Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction & Picks - WTA Finals
WTA - WTA Finals
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula meet for the 12th time on Tuesday in a match that will likely determine the first semifinalist from their group.
Current Form:
Sabalenka is a -299 favorite ahead of her showdown with Pegula, whom she has beaten in 8 out of 11 meetings. Sabalenka kicked off her WTA Tour Finals campaign on a high note, blasting Jasmine Paolini 6-3, 6-1 on Day 2. The world’s No.1 got the job done by holding 7 of 8 service games and breaking her Italian five times on 29 return points. With the victory, Sabalenka improved her record against the WTA top-10 this year to 12-4.
Pegula earned her first win of the WTA Tour Finals at the expense of Coco Gauff 6-3, 6-7, 6-2. Pegula banked on her exceptional shot-making in the crucial moments of the match to avenge her loss to Gauff in the final of the 2025 Wuhan Open three weeks ago. Pegula is now 4-5 against the WTA top-10 in 2025.
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Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Form
Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Nov 2, 2025 - WTA Finals
Oct 11, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Oct 10, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Oct 9, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Oct 8, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Sep 6, 2025 - WTA US Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Nov 2, 2025 - WTA Finals
Oct 12, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Oct 11, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Oct 9, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Oct 8, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Oct 7, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Aryna Sabalenka against Jessica Pegula : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Oct 11, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Sep 4, 2025 - WTA US Open
Mar 29, 2025 - WTA Miami
Sep 7, 2024 - WTA US Open
Aug 19, 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Oct 31, 2023 - WTA Finals
Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula Key Points
- Jessica Pegula defeated Coco Gauff 6-3, 6-7, 6-2 on Day 2 of the 2025 WTA Tour Finals.
- Jessica Pegula is 4-5 against the WTA Top-10 in 2025.
- Aryna Sabalenka is 12-4 against the WTA Top-10 in 2025.
- Aryna Sabalenka is 8-3 vs. Jessica Pegula.
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Our Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction
Fearless Forecast: I am picking Jessica Pegula to cover the spread at +3.5 games. I really believe Pegula is in great form to challenge Sabalenka this time around after showing off incredible mental fortitude in her match vs. Gauff. Pegula has played 9 three-set matches in her last 10 assignments, winning 8 of these games. Sabalenka will always be a formidable opponent to take on because of her overpowering style of play, yet it’s worth mentioning that Pegula toppled the Belarusian in their last faceoff, 2-6, 6-4, 7-6 in the semifinals of the 2025 Wuhan Open.
Our betting prediction for Jessica Pegula vs. Aryna Sabalenka: Jessica Pegula +3.5 Games.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
