Atalanta vs Inter Milan Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Atalanta
12/28/25 14:45
Inter Milan

Prediction:

 

Inter to Win & Under 3.5 Goals

+155
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Serie A Picks

Sunday's big Serie A fixture, following a shorter-than-usual Christmas break, takes place in Bergamo, where Atalanta and Inter will do business at New Balance Arena. It's not been an amazing season for Raffaele Palladino's men, who currently sit in a modest (at best) ninth place. Fortunately, in recent weeks, things have improved for Sunday's hosts, though they may still lack the confidence needed to really hurt a strong Inter team, especially without the services of one of their key offensive players. 

Sitting pretty at the top of the Serie A tree is Inter. The visitors come into this game one point clear of nearest pursuers and city rivals AC Milan, so it's important that Cristian Chivu's men keep getting the job done, which is something that they recently failed to do in both the UEFA Champions League and the Italian Super Cup. Their league form has been very steady, though, so they should make the relatively short trip to Bergamo feeling confident. 

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Atalanta vs Inter Milan Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Inter Milan
Inter Milan
36 16 12 0 4 21
10
Atalanta
Atalanta
22 17 5 7 5 1

Atalanta and Inter Milan Latest Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 21, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Atalanta

Dec 13, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cagliari

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Chelsea

Dec 6, 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
3 :  1
Atalanta

Dec 3, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  0
Genoa

Nov 30, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina
D L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 13, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cagliari

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Chelsea

Dec 3, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  0
Genoa

Nov 30, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina

Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  3
Sassuolo

Oct 28, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 21, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Atalanta

Dec 6, 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
3 :  1
Atalanta

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Eintracht Frankfurt
0 :  3
Atalanta

Nov 22, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Atalanta

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  1
Atalanta

Nov 1, 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  0
Atalanta
Inter Milan
Inter Milan Latest matches
W W W L W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 19, 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Bologna
1 :  1
Inter Milan

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Inter Milan

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Liverpool

Dec 6, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  0
Como 1907

Dec 3, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
5 :  1
Venezia

Nov 30, 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  2
Inter Milan
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Liverpool

Dec 6, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  0
Como 1907

Dec 3, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
5 :  1
Venezia

Nov 23, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
AC Milan

Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lazio

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Kairat Almaty
L W L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 19, 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Bologna
1 :  1
Inter Milan

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Inter Milan

Nov 30, 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  2
Inter Milan

Oct 25, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Inter Milan

Atalanta against Inter Milan : Head to Head (H2H)

Atalanta

0 %

Draw

0 %

Inter Milan

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Jan 2, 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Atalanta

Aug 30, 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  0
Atalanta

Feb 28, 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  0
Atalanta

Nov 4, 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Inter Milan

May 27, 2023 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  2
Atalanta

Atalanta - Inter Milan: Form Analysis

Recently, the men from Bergamo have definitely improved. When they lost to Napoli back in November, Palladino's players had failed to win eight league games on the spin, delivering the form of a team in decline. However, since then, they've stepped on the gas, so much so that they've risen markedly in the Serie A standings, thanks largely to winning three of their last four, beating Genoa, Cagliari and Fiorentina. 

Chivu's men have picked up three points from six of their last seven league fixtures, which tells us that they very much know how to get the job done. 

Inter's recent league form is difficult to pick holes in, there's no denying that. Last time out, they got the better of Genoa, winning by two goals to one, a result that followed an emphatic win against Como. Chivu's men have picked up three points from six of their last seven league fixtures, which tells us that they very much know how to get the job done. 

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Atalanta against Inter Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Atalanta

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

29
M. Carnesecchi
19
B. Djimsiti
4
I. Hien
23
S. Kolasinac
77
D. Zappacosta
15
M. De Roon
13
Ederson
59
N. Zalewski
17
C. De Ketelaere
8
M. Pasalic
9
G. Scamacca
10
L. Martinez
9
M. Thuram
32
F. Dimarco
7
P. Zielinski
20
H. Calhanoglu
23
N. Barella
11
Luis Henrique
95
A. Bastoni
25
M. Akanji
31
Y. Bisseck
1
Y. Sommer

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Inter Milan

Missing players

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

M. Bakker

R. Bellanova

O. Kossounou

Forward

A. Lookman

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Goalkeeper

R. Di Gennaro

Defender

T. Palacios

D. Dumfries

M. Darmian

F. Acerbi

Forward

A. Bonny

Atalanta & Inter Milan Squad Analysis

The hosts will be without a couple of players on Sunday, with Mitchel Bakker still recovering from a knee injury. Raoul Bellanova is also sidelined since being forced off early against Chelsea in the UEFA Champions League back in early December. Two other absentees for the hosts are Ademola Lookman and Odion Kossounou, both of whom are on international duty at the African Cup of Nations. 

Two other absentees for the hosts are Ademola Lookman and Odion Kossounou, both of whom are on international duty at the African Cup of Nations. 

The visitors don't currently have any players away at AFCON, but they are expected to be without veteran defender Francesco Acerbi, who is injured at present. Ange-Yoan Bonny and Denzel Dumfries are also expected to miss out. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atalanta
CD Huachipato Inter Milan
Top Goalscorer
Italy G. Scamacca (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina L. Martinez (13 Goals)
Best assists
Montenegro N. Krstovic (3 Assists)
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (3 Assists)
Best assists
Italy F. Dimarco (6 Assists)

Atalanta - Inter Milan Key Points

  1. Each of Inter's last five away games (in all competitions) has contained less than four goals.
  2. On the road in Serie A this season, the visitors have not scored more than two goals.
  3. Despite a relatively poor record, the hosts haven't conceded too many goals at home.
  4. Only one of Inter's last seven Serie A wins contained more than three goals.
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Our Atalanta vs Inter Milan Prediction

The hosts are without Ademola Lookman here, which dramatically decreases their ability to hurt teams in the final third, so don't be too surprised if they resort to keeping things tight first and foremost, which could lead to a lack of goals. After all, the visitors are happy to grind it out in low-scoring style, so much so that they look a little more likely to win without going crazy than the early odds suggest. 

Our Atalanta vs Inter Pick: Inter to Win & Under 3.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

Inter to Win & Under 3.5 Goals

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Atalanta vs Inter Milan - Other Interesting Picks

Isak Hien to Receive a Card

Odds +265
As an additional play, consider a bet on Atalanta's Isak Hien to pick up a card. The Swede has been the most prolific player for the hosts in terms fouls this season, while he's no stranger to picking up a card either. Against an Inter team that will be hard to face, do not be surprised if the young defender struggles, especially after he made three fouls last time out.
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Available for Atalanta vs Inter Milan

Atalanta vs Inter Milan match : Frequently asked questions

Atalanta vs Inter will be played at New Balance Arena, located in the Italian city of Bergamo.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Atalanta vs Inter Milan Picks