Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction & Picks - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Mikaella McIntosh | in Premier League Picks
The penultimate round of the EPL commences this Friday with Aston Villa and Liverpool battling it out at Villa Park. Although both currently obtain a top-five ranking, being tied on points, their UCL footing isn’t yet secured, so the need for points is still very much alive. Taking a few factors into account, the early market shouldn’t be favoring a high-scoring meeting as highly as it is.
For starters, Villa have their momentous Europa League final in Turkey just five days after this game, which they will be prioritising. They will not want to risk any injuries, and may lean towards a sitting-back approach. Mostly, their recent home games in the EPL haven’t been giving away tons of shots or many real chances.
With this in mind, Liverpool are missing their two best creative players, Salah and Ekitike, as well as Wirtz also being questionable. Potentially missing all three players will be a big blow for the visitors, as their other players haven’t been as consistent or dangerous in the final third.
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Aston Villa vs Liverpool Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
65 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | +7 |
|
5
|
60 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 |
Aston Villa and Liverpool Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 10, 2026 - Premier League
May 7, 2026 - Europa League
May 3, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 30, 2026 - Europa League
Apr 25, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 7, 2026 - Europa League
May 3, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 16, 2026 - Europa League
Mar 22, 2026 - Premier League
Mar 19, 2026 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 10, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 30, 2026 - Europa League
Apr 25, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 9, 2026 - Europa League
Mar 27, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 9, 2026 - Premier League
May 3, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 25, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 14, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 9, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 25, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 14, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League
Mar 18, 2026 - Champions League
Mar 15, 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 3, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 8, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup
Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League
Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League
Aston Villa against Liverpool : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League
Feb 19, 2025 - Premier League
Nov 9, 2024 - Premier League
May 13, 2024 - Premier League
Sep 3, 2023 - Premier League
May 20, 2023 - Premier League
Aston Villa against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Bizot
DefenderI. Maatsen
Douglas Luiz
L. Bogarde
A. Garcia
R. Barkley
L. Bailey
J. Sancho
T. Abraham
F. Woodman
DefenderE. Mor Talla Ndiaye
A. Robertson
MidfielderF. Chiesa
F. Wirtz
J. Mcconnell
T. Nyoni
ForwardW. Wright
M. Salah
Missing players
B. Kamara
A. Onana
ForwardAlysson
Alisson
DefenderC. Bradley
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
MidfielderW. Endo
ForwardH. Ekitike
Most goals and assists
Aston Villa
Liverpool
O. Watkins
(16 Goals)
H. Ekitike
(11 Goals)
L. Digne
(6 Assists)
,
M. Rogers
(6 Assists)
M. Salah
(7 Assists)
, 
D. Szoboszlai
(7 Assists)
Aston Villa - Liverpool Key Points
- The reverse fixture recorded a combined xG of 1.66, and two goals scored.
- Aston Villa have been giving away little clear chances in their recent home games.
- The hosts have the UEL final on Wednesday to focus on.
- Liverpool are missing a few key creative players.
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Our Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction
In their latest fixtures, in which their top creative players have been absent, Liverpool haven’t been producing as much top quality in front of goal. The Reds haven’t created a high xG at all in their last four games in the league, and last time out, facing an out-of-form Chelsea side on home soil, they only managed to score one goal.
Whilst their most recent away game against Man United consisted of five goals, the Mancunians do not have any other commitments, whilst they also have much higher scoring home matches. The Villans will be juggling their desire for points and their upcoming UEL final, which may result in a less intense meeting.
Our Aston Villa vs Liverpool Pick: Under 3.0 Goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
