Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction & Picks - WTA Wuhan Open

Prediction published on 10/11/25, 2:58 AM  by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks

Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus and Jessica Pegula of the United States will meet again on Saturday, with the winner advancing to the final of the 2025 Wuhan Open.

Sabalenka is, of course, the betting favorite here at -300, but the +235 underdog Pegula has shown a lot of heart over the past weeks, surviving a handful of marathon matches in China.

Current Form:

Sabalenka extended her win streak to 9 matches after making quick work of archrival Elena Rybakina 6-3, 6-3 in Friday’s semifinal. In an unexpected turn of events, Rybakina exerted little resistance as Sabalenka picked her apart from start to finish. Sabalenka captured 27 points behind the first serves to hold 8 of 9 service games. She also broke Rybakina four times, 3 of which came in the second set. The world’s No.1 has now won 20 matches in a row in Wuhan after ruling the last three editions of this tournament.

Pegula improved to 7-1 in her last 8 matches after topping Katerina Siniakova in yet another three-set match, 2-6, 6-0, 6-3. Pegula corralled 30 points behind the first ball and converted five breakpoints that helped her create enough separation to pull away from a resilient Siniakova. Pegula has now played seven consecutive three-set matches, winning six of these thrillers.