Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Aston Villa
10/26/25 10:00
Manchester City

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

+115
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Premier League Picks

One of Sunday's five EPL fixtures comes to us from Villa Park, where Unai Emery's men will be hoping to bounce back after that defeat to G.A Eagles in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday evening. Facing Aston Villa will be Man City, who head to Birmingham off the back of a pleasing away-day success in the UEFA Champions League, beating Villarreal by two goals to zero. Such an effort points towards Pep Guardiola's men having more than enough in the tank to see off a home team that has been far from impressive so far this season. 

The Villans had started to deliver some improved results, but they reverted back to being disappointing in the final third on Thursday evening, which is not what they needed ahead of a game that is going to be very tough indeed. Let's be honest, the home forward line will need to be far more clinical if Emery is to see his side get anything from this fixture. 

Aston Villa vs Manchester City Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Manchester City
Manchester City
16 8 5 1 2 11
11
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
12 8 3 3 2 0

Aston Villa and Manchester City Latest Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa Latest matches
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 23, 2025 - Europa League

Go Ahead Eagles
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Oct 19, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley

Oct 2, 2025 - Europa League

Feyenoord
0 :  2
Aston Villa

Sep 28, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Fulham

Sep 25, 2025 - Europa League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Bologna
W D L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley

Sep 28, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Fulham

Sep 25, 2025 - Europa League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Bologna

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  3
Crystal Palace

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  0
Newcastle

Aug 6, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Roma
L D D D W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 23, 2025 - Europa League

Go Ahead Eagles
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Oct 19, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Oct 2, 2025 - Europa League

Feyenoord
0 :  2
Aston Villa

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  1
Aston Villa

Sep 16, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Brentford
1 :  1
Aston Villa

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  0
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Manchester City Latest matches
D W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

Villarreal
0 :  2
Manchester City

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Everton

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  1
Manchester City

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Monaco
2 :  2
Manchester City

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Burnley

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Huddersfield Town
0 :  2
Manchester City
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Everton

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Burnley

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Napoli

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Manchester United

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Tottenham

Jun 30, 2025 - Club World Cup

Manchester City
3 :  4
Al Hilal
W L D W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

Villarreal
0 :  2
Manchester City

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  1
Manchester City

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Monaco
2 :  2
Manchester City

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Huddersfield Town
0 :  2
Manchester City

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  1
Manchester City

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester City

Aston Villa against Manchester City : Head to Head (H2H)

Aston Villa

33 %

Draw

17 %

Manchester City

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Apr 22, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Dec 21, 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Manchester City

Apr 3, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Aston Villa

Dec 6, 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Manchester City

Feb 12, 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Aston Villa

Sep 3, 2022 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
Manchester City
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Manchester City v Aston Villa last Lineups

Aston Villa

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

23
E. Martinez
3
V. Lindelof
5
T. Mings
14
P. Torres
22
I. Maatsen
19
J. Sancho
24
A. Onana
26
L. Bogarde
29
E. Guessand
11
O. Watkins
10
E. Buendia
11
J. Doku
9
E. Haaland
26
Savinho
82
R. Lewis
20
B. Silva
14
N. Gonzalez
24
J. Gvardiol
5
J. Stones
3
R. Dias
27
M. Nunes
25
G. Donnarumma

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Manchester City

Missing players

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Defender

T. Mings

L. Digne

Midfielder

Y. Tielemans

Manchester City
Manchester City
Defender

A. Khusanov

Midfielder

Rodri

N. Gonzalez

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Aston Villa
CD Huachipato Manchester City
Top Goalscorer
Argentina E. Buendia (3 Goals)
Scotland J. McGinn (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (15 Goals)
Best assists
France B. Kamara (3 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands T. Reijnders (3 Assists)
Belgium J. Doku (3 Assists)

Aston Villa and Manchester City Stats in Premier League

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Manchester City
38%
Victories
63%
38%
Draw
13%
25%
Defeats
25%
2
Total goals per match
2.88
1
Goals scored per match
2.13
1
Goals conceded per match
0.75
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
Under 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
38%
25%
No goals conceded
50%

Aston Villa - Manchester City Key Points

  1. Each of Man City's last three domestic away games has contained less than three goals.
  2. During the week, Man City's away game in the UCL contained only two goals.
  3. In all competitions, the hosts have scored more than once in just two out of five at home this season.
  4. The visitors have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three games in all competitions.

Our Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction

The early points towards this being quite a high scorer, but I'm not sure a glut of goals is as likely as odds of -143 would have us believe. Let's face it, Guardiola's visitors have taken a much more measured approach this season, which has often resulted in relatiely low-scoring games, especially away from home. What's more, despite some positive results recently, the Villans have done anything but thrive offensively this season, so don't be too surprised if this is a fairly low-key in terms of goals. Our Aston Villa vs Man City Pick: Under 2.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

+115
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Aston Villa vs Manchester City Picks