 :  4
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 7, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup

Barcelona
5 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Jan 3, 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Athletic Bilbao
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Latest matches
W D L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 24, 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
PSG

Jan 16, 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

Jan 6, 2026 - Portugal League Cup

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

Jan 2, 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

Dec 28, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  0
Rio Ave
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
PSG

Jan 16, 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Casa Pia Lisbon

Jan 6, 2026 - Portugal League Cup

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

Dec 28, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  0
Rio Ave

Dec 13, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
6 :  0
AVS Futebol SAD

Nov 30, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  0
Estrela Amadora
D L W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 24, 2026 - Liga Portugal

Arouca
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

Jan 2, 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

Dec 23, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

Dec 18, 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

Dec 5, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

Athletic Bilbao against Sporting Lisbon : Head to Head (H2H)

Athletic Bilbao

0 %

Draw

0 %

Sporting Lisbon

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Jul 27, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao vs Sporting Lisbon Picks

Athletic Bilbao against Sporting Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11

Athletic Bilbao

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
U. Simon
2
A. Gorosabel
4
A. Paredes
17
Y. Berchiche
19
A. Boiro
16
I. Ruiz De Galarreta
30
A. Rego Mora
20
U. Gomez
8
O. Sancet
23
R. Navarro
11
G. Guruzeta
97
L. Suarez
17
F. Trincao
23
D. Braganca
10
G. Catamo
52
J. Simoes
42
M. Hjulmand
20
M. Araujo
25
G. Inacio
26
O. Diomande
22
I. Fresneda
1
R. Silva

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Sporting Lisbon

Substitutes

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Goalkeeper

A. Padilla

Defender

I. Lekue

J. Areso

J. de Luis

Midfielder

S. Sanchez

U. Gomez 66'

I. Sanchez

M. Vesga

I. Ruiz De Galarreta 66'

Forward

E. Gift

N. Serrano

R. Navarro 81'

A. Berenguer

O. Sancet 50'

A. Hierro

G. Guruzeta 81'

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Goalkeeper

F. Silva

J. Virginia

Defender

G. Vagiannidis

Quaresma

O. Diomande 54'

R. Mangas

M. Reis

G. Inacio 26'

Midfielder

P. Goncalves

D. Braganca 54'

H. Morita

J. Simoes 54'

G. Kochorashvili

A. Santos

F. Trincao 87'

Forward

R. Nel

F. Goncalves

Missing players

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Defender

A. Laporte

Y. Alvarez

U. Egiluz

Midfielder

B. Prados

Forward

I. Williams

M. Sannadi

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Athletic Bilbao
CD Huachipato Sporting Lisbon
Top Goalscorer
Spain G. Guruzeta (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Colombia L. Suarez (5 Goals)
Best assists
Spain M. Jauregizar (2 Assists)
Spain R. Navarro (2 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal F. Trincao (3 Assists)

Athletic Bilbao - Sporting Lisbon Key Points

  1. When Sporting Lisbon last played on the road in the UCL, four goals were scored,
  2. Four of Sporting Lisbon's last five away games in all competitions have contained three or more goals.
  3. Each of Bilbao's last five games in all competitions has contained at least three goals.
  4. Sporting's away games in the UCL this season have contained at average of 3.00 goals.
Up to $250 to bet on Athletic Bilbao - Sporting Lisbon! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Our Athletic Bilbao vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction

Whether they'd choose to really go for this or not, the hosts don't have much choice. They know that even a tie isn't likely to be enough, such is their position. If the hosts do take a front-footed approach, this could easily turn into an open game, just like the one we saw when Bilbao faced Atalanta a week ago. That game produced five goals. If we consider that the hosts have typically been getting themselves into high-scoring games, then 'Over 2.5 Goals' starts to look a little geneorusly priced, let's be honest.

The visitors are no strangers to high-scorers on the road, with four of their last five away games in all competitions containing at least three goals. They've also not kept a clean sheet on the road in the UCL this season, scoring in three out of three too. Don't be surprised if this is a game blessed with plenty of goals. 

Our Athletic Bilbao vs Sporting Pick: Over 2.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Goals

-110
$250 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.