Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Aston Villa
8/31/26 15:00
Arsenal

Prediction:

 

Christos Tzolis 1+ Shots on Target

-159
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

After making a shocking start to the new campaign, losing heavily on the south coast, the Villans return home, where they'll be hoping to give their fans something to smile about for the first time this season. Unfortunately, Unai Emery's men may find it hard to bounce back sharply given that they're up against the defending champions, who've made a strong start to the season. 

From a betting point of view, 'Christos Tzolis 1+ Shots on Target' appeals massively at odds of -159 (= 61.4% implied probability). Given that we saw the Greek player register two shots on target last week, coupled with the fact that he's strong on the break, odds of -159 look generous. Aston Villa looked all over the place defensively during the first round of EPL games, which suggests that someone of Tzolis' quality is more likely to work the keeper than the early odds suggest. 

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Aston Villa vs Arsenal Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6 Arsenal
3 1 1 0 0 +3
17 Aston Villa
0 1 0 0 1 -4

Aston Villa and Arsenal Latest Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa Latest matches
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Aug 23, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  0
Aston Villa

Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Mönchengladbach
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Aug 12, 2026 - UEFA Super Cup

PSG
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Aug 7, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

Aug 4, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bangkok Glass
1 :  3
Aston Villa

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Indonesia XI
1 :  3
Aston Villa
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Aug 7, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

Jul 28, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
2 :  4
Real Sociedad

May 15, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Liverpool

May 7, 2026 - Europa League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Nottingham Forest

May 3, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Tottenham

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  3
Sunderland
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Aug 23, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  0
Aston Villa

Aug 15, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Mönchengladbach
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Aug 12, 2026 - UEFA Super Cup

PSG
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Aug 4, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bangkok Glass
1 :  3
Aston Villa

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Indonesia XI
1 :  3
Aston Villa

Jul 25, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Porto
2 :  1
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Arsenal Latest matches
W L L D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 21, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Coventry City

Aug 16, 2026 - Community Shield

Arsenal
3 :  0
Manchester City

Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
1 :  1
Como 1907

Aug 9, 2026 - Emirates Cup

Arsenal
2 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

Aug 5, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
1 :  3
Betis

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Girona
1 :  4
Arsenal
W L L D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 21, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Coventry City

Aug 16, 2026 - Community Shield

Arsenal
3 :  0
Manchester City

Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
1 :  1
Como 1907

Aug 9, 2026 - Emirates Cup

Arsenal
2 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

Aug 5, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
1 :  3
Betis

May 18, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Burnley
L D W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Girona
1 :  4
Arsenal

May 30, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
1 :  1
Arsenal

May 24, 2026 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  2
Arsenal

May 10, 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  1
Arsenal

Apr 29, 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Arsenal

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Arsenal

Aston Villa against Arsenal : Head to Head (H2H)

Aston Villa

50 %

Draw

17 %

Arsenal

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Aston Villa

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Arsenal

Jan 18, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Aston Villa

Aug 24, 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  2
Arsenal

Apr 14, 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  2
Aston Villa

Dec 9, 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Arsenal
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Picks

Arsenal v Aston Villa last Lineups

Aston Villa

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

40
M. Bizot
2
M. Cash
14
P. Torres
3
V. Lindelof
22
I. Maatsen
6
R. Barkley
8
B. Kamara
7
J. McGinn
35
J. Gomes
53
G. Hemmings
10
E. Buendia
17
C. Tzolis
29
K. Havertz
7
B. Saka
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
41
D. Rice
8
M. Odegaard
33
R. Calafiori
6
G. Magalhaes
3
C. Mosquera
4
B. White
1
D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Arsenal

Substitutes

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Goalkeeper

Z. Suzuki

Defender

T. Mings

M. Ruggeri

T. Rowe

Midfielder

L. Lynch

L. Bogarde

B. Burrowes

Forward

A. Garnacho

Alysson

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

K. Arrizabalaga

Defender

P. Hincapie

Midfielder

M. Dowman

M. Zubimendi

E. Eze

M. Merino

Forward

E. Nwaneri

V. Gyokeres

N. Madueke

Missing players

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Midfielder

A. Onana

J. Gomes

J. Manzambi

Forward

O. Watkins

T. Abraham

L. Bailey

B. Madjo

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

J. Timber

W. Saliba

Midfielder

B. Guimaraes

Forward

G. Jesus

G. Martinelli

Aston Villa and Arsenal Stats in Premier League

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Arsenal
0%
Wins
100%
100%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
0%
4
Average goals per match
3
0
Goals scored per match
3
4
Goals conceded per match
0
0%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
0%
No goals conceded
100%
0%
Both score
0%

Aston Villa - Arsenal Key Points

  1. Christos Tzolis took no less than four shots during Arsenal's first EPL game of the season.
  2. Christos Tzolis is currently Arsenal's top player in terms of shots and shots on target per 90 minutes.
  3. Christos Tzolis registered not one but two shots on target against Coventry last weekend.
  4. Christos Tzolis has a career average of 1.37 shots on target per 90 minutes.
Up to $200 to bet on Aston Villa - Arsenal! 

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Our Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction

The way in which Christos Tzolis has begun life in an Arsenal shirt points towards him doing some serious damage against an Aston Villa team that easily delivered the worst defensive performance out of all EPL teams during the opening weekend. Tzolis is speedy on the break, and he's no stranger to getting shots off either, shooting four times last week, hitting the target twice. 

Off the back of a strong effort in the Community Shield too, Arsenal's new signing is well worth betting on to register a shot on target at generous-looking odds of -159. Really, he should be priced at -200, so take advantage while you can. 

Our Aston Villa vs Arsenal Pick: Christos Tzolis 1+ Shots on Target.

Prediction:

 

Christos Tzolis 1+ Shots on Target

-159
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.