WTA - WTA Rome
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Aryna Sabalenka and Marta Kostyuk will play each other for the second time in two weeks in Monday’s fourth-round clash at the 2025 Italian Open.
Sabalenka aims to push her winning streak to 9 matches and earn a return trip to the quarterfinals against a familiar face in Kostyuk. The world’s No.1 survived a three-set tussle with Sofia Kenin of the United States 3-6 6-3 6-3 to stay in contention for a second straight clay-court title. Aside from winning 60 percent of her first serves, Sabalenka also broke Kenin 6 times, 5 of which were scored during her comeback rally between the second and third sets.
Kostyuk will again try to pull off a win over Sabalenka after falling short in a 7-6(4) 7-6(7) quarterfinal loss in Madrid two weeks ago. So far, Kostyuk is playing top-tier tennis as she steamrolled her first three opponents (Alexandrea Eala, Daria Kasatkina, and Leylah Fernandez) all in straight sets.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Marta Kostyuk Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
May 11, 2025 - WTA Rome
May 9, 2025 - WTA Rome
May 3, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
May 1, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 30, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 29, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 11, 2025 - WTA Rome
May 9, 2025 - WTA Rome
May 7, 2025 - WTA Rome
Apr 30, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 29, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 27, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Aryna Sabalenka against Marta Kostyuk : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Apr 30, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
May 28, 2023 - WTA French Open
Aryna Sabalenka - Marta Kostyuk Key Points
- Aryna Sabalenka defeated Sofia Kenin 3-6 6-3 6-3 in the third round of the 2025 Italian Open.
- Aryna Sabalenka is 10-1 on clay this year
- Marta Kostyuk defeated Leylah Fernandez 6-4 6-2 in the third round of the 2025 Italian Open.
- Marta Kostyuk is 7-2 on clay this year.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Marta Kostyuk gives Aryna Sabalenka another scare to cover the spread.
Why you should bet on Marta Kostyuk to cover +3.5 games: Kostyuk battled toe-to-toe with Sabalenka the last time she faced the world’s No.1. The Ukrainian showed no signs of fear when she went shot for shot against Sabalenka in the quarterfinals of the Madrid Open. Now that the Ukrainian is playing fantastic tennis yet again in Rome, I expect her to challenge the newly-minted Madrid Open champion down to the very last point.
Why you should not bet on Aryna Sabalenka to blow out Kostyuk: Sabalenka grinded out a win over Kenin, but the American somehow exposed a number of weak points in Sabalenka’s game that the Ukrainian could target in their fourth-round duel. Sabalenka has held 16 of her 21 serves over 2 matches, while Kostyuk boasts an 83% service hold percentage after 3 matches. While I still think the Belarusian will somehow gut out a hard-earned win, Kostyuk will again prove that Sabalenka, despite her dominance this season, is far from being invincible.
Our betting prediction for Marta Kostyuk vs. Aryna Sabalenka: Marta Kostyuk +3.5 Games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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