Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Picks - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

Aston Villa
5/7/26 15:00
Nottingham Forest

Prediction:

 

Aston Villa win the match

-140
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 by Carlos Zabala | in Europa League Picks

The second leg of the Europa League semi-final between Premier League teams will take place at Villa Park as Aston Villa attempts to overturn the deficit against Nottingham Forest. Both clubs are looking to secure their place in the Istanbul final and relive the glory days of the 1980s, when both Villa and Forest were crowned European champions.

A penalty converted by New Zealander Wood in the 71st minute gives Nottingham Forest a narrow advantage in the tie on Thursday. Despite Aston Villa's inconsistent form, they are still considered favorites with odds around 1.80 to defeat their English league rivals.

Aston Villa is confident of victory on Thursday, having won their last four home matches against Nottingham Forest at Villa Park, including a 3-1 victory on January 3rd in Matchday 20 of the Premier League, with a goal from Watkins and a brace from McGinn.

Unai Emery is arguably the most successful manager in Europa League history; having previously managed Sevilla and Villarreal, he lifted the trophy four times. He now aims to repeat that feat with Aston Villa. Incredibly, Emery has won 22 consecutive Europa League knockout ties, and he's no stranger to the challenge of overturning a deficit.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Form

Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest Latest Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa Latest matches
D W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 3, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Tottenham

Apr 30, 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 25, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  3
Sunderland

Apr 16, 2026 - Europa League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Bologna

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Aston Villa
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 3, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Tottenham

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  3
Sunderland

Apr 16, 2026 - Europa League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Bologna

Mar 22, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  0
West Ham

Mar 19, 2026 - Europa League

Aston Villa
2 :  0
Lille

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  4
Chelsea
L L W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 30, 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 25, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Aston Villa

Apr 9, 2026 - Europa League

Bologna
1 :  3
Aston Villa

Mar 27, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Mar 15, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  1
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest Latest matches
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 4, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Nottingham Forest

Apr 30, 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 24, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  5
Nottingham Forest

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
4 :  1
Burnley

Apr 16, 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Porto

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Aston Villa
L D D W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Apr 30, 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
4 :  1
Burnley

Apr 16, 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Porto

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Aston Villa

Mar 15, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Fulham

Mar 12, 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
FC Midtjylland
D W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 4, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Nottingham Forest

Apr 24, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  5
Nottingham Forest

Apr 9, 2026 - Europa League

Porto
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Mar 22, 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  3
Nottingham Forest

Mar 19, 2026 - Europa League

FC Midtjylland
1 :  2
Nottingham Forest

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa against Nottingham Forest : Head to Head (H2H)

Aston Villa

50 %

Draw

17 %

Nottingham Forest

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Apr 30, 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Aston Villa

Jan 3, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Apr 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Dec 14, 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Feb 24, 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa against Nottingham Forest Lineups: Starting 11

Aston Villa

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

23
E. Martinez
3
V. Lindelof
4
E. Konsa
14
P. Torres
2
M. Cash
7
J. McGinn
10
E. Buendia
8
Y. Tielemans
12
L. Digne
11
O. Watkins
27
M. Rogers
11
C. Wood
19
Igor Jesus
24
J. McAtee
8
E. Anderson
16
N. Dominguez
21
O. Hutchinson
3
N. Williams
4
Morato
31
N. Milenkovic
23
J. Cunha
27
S. Ortega

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

Nottingham Forest

Substitutes

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Goalkeeper

J. Wright

M. Bizot

Defender

I. Maatsen

T. Mings

M. Rogers 90'

Midfielder

L. Bogarde

V. Lindelof 74'

Douglas Luiz

P. Torres 90'

H. Elliott

A. Garcia

Forward

J. Sancho

E. Buendia 86'

L. Bailey

J. McGinn 90'

T. Abraham

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Goalkeeper

K. Willows

M. Sels

Defender

J. Hanks

Midfielder

Murillo

J. Cunha 88'

R. Yates

J. McAtee 46'

I. Sangare

M. Gibbs-White

A. Whitehall

J. Sinclair

O. Hutchinson 88'

Forward

D. Bakwa

Morato 72'

D. Ndoye

L. Lucca

C. Wood 71'

Missing players

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Midfielder

B. Kamara

A. Onana

Forward

Alysson

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Goalkeeper

John Victor

Defender

W. Boly

O. Aina

N. Savona

Z. Abbott

Forward

C. Hudson Odoi

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Aston Villa
CD Huachipato Nottingham Forest
Top Goalscorer
Scotland J. McGinn (5 Goals)
England O. Watkins (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Igor Jesus (7 Goals)
Best assists
England M. Rogers (5 Assists)
Argentina E. Buendia (5 Assists)
Best assists
England M. Gibbs-White (3 Assists)

Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest Key Points

  1. In their previous five Europa League home matches, Aston Villa scored over 1.5 goals
  2. In the first leg, Aston Villa had 10 shots, 4 of which were on target
  3. Aston Villa's last four matches have all ended with a one-goal winner.
  4. In 5 of the last 6 Aston Villa-Nottingham Forest matches, both teams have scored

Our Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

The first leg was an even match, with Aston Villa and Nottingham sharing possession at roughly 50%. When the game moves to Villa Park on Thursday, it seems Emery's side, rested unlike the Tricky Trees, has a good chance of forcing extra time or winning outright in regulation time.

While Forest's recent run is commendable, we shouldn't overlook their long list of injured players, including key figures like Hudson-Odoi and John Victor.

Our prediction for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest is: Aston Villa to win.

Prediction:

 

Aston Villa win the match

-140
$350 offered for betting!

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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Picks